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Running 5-year record is what matters most.
Posted on 12/6/15 at 1:27 pm
Posted on 12/6/15 at 1:27 pm
The vast majority of relevant data on a college football program should include the last 5 years of performance. Anything prior to that era is only for use in the history books (of course, all information technically belongs in the history books after it has occurred). This allows a recruiting cycle to come full circle, and shows whether balance in recruiting, player development and on-field performance are strong or not.
When a college football program has had the same coach for a 5-year period - Do you agree or disagree?
A) Agree - I judge the status of a football program on the last 5-years of performance (by the head coach).
B) Disagree - I judge the status of a football program over a longer than 5 year era (by the head coach).
When a college football program has had the same coach for a 5-year period - Do you agree or disagree?
A) Agree - I judge the status of a football program on the last 5-years of performance (by the head coach).
B) Disagree - I judge the status of a football program over a longer than 5 year era (by the head coach).
Posted on 12/6/15 at 1:31 pm to TigerBert
Agree but the pumpers are not going to like you saying the last 5 years are the measuring stick as the last 5 years show a clear decline curve - especially when you look at offensive statistics.
This post was edited on 12/6/15 at 1:49 pm
Posted on 12/6/15 at 1:45 pm to TigerBert
quote:
Agree but the pumpers are not going to like you saying the last 5 years are the masuring stick as the last 5 years show a clear decline curve - especially when you look at offensive statistics.
Posted on 12/6/15 at 1:53 pm to TigerBert
If you don't include all of the 10 win seasons,and the 2007 season you don't get LSU football.
Posted on 12/6/15 at 1:56 pm to TigerBert
I only judge on the last 24 hours. We're undefeated and you've made at least one shitty post.
Posted on 12/6/15 at 1:58 pm to TigerBert
A -- last 5 years , ease pick
you could look at the last 3 with les and see he lost his edge.
you could look at the last 3 with les and see he lost his edge.
This post was edited on 12/6/15 at 1:59 pm
Posted on 12/6/15 at 2:00 pm to Katy Tiger
quote:
Agree but the pumpers are not going to like you saying the last 5 years are the measuring stick as the last 5 years show a clear decline curve - especially when you look at offensive statistics.
And the negas will hate it because it boost the sec record, includes an sec championship and a bcs title appearance. So if you are going by the reults of the past 5 years, youd be an idiot to want a change at hc. And it would also show that LSU has improved this year on offense and its record.
This post was edited on 12/6/15 at 2:03 pm
Posted on 12/6/15 at 2:30 pm to TigerBert
It would use all data, with a weighted average to make the recent past more significant.
Posted on 12/6/15 at 3:05 pm to TigerBert
I've seen opinions ranging from we are an elite program, to the Golden age of LSU football is done or we are back to 90s football.
The issue is I will see someone say we are no longer elite, but then say anyone can win 9 games a season here. How many teams that are not elite can say that any moron can win 75% of the games?
This is the problem with emotional reactions based on a few bad games. You cannot have a consistent opinion. The better questions would be
1) can LSU attract the best coaches?
2) can LSU attract the best talent?
3) Is LSU no longer an elite or top tier program?
4) Can any coach win 9-10 games a year?
Most people will answer these with no consistency.
The issue is I will see someone say we are no longer elite, but then say anyone can win 9 games a season here. How many teams that are not elite can say that any moron can win 75% of the games?
This is the problem with emotional reactions based on a few bad games. You cannot have a consistent opinion. The better questions would be
1) can LSU attract the best coaches?
2) can LSU attract the best talent?
3) Is LSU no longer an elite or top tier program?
4) Can any coach win 9-10 games a year?
Most people will answer these with no consistency.
Posted on 12/6/15 at 3:07 pm to TigerBert
C) 5 year record is most relevant, but history before that also needs to be considered in order to evaluate if the coach has the ability to improve upon the most recent cycle.
Most recent recruiting classes are a key piece as well to determine if the rising players have the potential to outperform the players they are replacing
All told, no one is happy with the recent trend, but despite a 5-3, 4-4, and 5-3 SEC record the past three years, the SEC Championship five years ago at least evens out that output for this past cycle.
Past performance previous to this 5 year cycle indicates this is not the ceiling for the program under the current coach, and the two most recent recruiting classes and incoming class indicate far more potential to improve rather than continue on current trend.
This was fun and enlightening. Thank you OP
Most recent recruiting classes are a key piece as well to determine if the rising players have the potential to outperform the players they are replacing
All told, no one is happy with the recent trend, but despite a 5-3, 4-4, and 5-3 SEC record the past three years, the SEC Championship five years ago at least evens out that output for this past cycle.
Past performance previous to this 5 year cycle indicates this is not the ceiling for the program under the current coach, and the two most recent recruiting classes and incoming class indicate far more potential to improve rather than continue on current trend.
This was fun and enlightening. Thank you OP
Posted on 12/6/15 at 3:12 pm to TigerBert
I would probably have to go with B. But the past 5 years are obviously very important.
Fortunately, LSU has the second-most total wins and second-most conference wins of any team in the SEC in the past 5 years. That speaks highly of Miles, that even in his down years he's an elite coach. [FWIW, the same holds true (i.e., second-most total and SEC wins) for the past 4 years as well, for those who'll say 2011 was an outlier.]
Fortunately, LSU has the second-most total wins and second-most conference wins of any team in the SEC in the past 5 years. That speaks highly of Miles, that even in his down years he's an elite coach. [FWIW, the same holds true (i.e., second-most total and SEC wins) for the past 4 years as well, for those who'll say 2011 was an outlier.]
This post was edited on 12/6/15 at 3:22 pm
Posted on 12/6/15 at 3:12 pm to TigerBert
Nothing is ever really that simple. You have to look at more than the W/L to judge the whole program. But in reality, what you're trying to do is ask a thinly veiled question about the current coach. I don't think that can be answered that simply either, I was quite certain there have been example where this falls on its face for long term coaches. Joe Paterno, Bobby Bowden and Bear Bryant come to mind.
I'll use Bear Bryant as an example. Here is a 5 year stretch. from 66-70.
After going 11-0 in 1966 and winning the SEC and the Sugar Bowl 3rd in AP and Coaches poll they were 28 -15 -2 over the next 4 with 3 Bowl losses and 1 tie. SEC finishes went 2,3,8,7.
Then from 1971-1975 he went 54-6 overall and 34-1 in SEC play and won the SEC every year. Also finished in the top five in each poll except for 72 when they were 7 in the AP 4 in the Coaches.
1971-1982 when he retired 124 - 12 and 72-7 with half those losses in his last 3 years.
LINK to where I got my data
I'm not saying Les Miles is that kind of transcendent coach, or even that he needs to be the LSU head coach for years to come. I'm just pointing out your 5 year theory doesn't necessarily hold water.
I'll use Bear Bryant as an example. Here is a 5 year stretch. from 66-70.
After going 11-0 in 1966 and winning the SEC and the Sugar Bowl 3rd in AP and Coaches poll they were 28 -15 -2 over the next 4 with 3 Bowl losses and 1 tie. SEC finishes went 2,3,8,7.
Then from 1971-1975 he went 54-6 overall and 34-1 in SEC play and won the SEC every year. Also finished in the top five in each poll except for 72 when they were 7 in the AP 4 in the Coaches.
1971-1982 when he retired 124 - 12 and 72-7 with half those losses in his last 3 years.
LINK to where I got my data
I'm not saying Les Miles is that kind of transcendent coach, or even that he needs to be the LSU head coach for years to come. I'm just pointing out your 5 year theory doesn't necessarily hold water.
Posted on 12/6/15 at 3:14 pm to GRTiger
quote:
This is the problem with emotional reactions based on a few bad games.
pretty sure that 5 seasons of data are fair, and not an over reach based on a "few bad games".
Posted on 12/6/15 at 3:15 pm to TigerBert
That was in relation to the reactions I have observed (mentioned in my opening sentence), not necessarily your five year data point review.
Posted on 12/6/15 at 3:15 pm to TigerGman
quote:
Agree but the pumpers are not going to like you saying the last 5 years are the masuring stick as the last 5 years show a clear decline curve - especially when you look at offensive statistics.
Again, by the most important metric of all (i.e., wins), LSU has been the second-best team in the SEC over the past 5 years.
Posted on 12/6/15 at 3:16 pm to TigerBert
name a better five years in lsu history than the last five
Posted on 12/6/15 at 3:16 pm to GRTiger
well we are back to the 90s if you look at a few measures.
overall we are an elite top 10 historic program, we have a massive bank that is willing to throw money at any problem. We do have an incompetent AD and an arse clown for a system president plus we are a pressure cooker if you can't win titles.
overall we are an elite top 10 historic program, we have a massive bank that is willing to throw money at any problem. We do have an incompetent AD and an arse clown for a system president plus we are a pressure cooker if you can't win titles.
Posted on 12/6/15 at 3:20 pm to ksayetiger
quote:
name a better five years in lsu history than the last five
I agree with your sentiment, but in all fairness, 2000-2004 was definitely a better five year stretch imo.
2 SEC titles and an NC.
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