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CFB Playoff Scenario

Posted on 11/29/15 at 11:10 am
Posted by MontyFranklyn
T-Town
Member since Jan 2012
23830 posts
Posted on 11/29/15 at 11:10 am
We all know that the B1G champ and OU have secured a spot. If Clemson or Bama were to lose or both, who would get in?

Stanford (if they win the Pac 12)
ND
OSU
N.C. (if they beat Clemson)
Florida (if they beat Bama)
Posted by DisplacedBuckeye
Member since Dec 2013
71923 posts
Posted on 11/29/15 at 11:15 am to
I think the waiting list right now looks something like this:

Ohio State
Stanford
UNC
Florida
Notre Dame

Too many variables though to even begin to guess.
Posted by xenythx
Member since Dec 2007
32418 posts
Posted on 11/29/15 at 11:16 am to
Bama since they would have beaten themselves obviously. No way Florida beats them straight up.
Posted by Epic Cajun
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
32526 posts
Posted on 11/29/15 at 11:16 am to
I think UNC would make it, I also think Stanford would make it if they won the PAC-12.
Posted by BBATiger
Member since Jun 2005
16518 posts
Posted on 11/29/15 at 11:22 am to
ND is out no matter what.
Posted by MontyFranklyn
T-Town
Member since Jan 2012
23830 posts
Posted on 11/29/15 at 11:26 am to
quote:

I think the waiting list right now looks something like this:

Ohio State
Stanford
UNC
Florida
Notre Dame

Too many variables though to even begin to guess.


If Clemson were to lose, it would come down to Stanford and UNC. I think Stanford would get the nod. Neither of Stanford's losses are as bad as losing to South Carolina.
I think the same would hold if Bama were to lose. If they both lost I think it would be Stanford and UNC. OSU not winning the division kills it for them against conference champs.
Posted by sms151t
Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION
Member since Aug 2009
139848 posts
Posted on 11/29/15 at 11:30 am to
So winning 12 in a row, beating the #1 and winning ACC is not better than 2 losses?

I think that if Carolina wins they're in.
This post was edited on 11/29/15 at 11:32 am
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 11/29/15 at 11:30 am to
ND and Florida have no chance Id say


even if Florida beats Bama
Posted by DisplacedBuckeye
Member since Dec 2013
71923 posts
Posted on 11/29/15 at 11:35 am to
quote:

If Clemson were to lose, it would come down to Stanford and UNC. I think Stanford would get the nod. Neither of Stanford's losses are as bad as losing to South Carolina.
I think the same would hold if Bama were to lose. If they both lost I think it would be Stanford and UNC. OSU not winning the division kills it for them against conference champs.


I don't know. It's certainly possible, but I think they have to look hard at Stanford and UNC. Personally, I think winning a conference championship game should be a requirement to play for a national championship, but I also thought that was the case in 2011. I don't know if that will hold this season if there is some chaos next weekend.

I could very easily see the committee taking the four best teams, and I don't think that's even a debate right now. Clemson is the only chance the ACC has, and Stanford will be hard to sell with two losses. I think Bama and Clemson take care of business and eliminate any controversy next weekend.
Posted by DisplacedBuckeye
Member since Dec 2013
71923 posts
Posted on 11/29/15 at 11:38 am to
quote:

So winning 12 in a row, beating the #1 and winning ACC is not better than 2 losses?


No, not with that schedule and that loss.
Posted by redNation
In the Red
Member since May 2015
133 posts
Posted on 11/29/15 at 11:42 am to
If UNC beats Clemson then I'd say they are in.

If Clemson and Florida wins I'd put Stanford in.


If UNC and Florida both win UNC and Stanford may both squeak in. tOSU on the outside looking in since they didn't win their division.
Posted by VABuckeye
Naples, FL
Member since Dec 2007
35570 posts
Posted on 11/29/15 at 11:47 am to
quote:

OSU not winning the division kills it for them against conference champs


This is a very interesting perspective coming from an Alabama fan. You giving 2011 back? I didn't think so.
Posted by MontyFranklyn
T-Town
Member since Jan 2012
23830 posts
Posted on 11/29/15 at 12:18 pm to
quote:

This is a very interesting perspective coming from an Alabama fan. You giving 2011 back? I didn't think so.
You do realize that Bama getting in in 2011 was the reason the playoff was formed. You do realize that an emphasis on winning conference champions by the committee to prevent that from happening again, don't you?
Posted by chalmetteowl
Chalmette
Member since Jan 2008
47663 posts
Posted on 11/29/15 at 12:22 pm to
why not Clemson even if they lose... they join the 1-loss teams and should be compared against them?

there is precedent for a team losing, even getting blown out in the CCG and getting in the top-2 BCS title game (2003 Oklahoma).
Posted by VABuckeye
Naples, FL
Member since Dec 2007
35570 posts
Posted on 11/29/15 at 12:25 pm to
quote:

You do realize that an emphasis on winning conference champions by the committee to prevent that from happening again, don't you?


You do realize that being a conference champion is not a criteria for making the playoffs, right?
Posted by DisplacedBuckeye
Member since Dec 2013
71923 posts
Posted on 11/29/15 at 12:28 pm to
quote:

You do realize that Bama getting in in 2011 was the reason the playoff was formed. You do realize that an emphasis on winning conference champions by the committee to prevent that from happening again, don't you?


You do realize this is because everyone knew 2011 was bullshite, right?
Posted by MontyFranklyn
T-Town
Member since Jan 2012
23830 posts
Posted on 11/29/15 at 12:37 pm to
quote:

You do realize that being a conference champion is not a criteria for making the playoffs, right?
As I said earlier, the committee has said they put heavy emphasis on conference championships. Can't get any clearer
Posted by DisplacedBuckeye
Member since Dec 2013
71923 posts
Posted on 11/29/15 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

As I said earlier, the committee has said they put heavy emphasis on conference championships. Can't get any clearer


I honestly feel like the committee will look for any reason they can to get Ohio State in. A lot has to happen for them to be able to justify it, but it's what they want. A Bama/Ohio State rematch is exactly what they've wanted all year. I don't necessarily agree with it, but there are going to be some sore people around here if the pieces fall into place.
Posted by mizzoubuckeyeiowa
Member since Nov 2015
35544 posts
Posted on 11/29/15 at 12:45 pm to
We have 4 teams...and a supposed playoff...nobody cares about records in the NFL - and we're supposed to now be above the AP "undefeated" only criteria of past college football.

If this stupid committee did their homework and actually watched football...regardless of record...

The Pac-12 champ should be in and the SEC champ should be in. Regardless of record.

Then work with the ACC, Big-12 and Big10 last and fight it out among them.

But if you phucking watch football - it's the Pac-12 and SEC to be fair.

The committee should not be rewarding the Boise State model of making these bowl games.

For once, like the March Madness committee - they should evaluate wins and losses on a sliding scale based on conference and schedule.

But right now in CFB, it's as if the March Madness committee would make 29-0 San Diego State #1 and 29-3 North Carolina #5.
Posted by DisplacedBuckeye
Member since Dec 2013
71923 posts
Posted on 11/29/15 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

mizzoubuckeyeiowa


It's the SEC and Big Ten, but I agree with everything else. Let the PAC, ACC, and Big 12 figure out who the other two are.
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