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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 11/17/13 at 8:37 pm to TheWalrus
Yeah his numbers are pretty bad. Florida State probably wouldn't open as less than a FG favorite against anyone right now.
Posted on 11/17/13 at 8:43 pm to Brazos
quote:
I know it's not happening , I'm just trying to pick someone's brain that has a lot of knowledge about the odds makers. Want to know if Vegas would have LSU a slight dog , big dog, or maybe even get some points.
probably have us as a dog. I would guess Baylor -3.5
Posted on 11/17/13 at 8:44 pm to MOT
Baylor -9 vs LSU
Baylor +10 vs Alabama
Baylor -6 vs OSU
Baylor -3 vs Texas A&M
Baylor +8 vs FSU
Baylor +10 vs Alabama
Baylor -6 vs OSU
Baylor -3 vs Texas A&M
Baylor +8 vs FSU
Posted on 11/17/13 at 8:45 pm to MarcoPolo
quote:
Whats the diff between Baylor +7 and Baylor -7
Posted on 11/17/13 at 8:48 pm to gobuxgo5
quote:
Baylor -9 vs LSU
Baylor -3 vs Texas A&M
This doesn't add up given where the LSU/A&M line opened.
Posted on 11/17/13 at 8:52 pm to MOT
1) My opinion
2) "Lines" for a game like this would be for neutral field.
3) LSU @ Home is almost impossible to beat.
4) I think Texas A&M Matches up VERY well against Baylor for a shootout (IE Manziel factor)
5) LSU vs Texas A*M @ LSU is a totally different dynamic.
6. I'm not sure how LSU matches up against Baylor and think TEXAS A*M could win but maybe barely lose (come down to final drive) and LSU would lose in a 1 game setting.
2) "Lines" for a game like this would be for neutral field.
3) LSU @ Home is almost impossible to beat.
4) I think Texas A&M Matches up VERY well against Baylor for a shootout (IE Manziel factor)
5) LSU vs Texas A*M @ LSU is a totally different dynamic.
6. I'm not sure how LSU matches up against Baylor and think TEXAS A*M could win but maybe barely lose (come down to final drive) and LSU would lose in a 1 game setting.
This post was edited on 11/17/13 at 8:54 pm
Posted on 11/17/13 at 8:57 pm to Brazos
Currently, Statfox power ratings would have Baylor -12, Sagarin has it Baylor -11, Linemakers has it 3..I don't know what LVSC, Goldsheet, Sports Reporter, Don Best, etc..sets would have it on paper..
But, there is no way that Henry/Elihu,etc../Pinny, Lee Amaitis/Cantor, Sean Van Patten/LVSC, Spiros/Greek, Skip/Grande, CRIS,etc..would open Baylor as double digit chalk vs LSU..
Given LSU were preseason 5 pt dog at UGA and lost by 3 as 3 pt actual dog, and 9 pt preseason dog at Bama losing by 21 as 12.5/13 pt actual dog..
LSU would be opened a single digit dog, and then let the wiseguys steer it out the opening gates..
Baylor scoring 61 PF - 17 PA vs LSU 37 PF - 23 PA averages, suggest probably at least a 3 or 4 to 5.5 window..very doubtful a full TD fav..
Baylor's weak schedule strength, close final margin vs KSU, 42 allowed to WVU & 34 pt allowance to TT(few teams on schedule with any punch), suggests SEC pedigree and LSU consistent elite status(and public perception), coupled to better recruiting/roster talent, would keep this line very reasonable(short) despite some current power rating sets suggesting otherwise.
But, there is no way that Henry/Elihu,etc../Pinny, Lee Amaitis/Cantor, Sean Van Patten/LVSC, Spiros/Greek, Skip/Grande, CRIS,etc..would open Baylor as double digit chalk vs LSU..
Given LSU were preseason 5 pt dog at UGA and lost by 3 as 3 pt actual dog, and 9 pt preseason dog at Bama losing by 21 as 12.5/13 pt actual dog..
LSU would be opened a single digit dog, and then let the wiseguys steer it out the opening gates..
Baylor scoring 61 PF - 17 PA vs LSU 37 PF - 23 PA averages, suggest probably at least a 3 or 4 to 5.5 window..very doubtful a full TD fav..
Baylor's weak schedule strength, close final margin vs KSU, 42 allowed to WVU & 34 pt allowance to TT(few teams on schedule with any punch), suggests SEC pedigree and LSU consistent elite status(and public perception), coupled to better recruiting/roster talent, would keep this line very reasonable(short) despite some current power rating sets suggesting otherwise.
This post was edited on 11/17/13 at 9:41 pm
Posted on 11/17/13 at 8:57 pm to Brazos
We'd be a short dog. Probably around +3 or so.
Posted on 11/17/13 at 9:53 pm to Brazos
Baylor = TAMU + a tad better defense, therefore, LSU and Baylor = draw
Posted on 11/17/13 at 10:02 pm to Football_Freak
Yea but we'd be about a Pick'em with A&M on a Neutral field. That's why we're -4 at home.
Posted on 11/18/13 at 11:22 am to VermilionTiger
Baylor by 42 Points. LSU Defense Can't Catch A Cold. 
Posted on 11/18/13 at 11:25 am to Teauxler
quote:
Baylor -6.5
Pretty much on point
Posted on 11/18/13 at 11:29 am to Brazos
quote:
LSU vs Baylor at a neutral site, what would Vegas have line at?
Baylor -12.5
Posted on 11/18/13 at 11:33 am to MOT
I usually love a good vegas/betting thread, but this is terrible
Posted on 11/18/13 at 11:39 am to AstroTiger
This thread is way better than I thought it would be. I was expecting idiots to come in posting Baylor -28.5 predictions.
Posted on 11/18/13 at 11:41 am to PhiTiger1764
quote:
This thread is way better than I thought it would be. I was expecting idiots to come in posting Baylor -28.5 predictions.
I said the LINE would be at 12.5.
28 points is about what Baylor would beat LSU by.
Posted on 11/18/13 at 11:44 am to dukke v
quote:
I said the LINE would be at 12.5.
Not a bad guess.. I think it would be single digits.
quote:
28 points is about what Baylor would beat LSU by.
You're entitled to your opinion. At least you know Vegas wouldn't set that ridiculous line.
Posted on 11/18/13 at 11:58 am to MOT
I don't know - Texas Tech hung with Baylor for a good while and they have no depth.
I think LSU would beat Baylor.
I think LSU would beat Baylor.
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