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Arden Key vs Auburn - Sacks O/U?

Posted on 9/21/16 at 5:20 pm
Posted by AndUhIUh
Member since Sep 2016
121 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 5:20 pm
This weekend, Key will be matched up with Auburn LT Austin Golson. Golson is a 6'5" 315lb. Junior and transfer from Ole Miss. He started at guard for Ole Miss in 2013 and played 12 games until suffering an injury. Sat out 2014 for transfer. Started at Center last year for Auburn. Golson is listed as OG but is assigned to LT for this weekend's depth chart.

We know we'll see 2, maybe 3, different QBs from Auburn this weekend but probably mostly Sean White (who is not necessarily a mobile QB).

What say the rant? Arden Key Sacks Over/Under 2.5

Go!
Posted by pbro62
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2016
11356 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 5:20 pm to
Under
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 5:22 pm to
FYI, they are allowing the most TFL in the NCAA this year.

128/128th.

The OL coach they hired, who also helps Gus calls plays, has had 5 OL's rank worse than 105th in this statistic in his career I think.

If we don't sack Sean White behind this OL, we aren't going to do shite against the rest of our schedule


ETA:

Nvm, its worse than I thought:

Seven of his last eight offensive lines have given up so many negative plays, they ranked 105th or lower in seven of the last eight seasons.
This post was edited on 9/21/16 at 5:24 pm
Posted by AndUhIUh
Member since Sep 2016
121 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 5:24 pm to
quote:

they are allowing the most TFL/negative plays in the NCAA this year.

128/128th.

I don't know why I find that so funny..
Posted by LZ83
La
Member since Sep 2016
17406 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 5:26 pm to
I say over with 3.7
Posted by GeauxGlenn
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2016
119 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 5:29 pm to
I say over. Gotta be.
Posted by themunch
Earth. maybe
Member since Jan 2007
64666 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 5:32 pm to
4
Posted by AndUhIUh
Member since Sep 2016
121 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 5:35 pm to
quote:

Seven of his last eight offensive lines have given up so many negative plays, they ranked 105th or lower in seven of the last eight seasons.

Speaking to this, they have a veteran line this year. 3 seniors, 2 juniors. So that 128th/128th stat is pretty sad... They have 3 rs/freshman 2nd team OLs so they should be thin next year.
Posted by PurpleandGeauld
Florence, TX
Member since Oct 2013
5177 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 5:51 pm to
Not sure on Key, but as a team I think 6 or more sacks are likely.
Posted by KamaCausey_LSU
Member since Apr 2013
14537 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 5:57 pm to
I was thinking 2. I feel like Auburn will try a heavy dose of run game, so he may not have the chances to rack up sacks, but he'll have plenty of tackles. So under for me, but only because Auburn won't throw.
Posted by AndUhIUh
Member since Sep 2016
121 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 6:53 pm to
quote:

I was thinking 2. I feel like Auburn will try a heavy dose of run game, so he may not have the chances to rack up sacks, but he'll have plenty of tackles. So under for me, but only because Auburn won't throw.

This is a legit point. So far, Key has 5 sacks in 3 games. His goal was 20 sacks on the season. So he's on pace to do this. I hope gets the opportunity.
Posted by RileyTime
Gulf Breeze, FL
Member since Oct 2008
6932 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 7:01 pm to
1.5 is a better O/U

How rare are 3 sack games?

2.5 I'm going under. 1.5 I'm going even money.
Posted by lsufan_26
Member since Feb 2004
12559 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 7:06 pm to
quote:

I say over with 3.7

3 solo sacks + half a sack + a quarter of a sack?
Posted by LZ83
La
Member since Sep 2016
17406 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 7:09 pm to
I figure Valentine plus key as to be more than a half sack apiece
Posted by TutHillTiger
Mississippi Alabama
Member since Sep 2010
43700 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 7:13 pm to
Big and slow, I say over
Posted by Violent Tally
Member since Aug 2014
1084 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 7:15 pm to
OVER over. Looking for 4.
This post was edited on 9/21/16 at 7:16 pm
Posted by Lee Chatelain
I love the OT!
Member since Oct 2008
11345 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 7:16 pm to
negative 4
Posted by AndUhIUh
Member since Sep 2016
121 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 7:22 pm to
quote:

3 solo sacks + half a sack + a quarter of a sack?

+ My sack.
Posted by Bayou
CenLA
Member since Feb 2005
36832 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 8:17 pm to
over
Posted by OTIS2
NoLA
Member since Jul 2008
50131 posts
Posted on 9/21/16 at 8:59 pm to
He's gonna eat. I'll go over.
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