- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
2
Posted on 10/13/17 at 7:51 pm to jefforize
Do you read Reddit sports book page ? Their is a guy there with an interesting model. He posts in the thread every morning, usually first.
Posted on 10/13/17 at 7:52 pm to RoadTrucker
Ottawa is slightly undervalued as a dog and Calgary is overly favored by the books tonight. Take that for what it's worth.
Posted on 10/13/17 at 8:06 pm to Tigers0891
quote:
Do you read Reddit sports book page ? Their is a guy there with an interesting model. He posts in the thread every morning, usually first.
What’s his handle?
Posted on 10/13/17 at 8:17 pm to RoadTrucker
Would have been a good bet imo.
Ill check out that thread on reddit
Ill check out that thread on reddit
Posted on 10/13/17 at 8:45 pm to jefforize
CBJ beat the Rangers 3-1 tonight. Bob is playing at his top level already.
Posted on 10/13/17 at 8:58 pm to KillerNut9
Panarin's first as a Jacket was a beauty
Posted on 10/13/17 at 9:48 pm to RoadTrucker
me_for_president_2032 or something like that. He has an explanation about his model on a couple blog posts. I'm not an expert bettor or capper or anything. Just getting into sports betting. After reading though, I'll say his model is really good for identifying favorites that do not have near as big of a money line as they should. The Capitols were one of those tonight. Sometimes you find Dogs that Vegas has at +150 but once the model is applied, the probability has the line more around +105 or +110. It's fun hitting those.
Of course, you have to believe that his initial probability scores converted to odds are somewhat accurate otherwise it falls apart. It is more of a system to find margins against the book. If you used it to identify a few choices for value, then loooked even closer with whatever other subjective stats you may like to examine, you would be doing pretty well for yourself.
Of course, you have to believe that his initial probability scores converted to odds are somewhat accurate otherwise it falls apart. It is more of a system to find margins against the book. If you used it to identify a few choices for value, then loooked even closer with whatever other subjective stats you may like to examine, you would be doing pretty well for yourself.
This post was edited on 10/13/17 at 9:53 pm
Posted on 10/13/17 at 9:56 pm to Tigers0891
I bet against two of his picks tonight. Lost one out right and I'm down already in the other game that just started. Damn lol.
Posted on 10/13/17 at 10:05 pm to Tigers0891
I have a similar model
Calgary cant stay out of the box and are getting shelled 3-0
Calgary cant stay out of the box and are getting shelled 3-0
Posted on 10/14/17 at 8:07 am to jefforize
What are people using to run the figures they come up with ?
Posted on 10/14/17 at 12:56 pm to Tigers0891
personal ranking systems and recent moneylines I imagine.
yesterday 1-1. today I went heavy:
Toronto -115 1U
Carolina +105 1U
Colorado +170 .5U
Kings -170 1U
NJ +135 .5U
Pittsburgh -165 1U
San Jose -145 1U
yesterday 1-1. today I went heavy:
Toronto -115 1U
Carolina +105 1U
Colorado +170 .5U
Kings -170 1U
NJ +135 .5U
Pittsburgh -165 1U
San Jose -145 1U
Posted on 10/15/17 at 12:16 pm to jefforize
4-3 day yesterday. Washington got drilled, sharks lose to islanders, oilers mauled by Ottawa
todays play:
Kings - 145 1U
todays play:
Kings - 145 1U
Posted on 10/15/17 at 1:42 pm to Tigers0891
Flyers win 8-2!
Posted on 10/15/17 at 5:58 pm to jefforize
I didn't mess with any games today , in any sport for that matter. Still may change my mind and bet the cubs last minute but probably going to take a day off.
Posted on 10/15/17 at 7:07 pm to Tigers0891
Well I think we can all agree Auston Matthews is a Habs dream crusher-Leafs win at the Bell Centre for the first time in what feels like a decade, has SMS picked a new team yet?i hope its Pittsburgh...
Posted on 10/15/17 at 9:05 pm to LSUCanFAN
Shipachyov scores a goal in his first NHL game. It was so stupid he wasn't in the lineup before today.
Posted on 10/15/17 at 9:12 pm to Mr Personality
Kucherov has a goal in all 5 games for TB. Stamkos looking recovered, Johnson, Point and the best defensemen in the world Hedman.
Lightning going to win the Cup.
Lightning going to win the Cup.
Posted on 10/16/17 at 5:38 am to ThatMakesSense
How is TB gonna win the cup when The Leafs are gonna win the cup? Common think man!
Page 23 of 190
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News