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re: Can we as a fan base not recognize that young QB's develop over time?

Posted on 12/11/15 at 10:49 am to
Posted by Salviati
Member since Apr 2006
5636 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 10:49 am to
quote:

But regardless the narrative that Jefferson improved steadily from his freshman to senior seasons is bullshite

Ohhhh . . . so now it's not enough that they improve.

They have to improve steadily from freshman to senior season.

Then they will have to improve steadily from game to game within a season.

Then they will have to improve steadily from play to play within a game.

Guess what? That does not happen.
Posted by southeasttiger113
Member since Aug 2011
2046 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 10:51 am to
No, I'm one of those folks who hates people who use 2 or 3 stats to paint an incomplete picture of reality to support their own biased personal feelings. I really enjoy looking over stats, I really hate people who obviously never played sports and don't understand that you can either:

A. actually sit down and spend a few hours researching something in its entirety and present it fairly and come to a conclusion

or B. shut the frick up and stop using stats in a manipulating way to support what you want to believe

You and Rickdaddy are the two worst people on this board about compiling a bunch of stats to support what you want to believe while ignoring things like the fact that Jefferson's TD totals were all over the place throughout his career. Are TD's not a relevant stat or why exactly are you ignoring that in favor of things like yards per attempt? Could it be because you're biased and trying to push your bullshite narrative that QB hasn't been a complete crapshoot under Miles?
Posted by TigerBait1127
Houston
Member since Jun 2005
47336 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 10:53 am to
quote:

Ohhhh . . . so now it's not enough that they improve.

They have to improve steadily from freshman to senior season.

Then they will have to improve steadily from game to game within a season.

Then they will have to improve steadily from play to play within a game.



Oh look, a falacy.

And progression tends to happen year to year. Pretty good way to judge it

Your population from 08 was also retarded. 41 passes

JJ was damn good in his first real playing time and taking over as starter. It looked like he was going to be a star, but he never really improved on his 2009 season. He stepped back in 2010, and played great in some games JJ. 2011, and terrible in others.

He isn't the poster child for QB development. I think with Cam, he could have been great
This post was edited on 12/11/15 at 10:59 am
Posted by southeasttiger113
Member since Aug 2011
2046 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 10:53 am to
quote:

They have to improve steadily from freshman to senior season.

This is typically what happens in good sports programs, yes.
quote:

Then they will have to improve steadily from game to game within a season.

Then they will have to improve steadily from play to play within a game.

And THERE'S the classic drama queen Salviati "take what I said to the extreme so it can seem like my argument is irrational".

When you have QB's consistently having their worst years as juniors, something is wrong. Juniors in programs with good QB development don't have 114 QBR's and 7:10 TD:INT ratios. Our QB's are going from awful to mediocre with awful years sprinkled in there and you're praising our QB development. You're an idiot
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
263036 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 10:57 am to
quote:


They have to improve steadily from freshman to senior season.


Did you see the SECCG and the NCG? If so, you wouldn't be claiming improvement.
Posted by Topwater Trout
Red Stick
Member since Oct 2010
67601 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 10:57 am to
quote:

so now it's not enough that they improve.


most players improve simply due to maturity from their freshmen year to senior year...no real way to measure how much of that improvement is coaching (which would be development)

quote:

They have to improve steadily from freshman to senior season.


this would tend to support the coaches are developing them correct?
Posted by Mo Jeaux
Member since Aug 2008
59388 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 10:58 am to
quote:

Ohhhh . . . so now it's not enough that they improve.

They have to improve steadily from freshman to senior season.


Jesus.
Posted by TigerBait1127
Houston
Member since Jun 2005
47336 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 11:00 am to
I'll post this again:

quote:

Jefferson 
QB Rating increased by 25.84 points from 2008 to 2011



He barely played in 2008 either. 73 passes (41 in your SEC play BS  ) 

In power 5 games for JJ: 

2009: 134.8 QB Rating 
2010: 117.3 QB Rating 
2011: 131.7 QB Rating 

2009: 61% 
2010: 57% 
2011: 61.6% 

Yards/Completion: 
2009: 11.8 
2010: 12.2 
2011: 10.7 

Do I need to graph these for you? 


Lee had no where to go but up, but our entire offense changed after 08. Les got scared and the quick passes were removed.
This post was edited on 12/11/15 at 11:02 am
Posted by Salviati
Member since Apr 2006
5636 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 11:01 am to
quote:

This is typically what happens in good sports programs, yes.
And it happens at LSU too.

quote:

take what I said to the extreme so it can seem like my argument is irrational
What you said was irrational. QBs in the best of programs and under the best of coaches take steps backward. It happens. Not everyone progress upward each year.

quote:

When you have QB's consistently having their worst years as juniors
Really?

Do LSU QBs consistently have their worst years as juniors?

Posted by TigerBait1127
Houston
Member since Jun 2005
47336 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 11:04 am to
quote:

Can you, just once, try not to turn a thread into Jefferson versus Lee? Just once?


Can you quote me where I made this a Jefferson vs Lee thread or even compared the 2?

Didn't think so. Take an intro to stats class
This post was edited on 12/11/15 at 11:05 am
Posted by Salviati
Member since Apr 2006
5636 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 11:04 am to
quote:

quote:

They have to improve steadily from freshman to senior season.
Did you see the SECCG and the NCG? If so, you wouldn't be claiming improvement.
I'll repeat it for you.

These stats use ALL games, not just SEC regular season games.

Lee, Jefferson, and Mettenberger got better from their first year as a starting QB to their last year as a starting QB.

Lee
QB Rating increased 35.11 points from 2008 to 2011
Comp% increased by 9.12% from 2008 to 2011
YPA increased by .86 yards from 2008 to 2011

Jefferson
QB Rating increased by 25.84 points from 2008 to 2011
Comp% increased by 11.68% from 2008 to 2011
YPA increased by 1.63 yards from 2008 to 2011

Mettenberger
QB Rating increased by 43.11 points from 2012 to 2013
Comp% increased by 6.06% from 2012 to 2013
YPA increased by 3.00 yards from 2012 to 2013
Posted by TigerBait1127
Houston
Member since Jun 2005
47336 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 11:06 am to
quote:

 power 5 games for JJ:  

2009: 134.8 QB Rating  
2010: 117.3 QB Rating  
2011: 131.7 QB Rating  

2009: 61%  
2010: 57%  
2011: 61.6%  

Yards/Completion:  
2009: 11.8  
2010: 12.2  
2011: 10.7  

Do I need to graph these for you? 


2008 for JJ only had ~70 passes. Come on man.

Lee was awful his first year and was a true freshman, but let's not act like he was a world beater his last year either. We were conservative and had a vertical attack
Posted by Salviati
Member since Apr 2006
5636 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 11:07 am to
quote:

quote:

Ohhhh . . . so now it's not enough that they improve.

They have to improve steadily from freshman to senior season.
Jesus.
You do realize that progress rarely observed to be steadily upward.

QBs do have bad years.
Posted by TaderSalad
mudbug territory
Member since Jul 2014
24754 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 11:10 am to
OP, I gave you a downvote and here's why... Name one QB that Les' and company took from day one and developed them into a competent and reliable QB? He's been here 11 years and outside of securing us a Juco stud, we have yet to see tremendous improvement out of any of our QB's.
Posted by SoulGlo
Shinin' Through
Member since Dec 2011
17248 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 11:11 am to
Coaching doesn't have the creativity required to allow Harris to be successful. Run, run, throw 20 yd pass. Punt.

Throw 20 yd pass, throw 40 yd pass, draw, punt.

run, run, 30 yd pass, punt.

That's about it. If they can develop a 5 yd throw with some touch, maybe he'll be good. Until then, he's not even serviceable as a QB at this level in this offense.
Posted by TigerBait1127
Houston
Member since Jun 2005
47336 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 11:11 am to
quote:

You do realize that progress rarely observed to be steadily upward.

QBs do have bad years.


So then can you really say that Mett progressed based on 2 years?

Could have just been a bad year
Posted by TigerBait1127
Houston
Member since Jun 2005
47336 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 11:13 am to
quote:

and outside of securing us a Juco stud, we have yet to see tremendous improvement out of any of our QB's.


I know he didn't recruit JR or Flynn, but we saw steady improvement out of both of them under Les (and Jimbo)

In Cam's case, this is his first shot with his guy. Even in the JR and Flynn cases, it took them into their 3rd + season to get it together
Posted by Mo Jeaux
Member since Aug 2008
59388 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 11:14 am to
quote:

You do realize that progress rarely observed to be steadily upward.

QBs do have bad years.



Yes, I do. I'm an LSU fan.
Posted by Salviati
Member since Apr 2006
5636 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 11:17 am to
quote:

JJs population of passes for SEC regular season play in 2011 isn't statistically relevant
An you want me to take a statistics class?

Posted by Salviati
Member since Apr 2006
5636 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 11:28 am to
quote:

2008 for JJ only had ~70 passes. Come on man.
:smh:

Jefferson Pass Attempts
2008: 73
2009: 296
2010: 209
2011: 100

Come on man.
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