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re: OFFICIAL Week 1 College Football Bet Thread
Posted on 8/12/15 at 6:38 am to ReauxlTide222
Posted on 8/12/15 at 6:38 am to ReauxlTide222
quote:
Their defense gonna be as good as I think it is?
I think so, only question is D line IMO
0
Posted on 8/12/15 at 9:30 am to ChemE in the OP
NCAA Week 1 - Take Temple at home plus 7. They will be this years UTSA. Experienced team with 20 starters returning including all 11 from a top 50 defense. Everyone will be on PSU
NFL week 1 - Take Rams +3.5 (it's been +3 for a while but jumped up yesterday) at home vs Seahawks. Why? Because in your mind the line should be higher and everyone will be on the Seahawks. Take ML as well
You're welcome
ETA - If you want a season long bet take the Patriots to win their division now at -160 before Tom Brady's appeal gets reduced and the juice moves way up. Even if he is suspended 4 games the Jets and Bills have no shot to win the division with no QB on either team. Only leaves the Dolphins who do not play the Patriots during their first 4 games.
NFL week 1 - Take Rams +3.5 (it's been +3 for a while but jumped up yesterday) at home vs Seahawks. Why? Because in your mind the line should be higher and everyone will be on the Seahawks. Take ML as well
You're welcome
ETA - If you want a season long bet take the Patriots to win their division now at -160 before Tom Brady's appeal gets reduced and the juice moves way up. Even if he is suspended 4 games the Jets and Bills have no shot to win the division with no QB on either team. Only leaves the Dolphins who do not play the Patriots during their first 4 games.
This post was edited on 8/12/15 at 9:36 am
Posted on 8/12/15 at 10:00 am to the_watcher
quote:Well it opened at PSU -14. I hope you're right, though. I'd like to see public money inch that line back up as we get closer.
NCAA Week 1 - Take Temple at home plus 7. They will be this years UTSA. Experienced team with 20 starters returning including all 11 from a top 50 defense. Everyone will be on PSU
Posted on 8/12/15 at 11:44 am to ReauxlTide222
Hey guys this will be my first year of "really trying to handicap" games instead of just playing around. I was wondering if there are any must follow Twitter accounts for sports betting that yall use. Not to tail, but just to kinda see some different perspectives. Thanks.
Posted on 8/12/15 at 11:51 am to PillPusher
quote:
any must follow Twitter accounts for sports betting that yall use.
Me, crews, Philly godfather, Stuckey2, Don Best consensus, so money sports, dynamite picks and my man Todd Fuhrman off the top of my head.
I haven't been keeping up with a lot of the twitter handicapping action, doh
Posted on 8/12/15 at 11:54 am to boonecountyman
quote:
boonecountyman
I used to own a coal mine in Boone County.
Posted on 8/12/15 at 12:39 pm to aVatiger
My model says the 8.5 win total line for LSU is razor sharp. I wouldn't touch that total
Posted on 8/12/15 at 12:40 pm to ReauxlTide222
quote:
Well it opened at PSU -14. I hope you're right, though. I'd like to see public money inch that line back up as we get closer.
My model has Temple as a straight up winner in that game
I think the under may be a better play though
Posted on 8/12/15 at 4:32 pm to accnodefense
Anyone on the Northshore use a local? I could use another.
Posted on 8/12/15 at 6:09 pm to blades8088
Not sure if the Col St/Savannah St game will have a line or not. If it does, blast away on Col St.
Posted on 8/12/15 at 6:32 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
quote:
Not sure if the Col St/Savannah St game will have a line or not. If it does, blast away on Col St.
It will, just not until the day of the game
Posted on 8/12/15 at 7:20 pm to accnodefense
penn state by 9-10 vs temple. easy money
Posted on 8/12/15 at 7:32 pm to accnodefense
How does your model work for week 1?
Posted on 8/12/15 at 7:49 pm to The Boat
Wow, this guy got an early start on killing the book.
This is from Main guy at BetOnline
This is from Main guy at BetOnline
quote:
Dave Mason ?@DaveMasonBOL 2m2 minutes ago
And just when he finished counting his almost $118K in winnings, he hits us for a 4--teamer for another $51K.
Posted on 8/12/15 at 7:53 pm to stlslick
I've read several college football magazines and most of their prediction deals have LSU at 9.1 wins.
Posted on 8/12/15 at 8:37 pm to The Boat
quote:
How does your model work for week 1?
Still tweaking the model a bit, but uses my preseason algorithms. Right now I am cross-checking 2014 numbers to see how it would have performed weekly last year.
But as it stands right now here is what I have so far, 3 conferences:
AAC: LINK
ACC: LINK
Big 10: LINK
Posted on 8/14/15 at 3:45 pm to blades8088
quote:
Any thoughts on LSU Season Total at 8.5?
Nothing there for me. Seems like a good line.
Posted on 8/15/15 at 9:24 am to ChemE in the OP
I want to take it, but going to lay off. Still dont think we lose 4 games.
Off to week one, nothing stands out at me right now. Usually I like to take faves the first 3-4 weeks. But the powerhouse lines just seem sketchy. Just have to wait and see where the money and RLM takes me.
As of right now only Utah, Az.St, and VT are catching my eye.
Off to week one, nothing stands out at me right now. Usually I like to take faves the first 3-4 weeks. But the powerhouse lines just seem sketchy. Just have to wait and see where the money and RLM takes me.
As of right now only Utah, Az.St, and VT are catching my eye.
This post was edited on 8/15/15 at 9:43 am
Posted on 8/17/15 at 1:14 pm to FulshearTiger
I like Boise State -11 on the smurf turf against Washington.
Washington got gutted on both the offensive and defensive lines and they are going against very experience fronts on both sides for Boise. Washington also lost their best three linebackers. This could be a long year for them.
Washington got gutted on both the offensive and defensive lines and they are going against very experience fronts on both sides for Boise. Washington also lost their best three linebackers. This could be a long year for them.
Posted on 8/17/15 at 9:27 pm to blades8088
i love asu, its at 3 now though.. wish i could have gotten a better number
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