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Posted on 4/6/15 at 10:40 am to Clint Torres
"As for the market’s valuation, we’re comparing two different possibilities: first, that it rises by 200%, second, that it falls by 66% percent. In both cases, we’re assuming that the move sticks–that the valuation stays elevated or depressed forever."
Since this scenario is not possible, I don't see why one would consider it. Maybe I missed something.
Since this scenario is not possible, I don't see why one would consider it. Maybe I missed something.
Posted on 4/6/15 at 8:53 pm to Teddy Ruxpin
quote:
Well I think the recent housing collapse indicated that Nola real estate is NOT representative of all markets. We were pretty insulated from that. The recent surge in prices is more due to all of the development around the city, the influx of investment money, and the influx of young people.
DO NOT AGREE
While some areas inside the city limits are experiencing re gentrification most of the raw sales numbers, IMO are being driven by locals moving up in house not really an influx.
As far as being insulated from the 2008 crunch that had more to do with Katrina insurance money than anything else.
If there is another bubble, and i think there is, we won't fare nearly as well IMO
Posted on 4/9/15 at 10:25 am to MoreOrLes
quote:
If there is another bubble, and i think there is, we won't fare nearly as well IMO
I would love to know what percentage of the high-end homes in this city are being sold as second homes to northerners. I know a couple of people from NYC who bought $600K houses uptown because, comparatively speaking, that's basically free to them. They only stay there a month or two of the year.
If there is a crash those kinds of second homes will be the first things to go.
Posted on 4/9/15 at 8:08 pm to foshizzle
I guess you have me figured out.
That makes total sense...it is just a question brother.
That makes total sense...it is just a question brother.
Posted on 4/9/15 at 8:17 pm to Ace Midnight
I think( potentially) in regards to fractional reserve lending along with out low interest rate lending environment could cause a huge downward trend for very big banks. Google fractional reserve lending and how ultimately that is a huge bubble scenario for them that could pop....just my humble opinion.
I think (also-potentially) that the stock market bubble will pop in the next 12-15 months (maybe as soon as this fall) and I think the bubble pop will be as large or larger than 2008...
The stock market has had faulty/artificial/paper growth and it has been a good ride, but gravity along with a bubble burst is coming...it pretty much is inevitable...
Once again....nobody knows the future, but just my candid educated opinion.
I think (also-potentially) that the stock market bubble will pop in the next 12-15 months (maybe as soon as this fall) and I think the bubble pop will be as large or larger than 2008...
The stock market has had faulty/artificial/paper growth and it has been a good ride, but gravity along with a bubble burst is coming...it pretty much is inevitable...
Once again....nobody knows the future, but just my candid educated opinion.
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