They better open the checkbook for someone
I agree on that.
But look at Napoli's comps. His two most similar players are Matt Nokes and Chris Hoiles. I don't really see the Nokes comp, so let's stick with Hoiles, which is a pretty fair comp.
Hoiles was done at age 33. His last 20 HR season was his age 31 season. If everything breaks right, the Red Sox get late career Mickey Tettleton, who hit 243/387/476 with an avg of 27 HR and 460 AB in his age 31-33 seasons. It could happen. But I wouldn't bet $13 million on it. And that's likely the best case scenario.
Fat sluggers tend to age poorly, more than any other type of player except high-average, no-walk speedsters. They don't age gracefully. They fall off cliffs, generally.
ETA: Napoli went on the DL each of his two seasons in Texas. A guy goes on the DL in back-to-back years, I tend to think that makes him injury prone.
This post was edited on 12/3 at 3:43 pm