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re: What is it going to take for football to become run first again?

Posted on 2/6/17 at 12:56 pm to
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110816 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 12:56 pm to
quote:

Total touches the past 2 seasons: Gurley = 571 Freeman = 619
I just don't think he can do it!!!!
Posted by ShaneTheLegLechler
Member since Dec 2011
60148 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 12:56 pm to
quote:


You really think any running back on either of those rosters could go to another team and be a feature back with no real back up? They excel where they are but I don't think they could.


Apparently you don't watch much football
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110816 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 12:56 pm to
quote:

A time machine.
Thread winner!!!
Posted by ballscaster
Member since Jun 2013
26861 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 12:56 pm to
Or how about this:

Sudden death; the team who last possessed the ball kicks off in OT automatically. So basically if it's tied with 8 ticks left and you're at your own 20, you wanna forfeit your possession by punting, but you gotta hope all 8 ticks run off or else they'll punt back and you have to kickoff in OT.
Posted by Jcorye1
Tom Brady = GoAT
Member since Dec 2007
71373 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 12:57 pm to
Gurley sucked this year.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110816 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

Or how about this: Sudden death; the team who last possessed the ball kicks off in OT automatically. So basically if it's tied with 8 ticks left and you're at your own 20, you wanna forfeit your possession by punting, but you gotta hope all 8 ticks run off or else they'll punt back and you have to kickoff in OT.
Posted by 504Voodoo
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2012
13532 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

Yeah, that was REALLY bad play calling. I guess when you have Matt Ryan and Julio, you forget about common sense. Run the ball 3 straight times there and kick the winning FG. Falcons have to be so sick right now.


It would have been a 53yrd attempt if they had not gained a single yard. 53yrds is definitely not a gimmie.
Posted by ballscaster
Member since Jun 2013
26861 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 1:01 pm to
Horse shite. It's a fricking brilliant idea.

Seriously, talk to me. What's the problem with this? It solves the problem of the coin completely.
Posted by Teddy Ruxpin
Member since Oct 2006
39575 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

It would have been a 53yrd attempt if they had not gained a single yard. 53yrds is definitely not a gimmie.



True. But for completeness, Matt Bryant was 75% from over 50 this year 6/8 and 62% career. Odds are they gained a few yards as well. He's 78% career from 40+ and 100% this year.

I didn't have an issue with a pass being in there, but if IIRC the pass play attempted was like a 7 step drop. Basically the only play that would guarantee moving them out of FG range that wasn't a turnover. I think something a little quicker would have been perfectly justifiable.
This post was edited on 2/6/17 at 1:07 pm
Posted by SECFan1995
Member since Sep 2015
7880 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 1:05 pm to
The team in question here is sneakily actually a pretty bad power run team despite having two pretty talented backs. They were a good run team, but it was out of zone run packages and not the power run.

In the case of the game, after the Julio catch all that needed to happen was three straight runs with how good Bryant is as a kicker, but the team simply isn't good enough to line up and go straight at them with power run.
Posted by L5UT1ger
Member since Feb 2004
2599 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

Two Super Bowls were lost due to OCs loving the pass way too much.


how about the Pats throwing the ball in overtime with first and goal at the one. a FADE to a TE. WTF? I was like, didnt they learn watching Seatle lose to them?
Posted by ballscaster
Member since Jun 2013
26861 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 1:11 pm to
quote:

I was like, didnt they learn watching Seatle lose to them?
I remember learning that year that 1 of 197 passes thrown from the opponents' 1 was intercepted.
Posted by L5UT1ger
Member since Feb 2004
2599 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 1:14 pm to
quote:

I remember learning that year that 1 of 197 passes thrown from the opponents' 1 was intercepted.


I learned that running it worked this year while throwing it didnt work last year or on first down this year.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110816 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

It would have been a 53yrd attempt if they had not gained a single yard. 53yrds is definitely not a gimmie.
It was 1st and 10 from the 22, woulda been a 39 yarder if no yards were gained.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110816 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

He's 78% career from 40+ and 100% this year.
So he hadn't missed from inside 40 this season and barring a penalty, they're basically kicking from at least within 40 yards?

Ouch!!!
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110816 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 1:35 pm to
quote:

I learned that running it worked this year while throwing it didnt work last year or on first down this year.
And before last season's play, you had learned that 196 straight pass attempts from the 1 were not intercepted, so if you go off of what you learned BEFORE they play and not Captain Hindsight, you would have been ok with the pass.
Posted by MontyFranklyn
T-Town
Member since Jan 2012
23830 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

The team in question here is sneakily actually a pretty bad power run team despite having two pretty talented backs. They were a good run team, but it was out of zone run packages and not the power run.

In the case of the game, after the Julio catch all that needed to happen was three straight runs with how good Bryant is as a kicker, but the team simply isn't good enough to line up and go straight at them with power run.
It doesn't matter if they were a power run team or not. With under 10 minutes to go and being up by 16 you start playing the clock. As the clock tics down the percentage chance of NE wins decreases, eventually becoming exponential. The Falcons created opportunities for NE by not running the ball. Being a pass happy offense cost them the game when they didn't even need to pass. They just needed to burn off 4 minutes per possession and the game would have been essentially over, especially if they had been able to kick the field goal. It's about odds, outcomes and scenario percentages.
Posted by MontyFranklyn
T-Town
Member since Jan 2012
23830 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 1:40 pm to
quote:

so if you go off of what you learned BEFORE they play and not Captain Hindsight, you would have been ok with the pass.
True, but what is the safest play to run on the goal line factoring outcomes?
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110816 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 1:42 pm to
quote:

True, but what is the safest play to run on the goal line factoring outcomes?
If you mean safest as in least likely to result in a turnover, the numbers were posted after the Russell Wilson INT and the data said it was safer to pass.


Now, I'll certainly concede the type of pass they through, that was the real takeaway to me, but I had no issues with simply passing the ball.
This post was edited on 2/6/17 at 1:44 pm
Posted by Speedy G
Member since Aug 2013
3895 posts
Posted on 2/6/17 at 1:45 pm to
quote:

It was 1st and 10 from the 22, woulda been a 39 yarder if no yards were gained.

This. Not sure what people are talking about.

And going for it on 4th and 30 from near midfield w/ an 8 point lead is about the dumbest idea I have ever heard. If Atlanta goes for that, NE wins in regulation.
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