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re: OFFICIAL- UK votes to leave the EU

Posted on 6/23/16 at 10:55 pm to
Posted by Emiliooo
Member since Jun 2013
5148 posts
Posted on 6/23/16 at 10:55 pm to
The GBP slides more than 10% against the dollar and looks to keep sliding. It's at a 31 year low.
Posted by Crazy4OU
Fort Worth
Member since Oct 2005
80 posts
Posted on 6/23/16 at 11:22 pm to
I will be buying for DEO next week.
Posted by juice4lsu
Member since Dec 2007
3695 posts
Posted on 6/23/16 at 11:25 pm to
As the dollar strengthens against other currencies we will likely see oil go back down.

Do we get back into the vicious cycle of oil tied to equities?

Do middle eastern sovereign funds sell off to meet obligations, selling US equities and starting the cycle again?
Posted by southernelite
Dallas
Member since Sep 2009
53177 posts
Posted on 6/23/16 at 11:29 pm to
quote:

As the dollar strengthens against other currencies we will likely see oil go back down.


down 6% at the moment
Posted by HYDRebs
Houston
Member since Sep 2014
1241 posts
Posted on 6/24/16 at 12:05 am to
Japan market is getting absolutely slacked. Down over 7.5% now
Posted by TigerDeBaiter
Member since Dec 2010
10266 posts
Posted on 6/24/16 at 12:16 am to
I think they flipped the breakers about an hour ago. Didn't do a whole lot

Must suck to have to be the first to react to the news.
Posted by southernelite
Dallas
Member since Sep 2009
53177 posts
Posted on 6/24/16 at 12:33 am to
quote:

I think they flipped the breakers about an hour ago. Didn't do a whole lot Must suck to have to be the first to react to the news.


can only imagine what would have happened if the US markets would have been opened. at least there is a little time for cooler heads to prevail before the open. but if Asia continues to tank anymore, the US market will be a bloodbath
Posted by TigerDeBaiter
Member since Dec 2010
10266 posts
Posted on 6/24/16 at 12:55 am to
At least we're still the best of the worst!
Posted by lynxcat
Member since Jan 2008
24149 posts
Posted on 6/24/16 at 1:19 am to
World is freaking out over nothing. Brexit doesn't just end the trade of goods and services. I fail to see why this is having such a massive global impact on financial markets.
Posted by RemouladeSawce
Uranus
Member since Sep 2008
13945 posts
Posted on 6/24/16 at 1:34 am to
quote:

I fail to see why this is having such a massive global impact on financial markets.
Leave got smashed in the polls this past week, and traders bet accordingly. If you're using a benchmark of one week ago, when polls were closer to parity, you're talking intra-day depreciation against the $ of 5% and not 10%. The markets priced the wrong damn thing in, as evidenced by the appreciation before the vote.

And now we're up to 8.5% intra-day, 4% down from one week ago. Ideally the ECB and BoE don't botch their messaging over the next few hours and this volatility ends up looking silly.
This post was edited on 6/24/16 at 1:44 am
Posted by lynxcat
Member since Jan 2008
24149 posts
Posted on 6/24/16 at 1:45 am to
This all is trying to assume that the trade across the globe goes down, especially in UK as it would be less efficient to conduct business, correct? Basically, now companies have to make deals with the U.K. And the EU separately when previously it was a single deal.

I think forecasting the actual impact is being overblown. The U.K. is still a large enough economic power that countries and companies will negotiate with it. This isn't like if a smaller country like Portugal left the EU where they go to the back of the line never to see the light of day.

In short, for the drops to be real, you have to expect the trade and investment of the globe to be materially lower after Brexit than before.
Posted by TigerDeBaiter
Member since Dec 2010
10266 posts
Posted on 6/24/16 at 2:03 am to
quote:

World is freaking out over nothing. Brexit doesn't just end the trade of goods and services. I fail to see why this is having such a massive global impact on financial markets.


I think the majority of it is just uncertainty right now.

But also, the realization that's we've reached a temporary top in growth and a bottom of interest rates. Where do we go from here? We've run out of band aides and refused to raise rates when we had the opportunity.

Add to that, the growing theme of nationalism and somewhat isolationism at a time when growth has already been paltry and you can see why people are selling.
Posted by TigerDeBaiter
Member since Dec 2010
10266 posts
Posted on 6/24/16 at 2:08 am to
Wow. IBEX (Madrid) down over 15%

That's an index. Talk about buy the fricking dip.
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
80154 posts
Posted on 6/24/16 at 5:51 am to
When there's blood in the streets.... BUY BUY BUY
Posted by CtotheVrzrbck
WeWaCo
Member since Dec 2007
37538 posts
Posted on 6/24/16 at 6:00 am to
It's a bloodbath this morning
Posted by MikeD
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2004
7241 posts
Posted on 6/24/16 at 6:43 am to
What's everyone looking to pick up today on the dip?
Posted by TigerDeBaiter
Member since Dec 2010
10266 posts
Posted on 6/24/16 at 7:06 am to
Not as bloody as it was at its worst last night and not as bloody as I hoped to wake up to.
Posted by b-rab2
N. Louisiana
Member since Dec 2005
12577 posts
Posted on 6/24/16 at 7:33 am to
what are we buying? maybe some JCP? NFLX? SPY? oil stocks!! EVERyTHING!
Posted by southernelite
Dallas
Member since Sep 2009
53177 posts
Posted on 6/24/16 at 7:44 am to
I was hoping to see oil lower. It hit in the 46s last night and I wanted it around there
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
80778 posts
Posted on 6/24/16 at 8:14 am to
Looks like things aren't nearly as bad as last night. S&P was down over 5% at one point
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