Started By
Message

re: Cuban and Stern on College

Posted on 4/6/12 at 11:03 am to
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422404 posts
Posted on 4/6/12 at 11:03 am to
youth participation isn't the same thing as major league popularity. there isn't shite selig can do to make kids want to play baseball

Posted by arwicklu
Houston, TX
Member since Jan 2008
7627 posts
Posted on 4/6/12 at 11:05 am to
quote:

oh it's certainly improving. i'm a baseball hater and this is a fact that can't be argued


Terrible World Series Ratings - trending down since 1980

ESPN wonders if popularity decline is due to gambling

Popularity stats since 1985
This post was edited on 4/6/12 at 11:11 am
Posted by corndeaux
Member since Sep 2009
9634 posts
Posted on 4/6/12 at 11:11 am to
quote:

nothing this year really changed my opinion

super raw big man who is super athletic and good at defense. that's what he was a year ago, and that's what he is now


Fair enough. I think he proved he could be an elite anchor on defense.

quote:

i think barnes is a good example of a player who was hurt by college. he was allowed to coast and develop a 1-sided game because he didn't have to do anything else in college.


A good point. But even his first year revealed that he's not a franchise player. Coming out of HS, he was the next superstar wing.

quote:

kobe slid to like 12th and nobody batted an eye when he was traded for divac

people knew who kg was in the sense that he was the first high schooler in ages, but nobody knew what his game would be. nobody knew if he'd be a 3/4/5 or what his game was.


Of course no one batted an eye when trading an All-Star center for a rookie, HS, guard. But that doesn't mean he wasn't well known. Taking Brandy to his prom was a national news story. His first game in Chicago was a national tv game. Jordan, the legend, v Kobe, the young gun.

Garnett, you're right, is a little trickier. He got a lot of hype because he was the first one in 20 years to try it. He did have an SI feature (if not cover story) and, in a god-forsaken market, was an All-Star by his second year in the league.

But the larger point is that missing the year of publicity didn't hurt any of these guys. That year only helps if you care about draft night ratings.

The NBA doesn't need the NCAA's help to market players. They are the best in the world at that.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422404 posts
Posted on 4/6/12 at 11:12 am to
yes the WS and baseball declined from the 80s. but since the mid-90s baseball is on an upswing

LINK

look at how many attendance records were set 2008 and beyond

baseball has shifted to a regional, not national, game, and the strategy is working.
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59104 posts
Posted on 4/6/12 at 11:17 am to
quote:

they did it so that when kevin durant, derrick rose, or anthony davis were drafted, fans knew who they were

it's been highly successful

those 3 players would have been top 3 picks in almost any draft had they come out of high school


eggsactly
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59104 posts
Posted on 4/6/12 at 11:19 am to
quote:

Fans knew who Kobe and LeBron and KG were when they were drafted


Lebron many knew, Kobe and KG not really, not causual fans anyway.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422404 posts
Posted on 4/6/12 at 11:22 am to
quote:

But even his first year revealed that he's not a franchise player.

for the college game, being coached by roy fricking williams. he has all the tools to be a great scoring wing, but going to college hurt his game. staying 2 years made it worse

college is a different game than the NBA

also, college coaches aren't being paid to develop players into NBA players. they're paid to win college games. roy williams is going to use barnes how he needs, in a different game, to make his team better.

kg was worried about this, and that's why he didn't go to college (and why he refuses to let his height be listed at taller than 6-11). davis likely would be a better NBA player today had he gone straight to the NBA. NBA teams would be developing his ballhandling/shooting tools and wouldn't just be sticking him down low to play defense

davis may have the ability to be an NBA 3, like KG, but he lost a year of development doing this going to UK

quote:

But that doesn't mean he wasn't well known

in terms of BBall, he wasn't. he would never go 12th today, because the NBA has changed. when kobe came out there was still a stigma for high school kids and teams worried about busts. he should have never lasted to 12th

quote:

But the larger point is that missing the year of publicity didn't hurt any of these guys.

bullshite

you think kobe would have gone 12th after he had a good/great freshman year at duke?

or, let me put it this way: would the fans of the team who traded his rights have accepted that after he was a name following 1 year at duke?
Posted by arwicklu
Houston, TX
Member since Jan 2008
7627 posts
Posted on 4/6/12 at 11:25 am to
quote:

yes the WS and baseball declined from the 80s. but since the mid-90s baseball is on an upswing

LINK

look at how many attendance records were set 2008 and beyond

baseball has shifted to a regional, not national, game, and the strategy is working.


Well they've done a good job in many aspects on the business side. The TV and stadium money is fantastic. Revenue sharing has helped in some ways but created teams like the Pirates.

I just think when you look at the numbers relative to other sports is when you worry more. In 1985 baseballs popularity was on par with the NFL. Now baseball isn't in that conversation. College football is almost even with baseball and sports like auto racing are trending up while baseball continues to dip relative to other sports. I'm not saying baseball is dying, however the numbers are concerning when other sports are becoming stronger. I know people don't support just one sport, however sometimes they choose to spend their money more toward one sport than another.

I do understand what you're saying though. It is doing very well in some areas and the revenue sharing combined with huge numbers from the big market teams is working. Stadium naming and TV deals have been huge. Their financial success has turned around in the last decade.

Selig's moves like the all star game creating home field for the world series, etc are goofy but what it really boils down to is whether their is profit or not. He's done a good job in the last 5 years turning the numbers around.
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59104 posts
Posted on 4/6/12 at 11:25 am to
quote:

ESPN wonders if popularity decline is due to gambling


I have argued that part of the popularity of the NFL is due to gambling and fantasy.

Fantasy sports started with Baseball, but football is just better for it. That's not Selig's fault. In the wake of waning popularity that they are making record profits, teams are seilling for record amounts, they are setting attn records, I'd say he's doing a pretty good job.
This post was edited on 4/6/12 at 11:28 am
Posted by DrVinnyBoombatz
Lubbock
Member since Oct 2011
3128 posts
Posted on 4/6/12 at 11:26 am to
quote:

big men take longer to develop than wingmen


So you are telling me a 7 foot center takes more time to develop then a 6 foot 3 PG where the offense runs through him? Sure.

And the one and done rule was made because more and more players were making the HS to NBA jump. Also, is it not easier to gauge a kid one year after HS in which he played in a league more competitive from where he came? It could also be argued that it did cut down on busts in the top 5 since 2006. I mean, in the 2004 and 2005 draft you had Shaun Livingston drafted 4th and Martell Webster at 6th the next year. And since then you can only truly say Adam Morrison has been the biggest bust and to a lesser degree Sheldon Williams, who was in the same draft. It would be better if it were a 10 year window, but it is still interesting to look at.

Posted by saintsfan92612
Taiwan
Member since Oct 2008
28875 posts
Posted on 4/6/12 at 11:28 am to
quote:

So you are telling me a 7 foot center takes more time to develop then a 6 foot 3 PG where the offense runs through him? Sure.


PGs and bigs both take a few years to develop, SGs and SFs are usually the quickest transition
Posted by arwicklu
Houston, TX
Member since Jan 2008
7627 posts
Posted on 4/6/12 at 11:28 am to
quote:

Fantasy sports started with Baseball, but football is just better for it. That's not Selig's fault. In the wake of waning popularity that they are making record profits, teams are seilling for record amounts, I'd say he's doing a pretty good job.


I agree with both of you guys on that. I'm just a bit concerned that waning popularity will eventually catch up and start causing an impact. It is a long term concern obviously.
Posted by saintsfan92612
Taiwan
Member since Oct 2008
28875 posts
Posted on 4/6/12 at 11:29 am to
sorry for derailing the topic
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422404 posts
Posted on 4/6/12 at 11:32 am to
quote:

In 1985 baseballs popularity was on par with the NFL.

frick no. the NFL still beat baseball's arse

quote:

College football is almost even with baseball

college football is beyond baseball
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59104 posts
Posted on 4/6/12 at 11:33 am to
quote:

I agree with both of you guys on that. I'm just a bit concerned that waning popularity will eventually catch up and start causing an impact. It is a long term concern obviously.


what kind of impact? Fewer quality players? As long as they are making tons of money and paying big salaries, they will attract players.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422404 posts
Posted on 4/6/12 at 11:36 am to
quote:

So you are telling me a 7 foot center takes more time to develop then a 6 foot 3 PG where the offense runs through him? Sure.

a good point, esp one who runs an offense (which is rare, mind you) takes the 2nd longest to develop...behind bigs

quote:

And the one and done rule was made because more and more players were making the HS to NBA jump.

i don't even know if this is true. do you have the stats on the # who declared each year?

quote:

Also, is it not easier to gauge a kid one year after HS in which he played in a league more competitive from where he came?

not really, for 2 reasons

1. college ball is NOT nba ball. it's an inferior game with rules that don't exist in the NBA

2. these kids are still better than their competitors. it's not as big of a gap as high school, but it may be a smaller gap than elite AAU ball.

quote:

I mean, in the 2004 and 2005 draft you had Shaun Livingston drafted 4th and Martell Webster at 6th the next year.

and livingston had his career derailed due to a horrific injury, and webster is a good role player

quote:

And since then you can only truly say Adam Morrison

years in college did wonders for him and protecting teams from busting

Posted by DrVinnyBoombatz
Lubbock
Member since Oct 2011
3128 posts
Posted on 4/6/12 at 11:45 am to
quote:

i don't even know if this is true. do you have the stats on the # who declared each year?


Well, from 1975-1995 there were 0 HS players drafted until KG in the 95 draft. From 96 to 2006, there was (quick count) 18 HS players drafted. I would say that there was an influx of HS players from 1996 to 2006.

And ever since the one and done rule has been implemented, the college ranks has basically been a continuation of an AAU league.

And Webster is a bust, he was drafted 6th, not the place a 'good' role player gets drafted.
Posted by arwicklu
Houston, TX
Member since Jan 2008
7627 posts
Posted on 4/6/12 at 11:46 am to
quote:

And the one and done rule was made because more and more players were making the HS to NBA jump. Also, is it not easier to gauge a kid one year after HS in which he played in a league more competitive from where he came? It could also be argued that it did cut down on busts in the top 5 since 2006. I mean, in the 2004 and 2005 draft you had Shaun Livingston drafted 4th and Martell Webster at 6th the next year. And since then you can only truly say Adam Morrison has been the biggest bust and to a lesser degree Sheldon Williams, who was in the same draft. It would be better if it were a 10 year window, but it is still interesting to look at.


Livingston actually looked really good before that knee injury. That was a truly horrifying event.

That being said there are equal busts to Morrison. Thabeet is there for sure. Joe Alexander, Oden...

If you look over time college didn't help GMs avoid guys like Marcus Fizer, Robert Traylor, Ed O'bannon... and tons of other guys. College actually made these guys look like players and they stunk in the NBA. Number 1 Joe Smith became average Joe. Number 1 never nervous Pervis became out of service Pervis. Jay Williams had the wreck so it is hard to say on him. Anyhow college serves to make many of these guys look great because they're still men playing boys.
Posted by DrVinnyBoombatz
Lubbock
Member since Oct 2011
3128 posts
Posted on 4/6/12 at 11:49 am to
quote:

Oden


If you are saying Livingston had an injury derailment, well, then I think Oden qualifies there as well. Also, there are going to be guys drafted because of their measurables. Kwame Brown could've gone to 4 years in college and he still would've been drafted high because of his measurables. Thabeet was drafted high because of his measurables and because he actually performed well for a good college team.
Posted by corndeaux
Member since Sep 2009
9634 posts
Posted on 4/6/12 at 11:52 am to
quote:

college is a different game than the NBA


I never said anything to disagree with that. I don't even like college hoops, except to watch future pros. I think the one/done is stupid from the NBA's standpoint.

The idea that the NBA needs help in marketing is just silly. Does it help to have a guy like Durant come in, well known? Sure.

But that wasn't the driving reason for the one/done rule. The idea was that the NBA gets at least a year to look at these players against more balanced competition than HS, AAU camps, or the odd HS All-Star game and someone else foots the bill. NBA teams were tired of drafting Jonathan Bender, Kwame Brown, Eddy Curry, and even Tyson Chandler with early lottery picks and were too cheap to invest in a developmental league as a true alternative to the NCAA.

You're right that many times the rule doesn't actually change anything (Kyrie Irving).

If you want to talk about how stupid this is on the NBA's part from a development standpoint, I'm right there with you.



first pageprev pagePage 5 of 7Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitterInstagram