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Message
re: Official Week 6 College Football Bet Thread
Posted on 10/7/15 at 10:30 am to accnodefense
Posted on 10/7/15 at 10:30 am to accnodefense
My card as of right now
Mizzou +4
Georgia State +19.5
Eastern Michigan +9
Central Michigan +7.5
Minnesota -1
Louisiana Lafayette -5
Colorado +15
Pitt -8
SMU +26.5
South Carolina +13.5
Navy +14
Washington State +18
Western Kentucky -8.5
SMU/Houston Under 73.5
Louisiana Tech/UTSA Under 62
Minnesota/Purdue Under 47
NC State/Virginia Tech Under 53
Tulane/Temple Under 49
UTEP/FIU Under 49.5
Northwestern/Michigan Under 36
Mizzou +4
Georgia State +19.5
Eastern Michigan +9
Central Michigan +7.5
Minnesota -1
Louisiana Lafayette -5
Colorado +15
Pitt -8
SMU +26.5
South Carolina +13.5
Navy +14
Washington State +18
Western Kentucky -8.5
SMU/Houston Under 73.5
Louisiana Tech/UTSA Under 62
Minnesota/Purdue Under 47
NC State/Virginia Tech Under 53
Tulane/Temple Under 49
UTEP/FIU Under 49.5
Northwestern/Michigan Under 36
This post was edited on 10/7/15 at 10:32 am
1
Posted on 10/7/15 at 10:45 am to accnodefense
Seeing Nice RLM on Rutgers. Probably will lock in while still at +14.5.
Posted on 10/7/15 at 10:50 am to Louie T
Really liking
Mizzou +5
BYU -8
Wash St +17
Mizzou +5
BYU -8
Wash St +17
Posted on 10/7/15 at 10:53 am to Howyouluhdat
South Carolina line just jumped to 16.
Posted on 10/7/15 at 10:54 am to LSUJuice
quote:
South Carolina line just jumped to 16.
Well shite
Posted on 10/7/15 at 10:55 am to accnodefense
Just got LSU at 13.5
Posted on 10/7/15 at 10:56 am to JG77056
Never mind, I misread. Nice job getting LSU just before it moved. 
This post was edited on 10/7/15 at 10:58 am
Posted on 10/7/15 at 10:56 am to JG77056
I locked in LSU -13.5 yesterday.
Posted on 10/7/15 at 11:03 am to LSUJuice
dp
This post was edited on 10/7/15 at 3:38 pm
Posted on 10/7/15 at 11:04 am to FulshearTiger
quote:
Seeing Nice RLM on Rutgers. Probably will lock in while still at +14.5.
Got them at +16.5 Sunday Night. Forgot to look at the 2nd page of my pending wagers.
Also have South Carolina at +12 (which will be cancelled) Wisconsin +1.5, Utah State at -10 (now at -12) and Hawaii -3.
Posted on 10/7/15 at 11:20 am to accnodefense
quote:
South Carolina at +12 (which will be cancelled)
fortunately I got SC at 14 in a little parlay I threw together, but you really think these tickets will be canceled?
Posted on 10/7/15 at 11:40 am to AstroTiger
quote:
fortunately I got SC at 14 in a little parlay I threw together, but you really think these tickets will be canceled?
It better be
It would be total bullshite for those of us who rely on home field advantage for our capping for it not to be cancelled.
My model has LSU winning 31-24 in Columbia, which is why I jumped on South Carolina.
In Baton Rouge its LSU 37-17. That changes everything.
Posted on 10/7/15 at 11:46 am to accnodefense
I don't disagree, just don't have faith that it'll happen. I would be more upset had I not gotten it at the 14 number. But I sure wouldn't make the bet again if I had known it would move.
Posted on 10/7/15 at 11:46 am to accnodefense
I took LSU at -14 right after the announcement this morning and my bet was just marked No Action.
so take that for what it's worth.
so take that for what it's worth.
Posted on 10/7/15 at 11:54 am to AstroTiger
quote:
just don't have faith that it'll happen
obviously those bets will be cancelled
Posted on 10/7/15 at 11:57 am to accnodefense
Your model spits out a number 13 points apart due to a venue change? I think you need to tone down your HFA weighting.
Posted on 10/7/15 at 12:00 pm to Louie T
quote:
Your model spits out a number 13 points apart due to a venue change? I think you need to tone down your HFA weighting.
LSU gains 6 points(a touchdown) and South Carolina loses 7 points(a touchdown)
How is that unrealistic?
My HFA is calculated by the differences in home team/away team stats vs. the national average. It's pretty simple, no human input at all.
Posted on 10/7/15 at 12:02 pm to accnodefense
quote:
Got them at +16.5 Sunday Night
Got em +17. Was hesitant as I thought it would go up. Glad I didn't wait though.
Waiting on 5dimes to post a new USCe line
This post was edited on 10/7/15 at 12:03 pm
Posted on 10/7/15 at 1:17 pm to dcrews
How could you not love Oklahoma State +7 in Morgantown? Yeah, it's a tough place to play, but OSU is a much better team than WV.
Posted on 10/7/15 at 1:18 pm to dcrews
some books coming up at LSU -19.5
also, they "postponed" the original game and created a new entry for 413 South Carolina @ 414 LSU. So even if the bets don't show as canceled yet, they probably will change to no action after the scheduled game time.
also, they "postponed" the original game and created a new entry for 413 South Carolina @ 414 LSU. So even if the bets don't show as canceled yet, they probably will change to no action after the scheduled game time.
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