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Sagarin Predictor is 31-4 for SEC games this year...
Posted on 9/28/09 at 8:41 pm
Posted on 9/28/09 at 8:41 pm
Has LSU beating Georgia, FWIW ... and for those that don't know, the Sagarin ratings are used in the BCS.
LINK
Sagarin Ratings
quote:
Last week, the Sagarin SEC predictions went 8-0, with a season total of 31-4 for SEC games.
Below is the predicted finish for each team in the SEC, based on the Sagarin "Predictor" rating (completed games count as actually finished, not as "predicted"). Below the rankings is a breakdown of each team's predicted wins and losses, along with the predictions for this week's games.
SEC East
1. Florida: 8-0 (12-0)
2. Tennessee: 6-2 (9-3)
3. Georgia: 5-3 (7-5)
4. South Carolina: 4-4 (7-5)
5. Vanderbilt: 1-7 (4-8)
6. Kentucky: 1-7 (5-7)
SEC West
1. Alabama: 8-0 (12-0)
2. LSU: 6-2 (10-2)
3. Auburn: 4-4 (8-4)
4. Mississippi: 3-5 (7-5)
5. Arkansas: 1-7 (4-8)
6. Mississippi State: 1-7 (3-9)
Florida over Alabama in SEC Championship by 4.1
Week Five Predictions (along with expected spread, lowest to highest):
LSU over Georgia by 1.06
Texas A&M over Arkansas by 2.53
Mississippi over Vanderbilt by 3.51
Tennessee over Auburn by 3.61
Georgia Tech over Mississippi State by 5.15
Alabama over Kentucky by 11.4
South Carolina over SC State by 31
Bye: Florida
Breaking Down the Schedule (Italic games have already been played)
Georgia: 7-5 (5-3)
Wins: South Carolina, Arkansas, Arizona State, Vanderbilt, Tennessee Tech, Auburn, Kentucky
Losses: Oklahoma State, LSU, Tennessee, Florida, Georgia Tech
Alabama: 12-0 (8-0)
Wins: Virginia Tech*, Fla. International, North Texas, Arkansas, Kentucky, Mississippi, South Carolina, Tennessee, LSU, Mississippi State, Chattanooga, Auburn
Losses:
Arkansas: 4-8 (1-7)
Wins: Missouri State, Eastern Michigan, Troy, Mississippi State
Losses: Georgia, Alabama, Texas A&M, Auburn, Florida, Mississippi, South Carolina, LSU
Auburn: 8-4 (4-4)
Wins: Louisiana Tech, Mississippi State, West Virginia, Ball State, Arkansas, Kentucky, Mississippi, Furman
Losses: Tennessee, LSU, Georgia, Alabama
Florida: 12-0 (8-0)
Wins: Charleston Southern, Troy, Tennessee, Kentucky, LSU, Arkansas, Mississippi State, Georgia, Vanderbilt, South Carolina, Fla. International, Florida State
Losses:
Kentucky: 5-7 (1-7)
Wins: Miami-Ohio, Louisville, Louisiana-Monroe, Mississippi State, Eastern Kentucky
Losses: Florida, Alabama, South Carolina, Auburn, Vanderbilt, Georgia, Tennessee
LSU: 10-2 (6-2)
Wins: Washington, Vanderbilt, Louisiana-Lafayette, Mississippi State, Georgia, Auburn, Tulane, Louisiana Tech, Mississippi, Arkansas
Losses: Florida, Alabama
Mississippi: 7-5 (3-5)
Wins: Memphis, SE Louisiana, Vanderbilt, UAB, Arkansas, Northern Arizona, Mississippi State
Losses: South Carolina, Alabama, Auburn, Tennessee, LSU
Mississippi State: 3-9 (1-7)
Wins: Jackson State, Vanderbilt, Middle Tennessee
Losses: Auburn, LSU, Georgia Tech, Houston, Florida, Kentucky, Alabama, Arkansas, Mississippi
South Carolina: 7-5 (4-4)
Wins: NC State, Florida Atlantic, Mississippi, SC State, Kentucky, Vanderbilt, Arkansas
Losses: Georgia, Alabama, Tennessee, Florida, Clemson
Tennessee: 9-3 (6-2)
Wins: Western Kentucky, Ohio University, Auburn, Georgia, South Carolina, Memphis, Mississippi, Vanderbilt, Kentucky
Losses: UCLA*, Florida, Alabama
Vanderbilt: 4-8 (1-7)
Wins: Western Carolina, Rice, Army, Kentucky
Losses: LSU, Mississippi State*, Mississippi, Georgia, South Carolina, Georgia Tech, Florida, Tennessee
*Actual result different from current Sagarin predictions.
LINK
Sagarin Ratings
This post was edited on 9/28/09 at 8:43 pm
Posted on 9/28/09 at 8:48 pm to Slinger16
quote:
Sagarin Predictor is 31-4 for SEC games this year...
10-2 would be acceptable.
Especially with the way this team has played so far.
Posted on 9/28/09 at 8:50 pm to Cornholio
Bama going 12-0 unacceptable!
Nick never did that at LSU
Nick never did that at LSU
Posted on 9/28/09 at 8:50 pm to Cornholio
I'd run around Perkins Rowe naked if we go 10-2.
Ok, maybe not, but I'd certainly be thrilled with 10-2 given this schedule and the "reloading" aspect of this particular LSU team.
Ok, maybe not, but I'd certainly be thrilled with 10-2 given this schedule and the "reloading" aspect of this particular LSU team.
Posted on 9/28/09 at 8:51 pm to JPLSU1981
Sagarin is definitely a POSITIGER!
Posted on 9/28/09 at 8:53 pm to JPLSU1981
quote:
I'd run around Perkins Rowe naked if we go 10-2.
Dont want to see that , but we will have to bump this thread if it happens
This post was edited on 9/28/09 at 8:55 pm
Posted on 9/28/09 at 8:55 pm to Cornholio
Agreed. The way LSU has been playing, 10-2 would be great for this team. And although I'd love to be wrong and go 12-0, I'm afraid it's going to around 8-5. Just dont have it this year.
Posted on 9/28/09 at 9:04 pm to 2007lsuno1
We get by Georgia this week and I'd say that's a definite possibility.
Posted on 9/28/09 at 9:05 pm to JPLSU1981
if both florida & alabama are both undefeated at the end of the year and florida wins, i think bama should still make the national championship
Posted on 9/28/09 at 9:09 pm to JPLSU1981
my god i dont think tennessee is nearly that good.
Posted on 9/28/09 at 9:17 pm to faxis
I do think we match up well with Georgia, but my concern is with our running game. You know what it means to be one dimensional. I'll be pacing I'm sure the entire game.
Posted on 9/28/09 at 9:19 pm to 2007lsuno1
arkansas does better than 1-7 (4-8)
terrible.
terrible.
Posted on 9/28/09 at 9:21 pm to ApexTiger
quote:
Bama going 12-0 unacceptable!
Nick never did that at LSU
Bama doesn't have Florida on the regular season schedule ... and didn't last year either. It makes 12-0 a little easier.
They've got a weak Tennessee team - no UGA, no UF.
Posted on 9/28/09 at 9:36 pm to ItalianTiger83
Hasn't Tennessee already lost 2?
Posted on 9/28/09 at 9:40 pm to JPLSU1981
If this team goes 10-2 I'll kiss the Sagarin Predictor's arse.
Posted on 9/28/09 at 10:03 pm to simmons2112
boy this thread has bump written all over it !
Posted on 9/28/09 at 10:15 pm to JPLSU1981
quote:
Week Five Predictions (along with expected spread, lowest to highest):
LSU over Georgia by 1.06
Texas A&M over Arkansas by 2.53
Mississippi over Vanderbilt by 3.51
Tennessee over Auburn by 3.61
Georgia Tech over Mississippi State by 5.15
Alabama over Kentucky by 11.4
South Carolina over SC State by 31
I'm pretty lazy. Is there any web page that does all the subtraction of the Sagarin Prediction values for you so I don't have to do it myself? I'm talking about a page that does it for every week for every college football game.
Posted on 9/28/09 at 11:07 pm to simmons2112
quote:
If this team goes 10-2 I'll kiss the Sagarin Predictor's arse
you would have to kick my arse to do it.
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