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re: Kentucky Derby Prediction Thread

Posted on 4/12/13 at 8:28 pm to
Posted by Na Mean
This is me yo.
Member since Mar 2013
2954 posts
Posted on 4/12/13 at 8:28 pm to
I don't have a horse in this race, but, i'm putting my money on whatever horse Pitino owns/partially owns.
Posted by SeeeeK
some where
Member since Sep 2012
28058 posts
Posted on 4/12/13 at 9:13 pm to
normandy invasion looks like he will love the distance

he's had some poor trips, and ran against some slow fractions, and still ran on, galloping out.

JJ castellano picks the mount up.


10/1 is what i heard he would be on M/L, hoping to get 12-15/1 with some horse freaking to be big derby favorite, to take a lot of dead money
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
106092 posts
Posted on 4/13/13 at 8:02 am to
Boooooo

I liked him last year til I found out pitino owns him




:bitterukfan:
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
106092 posts
Posted on 4/21/13 at 7:45 pm to
Bump for getting close to derby day
Posted by BluegrassBelle
RIP Hefty Lefty - 1981-2019
Member since Nov 2010
99040 posts
Posted on 4/21/13 at 7:48 pm to
quote:

:bitterukfan:


It's okay Aspy. You're not alone.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
106092 posts
Posted on 4/21/13 at 7:55 pm to
He has a very small percentage of the horse, though, so if I have to use him I will.

Lots of derby works this am. Haven't read over them yet.
Posted by BoobieWatcher
Member since Jun 2010
4587 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 2:45 pm to
Any updates here on inside information?

Current Odds
All Other Three ye 5-1
Verrazano 7-1
Vyjack 10-1
Itsmyluckyday 10-1
Revolutionary 12-1
Orb 13-1
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
106092 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 3:16 pm to
Iknow that Calvin and Rosie will drop the odds on 2 I plan to use.

As expected, super99 and dens legacy are out. Depending on what the winner if the trial wants to do it looks like code west may be in, but I didn't like the way he moved in his work yesterday.
Eta: the handicappers liked his work, I just didnt
This post was edited on 4/23/13 at 3:19 pm
Posted by BoobieWatcher
Member since Jun 2010
4587 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 3:22 pm to
Who was the guy that sent out the pp's last year? I'd like to do my research now and get a feel for these horses.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
106092 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 3:24 pm to
Why not just wait til the field is decided and pps are drawn. Hell, I use post just as much as past form in a 20 horse race.

He'll be around next week I bet.
Posted by jojothetireguy
Live out in Coconut Grove
Member since Jan 2009
10484 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 4:52 pm to
quote:

Aspercel


sup
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
106092 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 4:53 pm to
Hey

Good news about a bad group...

Much more money to be made
Posted by jojothetireguy
Live out in Coconut Grove
Member since Jan 2009
10484 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 4:55 pm to
quote:

Much more money to be made


lets hope so. I haven't looked to much, but it doesn't look to special this year
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
106092 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 4:59 pm to
Wn have you ever seen me without at least 4 I like. Hell, I'm generally weeding out horses in January.

Not looking good

The fillies, on the other hand, are quite nice! Watched midnight lucky easily run down power broker without trying in her work yesterday
Posted by jojothetireguy
Live out in Coconut Grove
Member since Jan 2009
10484 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 5:10 pm to
quote:

Wn have you ever seen me without at least 4 I like. Hell, I'm generally weeding out horses in January.

Not looking good


well as always i have a list of 6 that i like so far. Gotta break it down some more though. Haven't even viewed the PPs yet
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
106092 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 8:20 pm to
I know I'll use plaice malice, probably mylute, maybe revolutionary (yikes! A son of war pass going10f?!)

Don't know what else
Posted by Bho
Lexington
Member since Dec 2007
24804 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 8:27 pm to
Don't know how I missed this thread. I was at Keeneland watching Wise Dan, I guess. As many have already said, I usually have a couple I really like by Feb. but this year is nuts. I'm just going to wait and look at it when we have a better idea of who is going to enter. Also to the OP, I always provide the PPs for the big racing days and I will do that again once they pop up on the computer.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
106092 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 8:45 pm to
I was there the next day. Poor gantry tried! Thought he had it for a minute, but it serves us right. He's much better going 6f.

Both dans came out ready to rumble! Turallure is another story.

You liking anything yet?
Posted by Ohiotigerfan
South of I-10
Member since Oct 2004
1271 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 8:49 pm to
Alot will depend on post positions.

My early choices are Revoluntionary, Verranzo, Palace Malice and longer shot Mylute

Going to The Oaks & Derby for 8th time
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
106092 posts
Posted on 4/23/13 at 8:52 pm to
Oaks will be good this year.
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