re: JBE comes out in public support for F. King

quote:

---

JBE has over $10 million in his campaign fund, while his PAC has another $2 million.

---

And he still has to contend with Rispone’s millions which are going to do quite a bit for name recognition Rispone.

Money may not buy an election but it sure can give you a good head start and if the money is equally matched, it can be anyone’s race.

Money is money regardless of where it comes from.

quote:

---

Abraham has about $ 1 million.

---

And that’s more than JBE raised at this point in 2015.

quote:

---

There is a reason Kennedy and Landry decided to sit this one out.

---

You’re ignoring other factors like their current situation which they may be comfortable with, their own weaknesses as a candidate that has nothing to do with JBE and other structural issues.

quote:

---

2. JBE pretty much never tells the truth about anything.

---

Right.

Like for example, he claims to be pro-life but I have yet to see him really flesh out that belief in supporting legislation that even moderate republicans would be hard pressed to support.

Also who can forget lying in a debate about promising not to raise taxes, oh wait the collective public of this state.

quote:

---

He's giving King a vote of confidence now, but if this turns into a political liability for him he'll run King off this summer so fast you won't even remember the guy was here.

---

Summer is the latest he can do it.

Otherwise, he’ll look like he’s in cover his arse mode if he gets rid of him in the fall.

quote:

---

keep in mind two things about the history of gubernatorial elections in Louisiana. First, no Democrat has been re-elected governor since 1975, when Edwin Edwards ran amid a runaway boom economy and there was no Republican Party to speak of in the state (now there are 900,000 registered GOP voters and several hundreds of thousands more D's and I's who more or less exclusively vote R). And second, the early favorite very seldom wins gubernatorial elections here. Vitter didn't, Richard Ieyoub didn't, Mary Landrieu didn't, Buddy Roemer didn't, Edwin Edwards didn't in 1987, Louis Lambert didn't. Most of our governors have come out of nowhere to win.

---

Right.

And that trend can play favorably in a state that’s a comfortable but not dominant red.

If they couldn’t rid of Alleva with only 1 year on his contract they won’t be able to dump FK with 4

quote:

---

Sentrius

---

quote:

---

Abraham has about $ 1 million.

---

quote:

---

And that’s more than JBE raised at this point in 2015.

---

I like the point you're making overall. But this rebuttal is silly. You're comparing the race in 2015 to 2019 and the cash on hand numbers from 2019 to 2015 and that's simply non-analogous.

This isn't 2015. It's 2019. He's running against an opponent with $12 million dollars and a unified party apparatus dedicated to his re-election and a huge capacity for further fundraising on a national scale (as the DNC will throw everything they have into retaining a Deep South Governorship if they detect true heat coming to unseat him).

You should either bury that rebuttal or come up with a better one, because it sounds silly. He's not running against the same candidate JBE was and he's definitely not doing that now.

Again I like what you're saying overall. But this is a silly point.

I'm voting for not-a-politician.

In the current state of politics in this day and age, why would anybody vote for a career politician? Especially with the business climate in Louisiana. I want a businessman in office. Every office.

Eddie Rispone it is.

Honor Code gotta go

quote:

---

Good news

jbe will be out of office very soon

---

Lol no he won't. Please enlighten us on who will beat him out.

You’re making the wrong assumptions. In a normal election voter turn out is never 100%. If you have a hot issue like LSU and King have been you’ll get tons out to vote with a single purpose.

quote:

---

Anybody who votes for JBE hates LSU and Louisiana

---

LOL such an educated take

quote:

---

I would love to see someone like Eddie Rispone make a race out of this thing, but he's got no name recognition outside of Baton Rouge. And on the flip side, few people south of Alexandria know who Ralph Abraham is. Maybe I'm being too pessimistic, but I've just lost a lot of confidence in the collective wisdom of Louisiana voters over the past several years.

---

Eddie can fix his name ID problem really easy. That's what his $10 million war chest is for. He's going to go up on TV next month and once he does he isn't coming down.

Maybe that gets him into the runoff, maybe it doesn't. But once either him or Abraham gets in it's a straight D-vs.-R race. There's no hookers or other bullshite scandal out there to give it flavor like you had in 2015, and neither Ralph nor Eddie is likely to stab the other in the back in the runoff like Dardenne and Angelle did four years ago.

And a Democrat hasn't won a straight D-vs.-R race in Louisiana since 2008 when Landrieu beat Kennedy to keep her seat in the Senate.