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re: Weather Radar and Lange...

Posted on 5/20/16 at 9:16 am to
Posted by GeauxxxTigers23
TeamBunt General Manager
Member since Apr 2013
62514 posts
Posted on 5/20/16 at 9:16 am to
quote:

You've already posted that you heard the forecast for rain in the MORNING on the radio. I saw the radar and heard the forecast as of 5:15 pm. We had the all clear at that point to play and get the game in.



Dude, the weather forecast yesterday morning said showers and rain moving in last night at game time. I looked at the radar myself and saw the line moving west and did a simple time/speed/distance calculation and knew the weather would be her around game time or shortly after. We simply can't afford to waste Lange even if there's a possibility of the game being called. Florida can, they have a national seed locked up. There's absolutely no reason to change their rotation. This series is the most important of the year for LSU. We have one ace and he was wasted because Paul thought he maybe could squeak a run across and the game would go 5. Planning to use your only ace against the best team in the country for a game you know will get called is dumb. At the very least he should've changed the starting pitcher just before game time because anyone with a brain knew that game wasn't going 9 innings by 6 PM.
Posted by lsushelly
Denham Springs
Member since Aug 2006
2860 posts
Posted on 5/20/16 at 9:20 am to
Exactly. Two hours before game time I looked at the my radar app. It was inevitable that the rain was coming soon
Posted by MOT
Member since Jul 2006
27834 posts
Posted on 5/20/16 at 9:26 am to
quote:

Paul thought he maybe could squeak a run across and the game would go 5

The game would have been resumed anyway so that wasn't the thought process. Unless you're saying he thought that one would go 5 and the rest of the weekend would be a total washout.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 5/20/16 at 9:27 am to
quote:

weather forecast yesterday morning
quote:

5:15 pm


Which one is likely to be more accurate? The 5:15 radar was clear within 70 miles of BR.

If Mainieri had started Smith and he had gotten shelled and if the weather men had been correct about the rain holding off until 10 pm, you and ell would be on here this morning bitching about Mainieri not listening the latest weather reports and throwing the first game away: "Why the frick didn't Mainieri start Lange against Shore?!? The forecast was clear until 10 pm!! Mainieri doesn't know what he's doing!!!"

It's what you two always do. You're just like ell, arguing just for the sake of arguing.

Posted by doya2
Charenton
Member since Jan 2005
7929 posts
Posted on 5/20/16 at 9:29 am to
quote:

At the very least he should've changed the starting pitcher just before game time because anyone with a brain knew that game wasn't going 9 innings by 6 PM.


Exactly!
Posted by GeauxxxTigers23
TeamBunt General Manager
Member since Apr 2013
62514 posts
Posted on 5/20/16 at 9:29 am to
quote:

Which one is likely to be more accurate? The 5:15 radar was clear within 70 miles of BR.



Uh, I would say the weather radar at 5:15 that had a massive line of weather 70 miles west of BR moving at 20 miles per hour is exactly accurate. And the thunderstorm that popped up ahead of the line was predicted.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 5/20/16 at 9:29 am to
quote:

Paul thought he maybe could squeak a run across and the game would go 5


The game would have been resumed anyway so that wasn't the thought process.
Don't use facts with him. It's useless. Ignorance is bliss.....
Posted by lsushelly
Denham Springs
Member since Aug 2006
2860 posts
Posted on 5/20/16 at 9:31 am to
The 5:15 radar was clear within 70 miles of BR.

Which put the storm in BR in about two hours.
Posted by GeauxxxTigers23
TeamBunt General Manager
Member since Apr 2013
62514 posts
Posted on 5/20/16 at 9:32 am to
It doesn't matter if the game would've been resumed. You can't waste Lange in a series this important when you know the game even has a possibility of being delayed for a long time or delayed.
Posted by HeauxBeaux
Member since Mar 2008
5538 posts
Posted on 5/20/16 at 9:33 am to
I'm curious if we win tonight and tomorrow's resumption game, Mainieri might take a chance and pitch Lange the final game
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 5/20/16 at 9:33 am to
quote:

And the thunderstorm that popped up ahead of the line was predicted.
NO, IT WASN'T.

I was watching the 5 pm weather to see if I should list my tickets to the game on StubHub. I didn't want to go to the game and have it rain delayed. Neither station mentioned anything about storm preceding the main line of rain which was still west of Lafayette.

When BOTH weather forecasts said no rain until 10 pm, I got dressed and went to the game.
Posted by GeauxxxTigers23
TeamBunt General Manager
Member since Apr 2013
62514 posts
Posted on 5/20/16 at 9:34 am to
There is actual tape of the weather guy predicting thunderstorms popping up ahead of the main line of weather yesterday evening.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 5/20/16 at 9:37 am to
quote:

The 5:15 radar was clear within 70 miles of BR.

Which put the storm in BR in about two hours.
No, shelly, it put the line of rain between 4 and 5 hours away from BR. It wasn't moving at 35 mph. It was moving east around 15 mph.

How is it everyone on here knows more than the two weather forecasters on the BR channels who both said at 5:15 that the rain wasn't due to reach BR until around 10pm???
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 5/20/16 at 9:39 am to
quote:

It doesn't matter if the game would've been resumed.
Then why claim Mainieri was hoping to win the game with Lange pitching in 5 innings?
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 5/20/16 at 9:40 am to
quote:

There is actual tape of the weather guy predicting thunderstorms popping up ahead of the main line of weather yesterday evening.
Maybe a tape made in the morning or early afternoon. The forecast changed around mid-afternoon.
Posted by GeauxxxTigers23
TeamBunt General Manager
Member since Apr 2013
62514 posts
Posted on 5/20/16 at 9:49 am to
quote:


Maybe a tape made in the morning or early afternoon. The forecast changed around mid-afternoon.




The storm sped up as the afternoon went on. All storms speed up and intensify as the day goes on. That's basic weather. I Was watching it and it was obvious that the weather was getting hear before 10PM. I don't know what app you use but you need a new one.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 5/20/16 at 9:50 am to
quote:

Uh, I would say the weather radar at 5:15 that had a massive line of weather 70 miles west of BR moving at 20 miles per hour is exactly accurate.
Uh, you suck at math. Even if it was moving at 20 mph (which it wasn't, it was moving at 15mph) it would take 3.5 hours to get to BR, putting it here at around 8:45. The game was stopped around 7:15.

The line of rain that was west of Lafayette at 5:15 didn't hit BR until 9:45. It was the unforeseen mesa cyclone that hit the area around 7:15.

That's why we had TWO big rain events last night. The first one was associated with the mesa cyclone and the second one was associated with the strong line of storms that had been moving from the west all day.

I live about 4.5 miles from Alex Box Stadium and I went out for a walk at around 9 pm after the first rain had stopped after the mesa cyclone had moved east of us. Not long after I got back in my house, the second round of strong rain and wind hit.

The weather guys at 5:15 pretty much nailed the timing on the line of storms. It was the mesa cyclone that stopped the game around 7:15, not the line of storms associated with the front.
Posted by GeauxxxTigers23
TeamBunt General Manager
Member since Apr 2013
62514 posts
Posted on 5/20/16 at 9:51 am to
quote:

Then why claim Mainieri was hoping to win the game with Lange pitching in 5 innings?


He was gambling that he could've gotten deep into the game with Lange before it was delayed. That's the problem I have. You any make that gamble with Lange on this series against this team.
Posted by Mickey Goldmill
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2010
23075 posts
Posted on 5/20/16 at 9:51 am to
quote:

At the very least he should've changed the starting pitcher just before game time because anyone with a brain knew that game wasn't going 9 innings by 6 PM.


You do realize the starting pitcher doesn't just put his glove on and run out to the mound when the game starts, right? He goes through an extended warm up routine prior to the game. Lange had already done that. You almost never see a decision change in your starting pitcher right before the game starts. Coaches want the starter to be both mentally and physically prepared in advance of the game.
Posted by iamandykeim
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2015
2623 posts
Posted on 5/20/16 at 9:52 am to
quote:

If CPM would have said anybody but Lange was starting last night this board would have went in melt down mode.


Because PM bases his coaching decisions on what the Tiger Rant says
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