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Started By
Message
Oddsmakers like oklahoma over bama, lsu for bcs title
Posted on 7/13/11 at 9:39 am
Posted on 7/13/11 at 9:39 am
LINK
Remember, this is NOT who Vegas thinks is the best or who they think will win. This is Vegas booking against who they think the public will be placing money on. Big difference, but interesting nonetheless.
quote:
Here are a couple of more serious tips we’ve picked up from the guys who actually set the odds before the season and during the football and basketball campaigns:
Remember, this is NOT who Vegas thinks is the best or who they think will win. This is Vegas booking against who they think the public will be placing money on. Big difference, but interesting nonetheless.
quote:
1. Oddsmakers care only about who’s placing bets in their casinos. What your bookie in Smyrna, Georgia’s doing has no impact. They don’t get a piece of that action. So when the experts are setting their boards each week, knowing who’ll be betting in Las Vegas is a key to making sure they get an even amount of money coming in on both squads in each game.
quote:
2. For that reason, the folks in Vegas like three kinds of teams. Name teams — the traditional powerhouses — will often pull in cash from the casual gambler. The guy who bets once a year is more likely to put his money on Alabama, Notre Dame or Southern Cal than he is on Cincinnati (whether or not he knows a thing about those teams or not). Teams with big alumni bases also get a little extra love from oddsmakers. Ohio State, Texas, Arizona State, Wisconsin, Penn State and Florida have some of the largest enrollments in the country. Therefore, it’s more likely that a Buckeye grad or a Gator fan will stroll into a casino and plunk down a few hundred bucks on his favorite team this fall. Finally, West Coast teams often get a bump from the bookmakers, too. Who bets in Vegas on most weekends? A whole lot of folks from Arizona and Southern California. Then toss in folks from across the rest of the Pac-12 region for good measure. The oddsmakers know this and they factor it in to the lines they set.
quote:
With all that in mind, lets take a look at some of the future bets you could make on SEC teams as of late last week (we’ll include the teams with the 10 best odds overall, plus all listed SEC squads):
This post was edited on 7/13/11 at 9:43 am
3
Posted on 7/13/11 at 9:41 am to Duckie
If I had to make a living betting on this, I'd favor Oklahoma, too, Their path to the BCSNCG is a much, much easier one than 'Bama's or LSU's. Among other things, they don't have to play 'Bama or LSU.
Posted on 7/13/11 at 9:42 am to nycajun
quote:
If I had to make a living betting on this, I'd favor Oklahoma, too, Their path to the BCSNCG is a much, much easier one than 'Bama's or LSU's. Among other things, they don't have to play 'Bama or LSU.
Hence why they are the #1 spot of Vegas. They know everyone will put money on them for this very reason.
Posted on 7/13/11 at 9:54 am to Duckie
OU's schedule
Sat, Sept 3 vsTulsa
Sat, Sept 17 @Florida State
Sat, Sept 24 vsMissouri
Sat, Oct 1 vsBall State
Sat, Oct 8 @Texas 12:00 PM ET
Sat, Oct 15 @Kansas
Sat, Oct 22 vsTexas Tech
Sat, Oct 29 @Kansas State
Sat, Nov 5 vsTexas A&M
Sat, Nov 19 @Baylor
Sat, Nov 26 vsIowa State
Sat, Dec 3 @Oklahoma State
What a joke. I'd pick OU too.
Sat, Sept 3 vsTulsa
Sat, Sept 17 @Florida State
Sat, Sept 24 vsMissouri
Sat, Oct 1 vsBall State
Sat, Oct 8 @Texas 12:00 PM ET
Sat, Oct 15 @Kansas
Sat, Oct 22 vsTexas Tech
Sat, Oct 29 @Kansas State
Sat, Nov 5 vsTexas A&M
Sat, Nov 19 @Baylor
Sat, Nov 26 vsIowa State
Sat, Dec 3 @Oklahoma State
What a joke. I'd pick OU too.
Posted on 7/13/11 at 10:04 am to Duckie
They liked them in '03 too. 
Posted on 7/13/11 at 10:29 am to Mayhawman
Apparently the oddsmakers aren't paying attention to OU during bowl season because they have been choking right and left since 2000.
Posted on 7/13/11 at 10:31 am to WM88
quote:
Sat, Sept 17 @Florida State
This is a L
quote:
Sat, Oct 8 @Texas
Toss Up
quote:
Sat, Dec 3 @Oklahoma State
Toss Up
Posted on 7/13/11 at 10:34 am to lsusteve1
for the record, i LOVE Nebraska's schedule this season
Sept. 3 Tennessee-Chattanooga at Nebraska
Sept. 10 Fresno State at Nebraska
Sept. 17 Washington at Nebraska
Sept. 24 Nebraska at Wyoming
Oct. 1 Nebraska at Wisconsin
Oct. 8 Ohio State at Nebraska
Oct. 22 Nebraska at Minnesota
Oct. 29 Michigan State at Nebraska
Nov. 5 Northwestern at Nebraska
Nov. 12 Nebraska at Penn State
Nov. 19 Nebraska at Michigan
Nov. 25 Iowa at Nebraska
they catch Wisconsin early, so they still might be working out the kinks at QB. if they can get past that contest, they have a real shot to be unbeaten when they play Iowa to close the regular season
Sept. 3 Tennessee-Chattanooga at Nebraska
Sept. 10 Fresno State at Nebraska
Sept. 17 Washington at Nebraska
Sept. 24 Nebraska at Wyoming
Oct. 1 Nebraska at Wisconsin
Oct. 8 Ohio State at Nebraska
Oct. 22 Nebraska at Minnesota
Oct. 29 Michigan State at Nebraska
Nov. 5 Northwestern at Nebraska
Nov. 12 Nebraska at Penn State
Nov. 19 Nebraska at Michigan
Nov. 25 Iowa at Nebraska
they catch Wisconsin early, so they still might be working out the kinks at QB. if they can get past that contest, they have a real shot to be unbeaten when they play Iowa to close the regular season
This post was edited on 7/13/11 at 10:46 am
Posted on 7/13/11 at 10:35 am to lsusteve1
quote:
quote:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sat, Sept 17 @Florida State
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
This is a L
Yes sir.
Posted on 7/13/11 at 10:38 am to RealityTiger
quote:
Apparently the oddsmakers aren't paying attention to OU during bowl season because they have been choking right and left since 2000.
Did you read the paragraph in bold?
Posted on 7/13/11 at 10:44 am to Duckie
quote:
Remember, this is NOT who Vegas thinks is the best or who they think will win. This is Vegas booking against who they think the public will be placing money on. Big difference, but interesting nonetheless.
My mistake. Have 3 bids going out all on the same day, and taking little mental breaks to come here to screw around. I read that part wrong.
This post was edited on 7/13/11 at 10:52 am
Posted on 7/13/11 at 10:54 am to WM88
quote:
OU's schedule
Sat, Sept 3 vsTulsa
Sat, Sept 17 @Florida State
Sat, Sept 24 vsMissouri
Sat, Oct 1 vsBall State
Sat, Oct 8 @Texas 12:00 PM ET
Sat, Oct 15 @Kansas
Sat, Oct 22 vsTexas Tech
Sat, Oct 29 @Kansas State
Sat, Nov 5 vsTexas A&M
Sat, Nov 19 @Baylor
Sat, Nov 26 vsIowa State
Sat, Dec 3 @Oklahoma State
What a joke. I'd pick OU too.
@FSU
Mizzou
@UT (not really)
Texas A&M
@OK St
Those are actually some pretty tough games. Not like Bama/LSU's schedule but to be fair...
Posted on 7/13/11 at 10:57 am to ChemE in the OP
quote:
@UT
This is still in Dallas, right?
Posted on 7/13/11 at 11:00 am to gjackx
That's correct.
Posted on 7/13/11 at 11:08 am to ChemE in the OP
Never made a bet like this, is there a web site or anything where I would be able to place $100 on LSU to make it to BCS?
Posted on 7/13/11 at 11:25 am to coreybdx
That's fine, let OU have that target on their back. I don't want the #1 spot that early in the season.
I'm also calling for OU to get smoked by FSU. If OU does pull that game out, I think UT will beat them in a close one. This will be UTs game that returns them to their glory days if they win it.
I don't think OU will drop both of those games, but the will lose 1 of the 2.
I'm also calling for OU to get smoked by FSU. If OU does pull that game out, I think UT will beat them in a close one. This will be UTs game that returns them to their glory days if they win it.
I don't think OU will drop both of those games, but the will lose 1 of the 2.
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