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2
Posted on 10/7/15 at 4:35 pm to PeteRose
I took NC State/Virginia Tech Under 53 on Monday and now its at 46 
Posted on 10/7/15 at 4:51 pm to accnodefense
It opened at 3/3.5 then ran up to 7.5.
Posted on 10/7/15 at 4:58 pm to dcrews
Bet the house on Baylor. KU literally will not score and Baylor's 3rd string could easily put up 45 on our D.
I'm not joking either.
I'm not joking either.
Posted on 10/7/15 at 5:11 pm to engvol
quote:
Bookie currently has no action but given that they have previously allowed me to cash out a bet for more than the total value in hoping for another CPU error
It now has a line of -18.5 but nothing to suggest my bet is void
So....winning?
Posted on 10/7/15 at 5:21 pm to arkyhawk
quote:
Bet the house on Baylor. KU literally will not score and Baylor's 3rd string could easily put up 45 on our D.
I swear everyone who has said "XX team will not score" in this thread so far this year has been wrong every time.
"Syracuse won't score against LSU" - Syracuse puts up 24
"Virginia won't score against Notre Dame" - Virginia puts up 27
"Eastern Michigan won't score against LSU" - EMU puts up 22
I'll tell you why not to bet the house on Baylor:
2 years ago Baylor won in Lawrence 54-13.
This year Briles will understand that there is nothing at all to gain by running it up on Kansas, and will get better PR if he takes it easy. Baylor is up 45-3 at halftime, goes ultra conservative in the 2nd half, Baylor tacks on another TD or two, but Kansas scores 14 in garbage time and final score is Baylor 59, Kansas 17. There, Kansas doesn't cover.
Posted on 10/7/15 at 5:25 pm to accnodefense
So Baylor 1H?
Posted on 10/7/15 at 5:30 pm to LSUJuice
Be the only way to play it. The total and spread suggest Baylor should score around 60 points. Baylor has only done that once in the last 8 yrs vs Kansas. And it was 61.
Posted on 10/7/15 at 5:44 pm to accnodefense
quote:
I swear everyone who has said "XX team will not score" in this thread so far this year has been wrong every time
2 years ago Baylor won in Lawrence 54-13.
I understand that, and normally I would totally agree. But take it from one of the few people left on this earth that still watches every KU football game, we are that bad. The 2013 KU team (it was 59-13 btw) would beat this year's team fairly handily. 2013 at least had one of the best running backs in the Big XII, this year's offense has nothing. No receivers, no RB, no line, and now a 4th string true freshman QB.
And that's before we even get to the defense, which gave up 31 in one half to an FCS team. Once again, the last couple of years we've at least had the best linebacker in the Big XII and a few serviceable DB's. This year...nothing.
Now obviously I don't think anyone should actually bet the house, because who knows what can happen. Like TCU last year. I just want everyone to know that we are actually that bad.
Posted on 10/7/15 at 6:01 pm to LSUJuice
quote:
So Baylor 1H?
Yes
Playing the full game is suicide.
But I would not be shocked to see a 1st half line above 30.
Posted on 10/7/15 at 6:04 pm to accnodefense
I'm taking UConn plus the 2.5
Posted on 10/7/15 at 6:36 pm to accnodefense
quote:
Yes but for the season that method is 120-114 on the year, so its not a sure thing.
With that being said, when it gives a team a 60.7% chance of covering or higher, its 54-43 (55.7%) so the odds are better.
Navy also ticks off these boxes:
-Away Teams who get 8 more points of value or more on Method 1 "Computer" are 8-4 covering the year. Dogs who get 8 more points of value or more on Method 1 "Computer" are 22-10 (68.7%) on the year. Navy is getting 15 points of value according to Method 1
-Dogs who have 8 points of value or more on Method 1, 3.3 points of value or more on Method 2 "50 Matchups" and are given a 60.7% of covering ore higher are 16-9 (64%) on the year. Navy has 6.43 points of value on Method 2 and is at 65.6% cover.
-Away Dogs who have 2.53 points of value or more on Method 2 "50 Matchups" are 52-34 (60.4%) on the year. Navy has 6.43 points of value.
Nice. Add in Navy is 11-1 ats vs ND in South Bend and we might have a winning formula
Posted on 10/7/15 at 7:27 pm to harry coleman beast
First and foremost.
UGA-3
I'm a UT grad and so I don't like to gamble (at all) on or (too much) against them, but holy crap that looks like Free Money to me.
UGA-3
I'm a UT grad and so I don't like to gamble (at all) on or (too much) against them, but holy crap that looks like Free Money to me.
Posted on 10/7/15 at 7:40 pm to SystemsGo
Duke-12.5
Duke at -455
Absolutely. Abso-freaking-lutely.
W. Mich-7
W. Mich at -290
Row the boat, baby.
Michigan-7
Michigan at -300
Don't be surprised when Northwestern gets exposed. They aren't any good.
Minny-3 (Purdue reaks worse than my nuts do)
FAU-3.5 (Rice is goddamn terrible)
Using My Styles Like a Contraceptive
Okie State+6.5
The Pirate +17
Mizzou+5 (they win outright)
Colorado+14.5
UConn+2.5
GT+6.5
Southern Miss+4.5 (been riding them this year)
These are my scatterbrained thoughts. Haven't made plays yet, and can't till tomorrow morning.
Duke at -455
Absolutely. Abso-freaking-lutely.
W. Mich-7
W. Mich at -290
Row the boat, baby.
Michigan-7
Michigan at -300
Don't be surprised when Northwestern gets exposed. They aren't any good.
Minny-3 (Purdue reaks worse than my nuts do)
FAU-3.5 (Rice is goddamn terrible)
Using My Styles Like a Contraceptive
Okie State+6.5
The Pirate +17
Mizzou+5 (they win outright)
Colorado+14.5
UConn+2.5
GT+6.5
Southern Miss+4.5 (been riding them this year)
These are my scatterbrained thoughts. Haven't made plays yet, and can't till tomorrow morning.
This post was edited on 10/7/15 at 7:42 pm
Posted on 10/7/15 at 7:43 pm to SystemsGo
WashU giving 16.5? That looks pretty tasty as well.
Posted on 10/7/15 at 7:52 pm to SystemsGo
quote:
Duke-12.5
Duke at -455
Absolutely. Abso-freaking-lutely.
Army has hung with every team they've played so far
and even beat eastern michigan. I know they lost to Fordham...but -12.5 is a lot to lose by when they lost to Wake, UConn and Penn State by less than a TD each. I'm not an advanced better. I just play some on 5D now...but not sure on this one. Posted on 10/7/15 at 7:56 pm to Drank
quote:
Army has hung with every team they've played so far and even beat eastern michigan. I know they lost to Fordham...but -12.5 is a lot to lose by when they lost to Wake, UConn and Penn State by less than a TD each. I'm not an advanced better. I just play some on 5D now...but not sure on this one.
Fair points. I think Duke is one of those teams that can keep scoring on bad teams even though they aren't really that good (a fact that gets brought to light when they play better teams).
Army isn't as horrific as in the past few years, but they're still pretty bad.
Posted on 10/7/15 at 8:00 pm to FulshearTiger
quote:
Ohio state laying 32 to Maryland??
Ohio state shouldn't be laying 32 to anyone with a pulse
I tend to agree, but I tended to agree with that last season and they just absolutely opened up a can on crabcakes and football. I know it's a different season and so that piece of information is barely relevant, and I'd still lean crabcakes, but I'm not gonna play it.
Posted on 10/7/15 at 8:01 pm to D011ahbi11
quote:
UCONN getting 2 at Central Florida is interesting, not sure UCF should be favorites over anyone right now
Nonfiction
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