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BCS number crunched
Posted on 12/4/11 at 6:20 pm
Posted on 12/4/11 at 6:20 pm
Just finished crunching the numbers and Oki State needs to get 45.2 % of the second place votes to be in NCG. That relates to .018 delta below the gumps. This assumes they get second in 5 of the 6 computers. Should be real close
5
Posted on 12/4/11 at 6:20 pm to chiligumbo
OSU needs to be within 52 points of Bama in the Harris if they are #1 in 5 comps.
Your numbers are worthless because Stanford will likely receive #3 votes.
With 4 computers, OSU needs to be ahead of Bama by 5 points in Harris
Your numbers are worthless because Stanford will likely receive #3 votes.
With 4 computers, OSU needs to be ahead of Bama by 5 points in Harris
This post was edited on 12/4/11 at 6:22 pm
Posted on 12/4/11 at 6:21 pm to chiligumbo
quote:I think word is that this is NOT the case.
This assumes they get second in 5 of the 6 computers.
Posted on 12/4/11 at 6:22 pm to Myshkin
you realize they are not getting 5 of 6 of the computers?
Posted on 12/4/11 at 6:24 pm to chiligumbo
alabama is pretty much guaranteed a spot in the NCG
Posted on 12/4/11 at 6:25 pm to parks
quote:
alabama is pretty much guaranteed a spot in the NCG if they are really #2 in the wolfe poll
Posted on 12/4/11 at 6:27 pm to chiligumbo
Bama is in, its just a formality now. We would have to have something way out of left field no one knows about to change that.
Posted on 12/4/11 at 6:29 pm to bmy
What happened to Okie State winning by 3 scores to get in? They mud stopped OU and get slapped in the polls for it. Geezzzzzzzzz. I am lost with this nonsense.
Posted on 12/4/11 at 6:31 pm to themunch
quote:
What happened to Okie State winning by 3 scores to get in? They mud stopped OU and get slapped in the polls for it. Geezzzzzzzzz. I am lost with this nonsense.
Computer polls didn't get the change that 99.999% of the people thought they would.
Alabama beat low ranked Auburn, got a large jump.
Ok St beat OU (top-10 computers), got about half of what Alabama got.
It happens sometimes -- and that's probably the reason that the formulas behind the polls favoring Bama are kept secret
Posted on 12/4/11 at 6:32 pm to lsutigerfan1976
quote:
something way out of left field no one knows about to change that
All it will probably take is OSU being #2 in the Wolfe computer. I have yet to understand why twitter message from someone not-named Peter Wolfe is be taken as fact.
Posted on 12/4/11 at 6:32 pm to bmy
LSU curb stomped UGA, which may have helped Bama in the computers.
Posted on 12/4/11 at 6:33 pm to parks
quote:
alabama is pretty much guaranteed a spot in the NCG
yep, OSU picked up ground in the Coaches Poll but not enough. Can't believe there were 4 coaches who voted them 4th
Posted on 12/4/11 at 6:35 pm to lsufball19
quote:
yep, OSU picked up ground in the Coaches Poll but not enough. Can't believe there were 4 coaches who voted them 4th
I'll give you a guess for a least two of them.
This post was edited on 12/4/11 at 6:36 pm
Posted on 12/4/11 at 6:37 pm to Deathrider
quote:
I'll give you a guess for a least two of them.
ha, yeah, no kidding. don't they have to release how coaches voted tomorrow or shortly thereafter? i remember one year a coach voted someone in contention like 20th to help their team's chances, can't remember who it was though
Posted on 12/4/11 at 6:39 pm to bmy
Alabama beat low ranked Auburn, got a large jump.
I noticed that during the broadcast of the Iron Bowl they had the marquee with Auburn ranked 24. Auburn was 7-4 at that point and out of the rankings. I felt they were propping Alabama up by doing this and it still fells that way. It is making their ranking higher.
Posted on 12/4/11 at 6:39 pm to lsufball19
Who were the 4?
Posted on 12/4/11 at 6:41 pm to LSU Fan Forever 13
quote:
Who were the 4?
Man, if Stoops/Saban did that, that'd really be a crying shame.
Posted on 12/4/11 at 6:42 pm to themunch
quote:
Alabama beat low ranked Auburn, got a large jump.
well they did beat them by 28, and I'm pretty sure they were a unanimous #2 going into that game, unless you're talking about the computer polls.
Posted on 12/4/11 at 6:51 pm to lsufball19
unless you're talking about the computer polls
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