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401 K question

Posted on 1/22/16 at 8:30 pm
Posted by JBM210
Member since Dec 2010
3192 posts
Posted on 1/22/16 at 8:30 pm
I have heard that an election year is bad as far as a decent return on your money. I have already tanked slightly with the little I have in my account now in the last 3 weeks. Currently in some high risk funds and I'm middle aged. Considering moving to a fixed return type fund(s)just for this year. Suggestions?
Posted by Sigma
Fairhope, AL
Member since Dec 2005
3643 posts
Posted on 1/22/16 at 8:48 pm to
Everybody has tanked in the last three weeks, so don't worry about that. You're about a month too late to move out of stocks (assuming, since you said high risk) IMO. My advice is to keep plugging along, since this is a retirement account and you should be thinking long term. Even if you are in your 40s.
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
11875 posts
Posted on 1/22/16 at 8:58 pm to
I think about it this way.... I would love for the market to go down measurably right now.

I am not close to retiring; I am confident that over the long run we will have a return to the mean.

The lower it is now, the lower my basis and higher future return.

I know you are talking more about timing the year, but heck drop in and hope it goes down - the basis drop in future investments will over ride any loss on the pittance you put in now.
Posted by BayouSizzle
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2016
316 posts
Posted on 1/23/16 at 7:19 am to
Unless you are retiring this year, look at it as an opportunity to buy low.

$1 in this year is worth ~$80 - $100 when you retire (time value over 40 yrs...depending on % return, of course).

Long-term means no short-term fretting. No need.
Posted by Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
4583 posts
Posted on 1/23/16 at 8:47 am to
Election years are actually good for stocks historically.
Posted by WPBTiger
Parts Unknown
Member since Nov 2011
30999 posts
Posted on 1/23/16 at 9:27 am to
quote:

Everybody has tanked in the last three weeks, so don't worry about that. You're about a month too late to move out of stocks (assuming, since you said high risk) IMO. My advice is to keep plugging along, since this is a retirement account and you should be thinking long term. Even if you are in your 40s.


This. You also only tanked on paper. You do not loose until you withdraw.
Posted by gpburdell
ATL
Member since Jun 2015
1422 posts
Posted on 1/23/16 at 11:19 pm to
quote:

Election years are actually good for stocks historically.


Which means exactly nothing for future performance.

If the OP is scared of a blip on the radar, then maybe he shouldn't be invested in stocks to begin with. If this was 2008 when the market dropped 50%, then I can see why people would be worried.

I take Buffet's advice to heart and be greedy when people are fearful. The past couple weeks every time there was a significant drop; I put more money in. Whether it was new money or selling bonds, I look at it as a buying opportunity. With at least 15 years to retirement, I don't care what happens in the short term as long as I make my goal in the end.
Posted by Scooba
Member since Jun 2013
19999 posts
Posted on 1/25/16 at 7:31 am to
quote:

I think about it this way.... I would love for the market to go down measurably right now.

I am not close to retiring; I am confident that over the long run we will have a return to the mean.


We are in the same boat my friend. OP, Even at middle age, your money has plenty of time to work for you.
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