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re: OFFICIAL Week 10 CFB bet thread™
Posted on 10/28/14 at 3:33 pm to wish i was tebow
Posted on 10/28/14 at 3:33 pm to wish i was tebow
FSU/UL O/U just opened at 60 
FSU's D isn't nearly as good as last year but they're expecting UL to score 28+ based off the line and O/U
FSU's D isn't nearly as good as last year but they're expecting UL to score 28+ based off the line and O/U
1
Posted on 10/28/14 at 3:40 pm to Louie T
Winston has never scored under 31 in his career
Posted on 10/28/14 at 3:42 pm to wish i was tebow
UL scored 31 on UM, 23 on UVA, 34 on FIU, 20 on WF, 28 on Cuse, & 30 on NC St
Odd #
Odd #
Posted on 10/28/14 at 4:13 pm to TigerTatorTots
Here's another weird steam move that someone might know the answer to:
Duke opened +1 @ Pitt, now is +4
The public ticket count surely is on Duke's side... that's a fairly large swing beyond a key number towards an inferior team. Any clues out there?
Duke opened +1 @ Pitt, now is +4
The public ticket count surely is on Duke's side... that's a fairly large swing beyond a key number towards an inferior team. Any clues out there?
Posted on 10/28/14 at 4:26 pm to Billy Mays
5D made an error. Cancelled the wager and re-opened at 50.5 
Posted on 10/28/14 at 4:49 pm to rocket31
quote:
You're making quite the error in using those mundane calculations.
Clemson is 16th most efficient offense
Virginia 38th
Wake 90th
LINK
Why are you looking at FEI?
S&P+ is a superior product.
Posted on 10/28/14 at 4:57 pm to rocket31
quote:
But are they though?
Using advanced statistics, FSU is just slightly more productive than Louisville.
LINK
Louisville's offense is real bad, though. And FSU will be the first team they've played with some semblance of an offensive pulse.
I mean, do you what you want. I'm not trying to persuade anybody here. But Louisville lost to UVA and scored a mere 20 points on dogshit Wake Forest. I just have a hard time believing they're ready to take down FSU. Halloween eve or not.
Posted on 10/28/14 at 5:01 pm to SystemsGo
Can you call it a lock?
Posted on 10/28/14 at 5:05 pm to Zipfer2022
quote:
These were not primetime ESPN Thurs night games. Go back the last 3 years and look at all the road favs playing on ESPN Thurs night and see how successful they have been.
So you make betting decisions based on which corporate entity owns the cameras being used to film the game? Am I understanding that correctly?
Posted on 10/28/14 at 5:07 pm to SystemsGo
quote:
Why are you looking at FEI?
I look at both, I was on mobile and didnt feel like linking the two.
S&P actually makes Lville offensive opponents even better
This post was edited on 10/28/14 at 5:09 pm
Posted on 10/28/14 at 5:08 pm to SystemsGo
quote:
I mean, do you what you want.
Im not doing anything. Just discussing the game.
Posted on 10/28/14 at 5:10 pm to blades8088
quote:
Can you call it a lock?
I try to stay away from such terminology.
Posted on 10/28/14 at 5:16 pm to rocket31
quote:
I look at both, I was on mobile and didnt feel like linking the two.
S&P actually makes Lville offensive opponents even better
And according to S&P (a metric I like), Louisville's gonna win outright.
Maybe I'm a sucker, but I've seen Louisville play and I just haven't been terribly impressed. And while FSU hasn't been anywhere near the team they were last year, Jameis Winston is still really really good.
Posted on 10/28/14 at 5:17 pm to rocket31
quote:
Im not doing anything. Just discussing the game.
All good, brother. That's what this thread is all about.
Posted on 10/28/14 at 6:04 pm to SystemsGo
Our boy over at addictedtoquack is predicting an outright Stanford win and he has been pretty spot on with his predictions using advanced metrics.
Posted on 10/28/14 at 6:33 pm to Billy Mays
quote:
Here's another weird steam move that someone might know the answer to:
Duke opened +1 @ Pitt, now is +4
The public ticket count surely is on Duke's side... that's a fairly large swing beyond a key number towards an inferior team. Any clues out there?
fml i have duke at +4 i hate these kind of swings
Posted on 10/28/14 at 6:49 pm to Billy Mays
quote:
Pitt, now is +4
No, Pitt is -4
Posted on 10/28/14 at 8:35 pm to bisonduck
quote:
Our boy over at addictedtoquack is predicting an outright Stanford win and he has been pretty spot on with his predictions using advanced metrics.
What are his predictions on FSU/Louisville?
Btw, I think Oregon beats Stanford this year.
Posted on 10/28/14 at 8:41 pm to SystemsGo
Bobby is that you? Did Kidbourbon get banned as well? 
Posted on 10/28/14 at 8:42 pm to blades8088
quote:
Duke opened +1 @ Pitt, now is +4
quote:
No, Pitt is -4
You misread his post. The "now is +4" refers to Duke.
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