Started By
Message
locked post

Sagarin Predictor is 31-4 for SEC games this year...

Posted on 9/28/09 at 8:41 pm
Posted by JPLSU1981
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2005
26249 posts
Posted on 9/28/09 at 8:41 pm
Has LSU beating Georgia, FWIW ... and for those that don't know, the Sagarin ratings are used in the BCS.


quote:

Last week, the Sagarin SEC predictions went 8-0, with a season total of 31-4 for SEC games.

Below is the predicted finish for each team in the SEC, based on the Sagarin "Predictor" rating (completed games count as actually finished, not as "predicted"). Below the rankings is a breakdown of each team's predicted wins and losses, along with the predictions for this week's games.

SEC East
1. Florida: 8-0 (12-0)
2. Tennessee: 6-2 (9-3)
3. Georgia: 5-3 (7-5)
4. South Carolina: 4-4 (7-5)
5. Vanderbilt: 1-7 (4-8)
6. Kentucky: 1-7 (5-7)

SEC West
1. Alabama: 8-0 (12-0)
2. LSU: 6-2 (10-2)
3. Auburn: 4-4 (8-4)
4. Mississippi: 3-5 (7-5)
5. Arkansas: 1-7 (4-8)
6. Mississippi State: 1-7 (3-9)

Florida over Alabama in SEC Championship by 4.1

Week Five Predictions (along with expected spread, lowest to highest):
LSU over Georgia by 1.06
Texas A&M over Arkansas by 2.53
Mississippi over Vanderbilt by 3.51
Tennessee over Auburn by 3.61
Georgia Tech over Mississippi State by 5.15
Alabama over Kentucky by 11.4
South Carolina over SC State by 31

Bye: Florida

Breaking Down the Schedule (Italic games have already been played)

Georgia: 7-5 (5-3)
Wins: South Carolina, Arkansas, Arizona State, Vanderbilt, Tennessee Tech, Auburn, Kentucky
Losses: Oklahoma State, LSU, Tennessee, Florida, Georgia Tech

Alabama: 12-0 (8-0)
Wins: Virginia Tech*, Fla. International, North Texas, Arkansas, Kentucky, Mississippi, South Carolina, Tennessee, LSU, Mississippi State, Chattanooga, Auburn
Losses:

Arkansas: 4-8 (1-7)
Wins: Missouri State, Eastern Michigan, Troy, Mississippi State
Losses: Georgia, Alabama, Texas A&M, Auburn, Florida, Mississippi, South Carolina, LSU

Auburn: 8-4 (4-4)
Wins: Louisiana Tech, Mississippi State, West Virginia, Ball State, Arkansas, Kentucky, Mississippi, Furman
Losses: Tennessee, LSU, Georgia, Alabama

Florida: 12-0 (8-0)
Wins: Charleston Southern, Troy, Tennessee, Kentucky, LSU, Arkansas, Mississippi State, Georgia, Vanderbilt, South Carolina, Fla. International, Florida State
Losses:

Kentucky: 5-7 (1-7)
Wins: Miami-Ohio, Louisville, Louisiana-Monroe, Mississippi State, Eastern Kentucky
Losses: Florida, Alabama, South Carolina, Auburn, Vanderbilt, Georgia, Tennessee

LSU: 10-2 (6-2)
Wins: Washington, Vanderbilt, Louisiana-Lafayette, Mississippi State, Georgia, Auburn, Tulane, Louisiana Tech, Mississippi, Arkansas
Losses: Florida, Alabama

Mississippi: 7-5 (3-5)
Wins: Memphis, SE Louisiana, Vanderbilt, UAB, Arkansas, Northern Arizona, Mississippi State
Losses: South Carolina, Alabama, Auburn, Tennessee, LSU

Mississippi State: 3-9 (1-7)
Wins: Jackson State, Vanderbilt, Middle Tennessee
Losses: Auburn, LSU, Georgia Tech, Houston, Florida, Kentucky, Alabama, Arkansas, Mississippi

South Carolina: 7-5 (4-4)
Wins: NC State, Florida Atlantic, Mississippi, SC State, Kentucky, Vanderbilt, Arkansas
Losses: Georgia, Alabama, Tennessee, Florida, Clemson

Tennessee: 9-3 (6-2)
Wins: Western Kentucky, Ohio University, Auburn, Georgia, South Carolina, Memphis, Mississippi, Vanderbilt, Kentucky
Losses: UCLA*, Florida, Alabama

Vanderbilt: 4-8 (1-7)
Wins: Western Carolina, Rice, Army, Kentucky
Losses: LSU, Mississippi State*, Mississippi, Georgia, South Carolina, Georgia Tech, Florida, Tennessee

*Actual result different from current Sagarin predictions.



LINK

Sagarin Ratings
This post was edited on 9/28/09 at 8:43 pm
Posted by Slinger16
Not Louisiana
Member since Jun 2007
21867 posts
Posted on 9/28/09 at 8:41 pm to
10-2 would be acceptable.
Posted by Cornholio
LaPlace
Member since Nov 2007
8212 posts
Posted on 9/28/09 at 8:48 pm to
quote:

Sagarin Predictor is 31-4 for SEC games this year...
10-2 would be acceptable.


Especially with the way this team has played so far.
Posted by ApexTiger
cary nc
Member since Oct 2003
53771 posts
Posted on 9/28/09 at 8:50 pm to
Bama going 12-0 unacceptable!

Nick never did that at LSU
Posted by JPLSU1981
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2005
26249 posts
Posted on 9/28/09 at 8:50 pm to
I'd run around Perkins Rowe naked if we go 10-2.


Ok, maybe not, but I'd certainly be thrilled with 10-2 given this schedule and the "reloading" aspect of this particular LSU team.
Posted by Sid in Lakeshore
Member since Oct 2008
41956 posts
Posted on 9/28/09 at 8:51 pm to
Sagarin is definitely a POSITIGER!
Posted by Walt OReilly
Poplarville, MS
Member since Oct 2005
124336 posts
Posted on 9/28/09 at 8:53 pm to
quote:

I'd run around Perkins Rowe naked if we go 10-2.



Dont want to see that , but we will have to bump this thread if it happens
This post was edited on 9/28/09 at 8:55 pm
Posted by 2007lsuno1
Marietta, GA
Member since Aug 2009
6692 posts
Posted on 9/28/09 at 8:55 pm to
Agreed. The way LSU has been playing, 10-2 would be great for this team. And although I'd love to be wrong and go 12-0, I'm afraid it's going to around 8-5. Just dont have it this year.
Posted by faxis
La.
Member since Oct 2007
7773 posts
Posted on 9/28/09 at 9:04 pm to
We get by Georgia this week and I'd say that's a definite possibility.
Posted by LSUzealot
Napoleon and Magazine
Member since Sep 2003
57656 posts
Posted on 9/28/09 at 9:05 pm to
if both florida & alabama are both undefeated at the end of the year and florida wins, i think bama should still make the national championship
Posted by rockchlkjayhku11
Cincinnati, OH
Member since Aug 2006
36449 posts
Posted on 9/28/09 at 9:09 pm to
my god i dont think tennessee is nearly that good.
Posted by 2007lsuno1
Marietta, GA
Member since Aug 2009
6692 posts
Posted on 9/28/09 at 9:17 pm to
I do think we match up well with Georgia, but my concern is with our running game. You know what it means to be one dimensional. I'll be pacing I'm sure the entire game.
Posted by DollaChoppa
I Simp for ACC
Member since May 2008
84774 posts
Posted on 9/28/09 at 9:19 pm to
arkansas does better than 1-7 (4-8)

terrible.
Posted by TriumphTiger
Alpharetta, GA
Member since Sep 2007
10186 posts
Posted on 9/28/09 at 9:21 pm to
quote:

Bama going 12-0 unacceptable!

Nick never did that at LSU


Bama doesn't have Florida on the regular season schedule ... and didn't last year either. It makes 12-0 a little easier.

They've got a weak Tennessee team - no UGA, no UF.
Posted by ItalianTiger83
25 miles from Death Valley
Member since Apr 2009
650 posts
Posted on 9/28/09 at 9:32 pm to
Posted by TBoy
Kalamazoo
Member since Dec 2007
23684 posts
Posted on 9/28/09 at 9:36 pm to
Hasn't Tennessee already lost 2?
Posted by simmons2112
Member since May 2008
3184 posts
Posted on 9/28/09 at 9:40 pm to
If this team goes 10-2 I'll kiss the Sagarin Predictor's arse.

Posted by Purple N Gold Blood
Gods country
Member since Sep 2009
2998 posts
Posted on 9/28/09 at 10:03 pm to
boy this thread has bump written all over it !
Posted by Monkeyboy
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2007
764 posts
Posted on 9/28/09 at 10:15 pm to
quote:

Week Five Predictions (along with expected spread, lowest to highest):
LSU over Georgia by 1.06
Texas A&M over Arkansas by 2.53
Mississippi over Vanderbilt by 3.51
Tennessee over Auburn by 3.61
Georgia Tech over Mississippi State by 5.15
Alabama over Kentucky by 11.4
South Carolina over SC State by 31

I'm pretty lazy. Is there any web page that does all the subtraction of the Sagarin Prediction values for you so I don't have to do it myself? I'm talking about a page that does it for every week for every college football game.
Posted by sheek
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Sep 2007
43891 posts
Posted on 9/28/09 at 11:07 pm to
quote:

If this team goes 10-2 I'll kiss the Sagarin Predictor's arse


you would have to kick my arse to do it.
first pageprev pagePage 1 of 2Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitterInstagram