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re: LSU quickly falls to an 11 seed in Joe Lunardi's updated bracketology.
Posted on 2/18/16 at 1:01 pm to camplsu
Posted on 2/18/16 at 1:01 pm to camplsu
We are still likely to get a top 4 seed in the SEC Tournament. I'd guess 3 or 4, at this point. That means we'd face the 5 or 6 seed in our first game in the SEC Tournament.
It's very likely that team is either Alabama or Florida. We could have a shot at TWO top 50 wins, away from home, in our first two games in the SEC Tournament.
It's very likely that team is either Alabama or Florida. We could have a shot at TWO top 50 wins, away from home, in our first two games in the SEC Tournament.
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Posted on 2/18/16 at 1:02 pm to bfniii
quote:we've given you a ton of shite on here. Most deserved
i know this is unpopular but, rpi is a serious problem. lsu is at 82. they've got to burn rubber to get that up into the 60's at least. it would help if they got a huge sec tourney win over one of the top 3 or 4. neutral site, top 50 win would be immense.
but as of today you are spot on. Our rpi is awful with very little time to make it up. I just don't even know if the rpi is salvageable at this point. Las nights loss really was a back breaker. 
Posted on 2/18/16 at 1:28 pm to camplsu
quote:uh no. it was a MAJOR problem in jan. we won 13 of 19 and still didn't crack the top 60. bro, that's stupendous
For the first time we have a RPI problem
quote:you could very well be right about this and i've acknowledged this all along despite what a few people say
all of this is assuming that RPI will play a major factor for LSU which I don't think it will
Posted on 2/18/16 at 1:32 pm to lsub16
I could see LSU barely sneak in at 12-6, like a coin flip shot at making it. 13-5 we'll be in
Posted on 2/18/16 at 1:34 pm to Pelican fan99
quote:as i said before, i totally understand that hope springs eternal. i knew all along it was a few overzealous fans who got a little too caught up in what lunardi was saying because he happens to have the most visible platform. i never took any of it personally.
we've given you a ton of shite on here. Most deserved
quote:well hold on. lsu still has fla, uk and the sec tourney. who knows what could happen. if they get hot, which they could, there's still time to make up the ground. bama's rpi jumped ~15 spots after beating fla. i just hope last night was a wake up call.
Our rpi is awful with very little time to make it up
Posted on 2/18/16 at 1:38 pm to Jack Bauer7
quote:i agree completely. I don't know why everyone's making a big deal over whether or not we make tourney when there is a great chance they will just continue their subpar play right into and out of the tournament.
It's nice to make the tourny, but let's be real for a second...
This team is going to be bounced right out of this tourny before the first half ends...
so does it really matter all that much...Let's say we end up at 11 or even the play in game...Look at the possible teams
Indiana, Baylor, Utah, Butler, Texas Tech, lol
Posted on 2/18/16 at 1:40 pm to bfniii
quote:
uh no. it was a MAJOR problem in jan. we won 13 of 19 and still didn't crack the top 60. bro, that's stupendous
It was not a major problem in January simply because we had time and opportunities in front of us. Since the Kentucky game we have not cashed in on any of the major RPI boosting opportunities, @A&M, @Florida, vs. OU, @USCe and vs. Bama. We have won some games that have helped but not the major boost games. But yet our RPI still climbed.
Also as of today it is not a major problem because we are still sitting on the bubble despite a low RPI.
Our RPI is currently a minor problem because it can only top out low 60s high 50s now assuming we essentially win out. We will not end up an RPI top 50 team. That is our problem.
Posted on 2/18/16 at 1:48 pm to lsub16
Last night was a very bad loss.
The next two road games will be tough as will Florida. Mizzou is a likely win and Kentucky is a likely loss.
Just looking at raw numbers, from 2009-2015, no "Power Conference" team has won an at-large birth with more than 14 losses. We have 10 with likely 2 more (Kentucky, SEC Tournament) at least.
Of Power Conference, at large teams with 12-14 losses, the worst RPI was 64 (Marquette 2011). We're at 81 today.
The next two road games will be tough as will Florida. Mizzou is a likely win and Kentucky is a likely loss.
Just looking at raw numbers, from 2009-2015, no "Power Conference" team has won an at-large birth with more than 14 losses. We have 10 with likely 2 more (Kentucky, SEC Tournament) at least.
Of Power Conference, at large teams with 12-14 losses, the worst RPI was 64 (Marquette 2011). We're at 81 today.
This post was edited on 2/18/16 at 1:51 pm
Posted on 2/18/16 at 7:37 pm to camplsu
quote:like i said, lsu all but went undefeated and didn't even crack the top 60. 13 of 19 is stout in a power 5 conference. it ought to be obvious that is a major problem. what i said back then basically happened exactly the way i said it would. barring going undefeated, which wasn't going to happen, i questioned whether lsu had enough chances to improve the rpi enough to get in. well, here we are.
we had time and opportunities in front of us
quote:you're making my point for me.
Since the Kentucky game we have not cashed in on any of the major RPI boosting opportunities, @A&M, @Florida, vs. OU, @USCe and vs. Bama.
quote:as i said before, the lowest ever at large rpi was 67. being at 82 with 4 games left against some bad teams, it won't be easy for the committee to justify lsu being even lower than that. it's a major problem.
Also as of today it is not a major problem because we are still sitting on the bubble despite a low RPI
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