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re: OFFICIAL Week 6 CFB bet thread™

Posted on 10/3/12 at 12:28 am to
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5698 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 12:28 am to
quote:

still waiting, am confident the public will move this line.


You were the only person I saw mention the play in the entire thread, the first page at that and I knew you have been on fire this year.

I agree, Michigan is a media darling and many diehards couldn't even name Purdue's starting QB.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 12:35 am to
quote:

The system we have been using to find winners practically jizzed itself over that line


interesting.

the regression i run seems to be strongly in favor of purdue as well; glad to see other systems have confidence in the hard numbers.

the *soft* factors include briefly: home field, revenge game, & team experience. also, as an ND fan who watches their games repeatedly, Purdue was our strongest competition to date.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 12:38 am to


quote:

Michigan is a media darling and many diehards couldn't even name Purdue's starting QB.


shockingly, hope announced today that marve will be part of the game plan vs. michigan. amazing
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3736 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 1:09 am to
Normally I don't lock in plays this early, but I grabbed Temple at +4 before it moved any more. Temple looking for its first win in the Big East. South Florida is on a 3 game slide and is beat up after they gave their all last week against FSU.

I also like Air Force -9.5 but thinking about possibly teasing. Navy is so bad. I have watched 2 of their games this year.
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46121 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 1:19 am to
Navy is horrible but I don't know anything about AF.


I also lean pretty hard on Clemsons side this week
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3736 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 1:28 am to
Air Force looked like a damn solid team when they played Michigan. The only thing about the spread is that Navy is used to practicing against the option and 9.5 seems a little risky. I have no doubts Air Force wins though.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 9:38 am to
Well this thread got derailed with the gheyness.
Posted by Bryant91092
Member since Dec 2009
24497 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 10:24 am to
quote:

dgtiger3


I may take a favorite or two that I like this week and then follow your picks that you post this week. Hopefully you'll make me some money
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 10:51 am to
Georgia's leading receiver is done for the season.
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5698 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 10:51 am to
quote:

I may take a favorite or two that I like this week and then follow your picks that you post this week. Hopefully you'll make me some money


If you have a covers.com account (takes like 2 minutes to sign up) you can view my pick history and all of my pending wagers on there.
LINK

We also have a twitter account that we list everything if you do that.
LINK

I hope we can have the majority of the board winning soon.
Posted by Bryant91092
Member since Dec 2009
24497 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 10:53 am to
I started following you on twitter last week, I just didn't use any of the plays. This week I think I'm going to
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5698 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 10:55 am to
Only Thursday night play for us will be Utah - USC under 48. Simple 1 "unit" wager.


I may tail Rocket's Utah pick as well, that dude does some work!


Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 11:08 am to
Confirmed with my advisor that Purdue is a go. Let's get it.
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 11:17 am to
Locked in Purdue +3. Let's go.
Posted by DFWAggie09
DFW
Member since Oct 2011
1483 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 11:44 am to
What's the consensus opinion on how much the public will push the Purdue line on late Friday early Saturday? .5 to 1 point? Certainly won't move down I wouldn't think but worth waiting around till later in the week for somethin better than +3?
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 11:45 am to
I was gonna wait too. I think it's worth a shot. If you see it go down to 2.5, just buy the hook. Just don't wait til Saturday, sharps could bring it crashing down (well besides all us sharps in this thread).
This post was edited on 10/3/12 at 11:46 am
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 12:06 pm to
Air Force is down to -7.5 from -9.5 in the last 10 minutes.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 12:11 pm to
RAS release Navy?
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 12:31 pm to
Is WVU ML +230 tempting to anyone else?
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 10/3/12 at 12:42 pm to
I don't know. We easily forget how WVU struggled against Maryland.

Also, Georgia loses their leading receiver yet the line moves down to -1.5 USC....weird.
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