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Trying to decide on my two keepers need help

Posted on 5/26/15 at 11:15 pm
Posted by purplengold1
Illinois
Member since Feb 2009
5074 posts
Posted on 5/26/15 at 11:15 pm
This will be the 6th year of the league and have been very fortunate with keepers. Need to decide between:

Jamaal Charles
Calvin Johnson
Odell Beckham Jr.

Really have no idea what to do. My first thought would be to go with Jamaal Charles and OBJ but I don't know if I can give away Calvin Johnson after he carried my team year after year. TIA
Posted by PokerChamp21
Member since Apr 2006
20125 posts
Posted on 5/26/15 at 11:23 pm to
Calvin Johnson is consensus ranked 9th and Jamaal Charles 20th
Posted by WicKed WayZ
Louisiana Forever
Member since Sep 2011
31590 posts
Posted on 5/27/15 at 1:20 am to
I would keep Calvin and Charles. I like OBJ a lot but chances of him repeating the same numbers from last year are slim. He's still a top 10 WR, but Calvin is top 5 when healthy and very consistent and the same with Charles.


A top 5 WR and a top 5 RB. Then you can add two good WRs or two good RBs based on your strategy.
Posted by gatordmb89
Member since Dec 2009
30458 posts
Posted on 5/27/15 at 7:24 am to
Consensus? Based on what rankings?
Posted by The Mick
Member since Oct 2010
43136 posts
Posted on 5/27/15 at 8:14 am to
quote:

I would keep Calvin and Charles. I like OBJ a lot but chances of him repeating the same numbers from last year are slim.
This is probably the safe bet.
Posted by papz
Austin, TX
Member since Jul 2008
9330 posts
Posted on 5/27/15 at 8:18 am to
Trade OBJ to another LSU fan for a pick swap... someone will bite.
Posted by GOON
Fantasy Land
Member since Mar 2008
7399 posts
Posted on 5/27/15 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

I would keep Calvin and Charles. I like OBJ a lot but chances of him repeating the same numbers from last year are slim. He's still a top 10 WR, but Calvin is top 5 when healthy and very consistent and the same with Charles.


I'd go with this.
Posted by PokerChamp21
Member since Apr 2006
20125 posts
Posted on 5/27/15 at 4:56 pm to
Posted by Dan Bilzerian
..on my yacht or jet.
Member since Dec 2014
1864 posts
Posted on 5/27/15 at 5:20 pm to
Can you make trades?

Charles for draft picks?
Posted by WicKed WayZ
Louisiana Forever
Member since Sep 2011
31590 posts
Posted on 5/28/15 at 3:12 am to
quote:

Charles for draft picks?



Why would he do that? What backs will be better? Lacy? Maybe..but I doubt it. He's got injury concerns the same as Charles and Charles is in a run first system


The only back I would take over Charles would be Bell, but he's suspended 3 games. Might as well stick with Charles unless Bell's suspension is reduced to 1 game then he's def worth it. Other than that, stick with Charles IMO
Posted by AbitaFan08
Boston, MA
Member since Apr 2008
26578 posts
Posted on 5/28/15 at 10:09 am to
quote:

Can you make trades?

Charles for draft picks?


If you can make trades for draft picks, the best one to do that with would be OBJ. Calvin and Charles are proven commodities, and while OBJ is a stud, he hasn't proven he can consistently be an elite guy yet. Not to mention the return of Cruz raises a question mark.

With OBJ being such a hot commodity this offseason, and a former LSU player, you can probably get someone to give up more than they otherwise should for OBJ
Posted by CBandits82
Lurker since May 2008
Member since May 2012
54098 posts
Posted on 5/28/15 at 10:25 am to
where were they drafted??
Posted by dnm3305
Member since Feb 2009
13578 posts
Posted on 5/28/15 at 1:26 pm to
quote:

Why would he do that? What backs will be better? Lacy? Maybe..but I doubt it. He's got injury concerns the same as Charles and Charles is in a run first system


I dont get the Lacy hype at all?

-He is not a big factor in PPR (caught 3 passes or less in 13/16 games last year)

-Does not get the ball nearly as much as an elite back should (had 17 or less carries in 14/16 games last year, had 13 carries or less in 8/16, HALF of his games!)

-Does not do much with the ball when he does get it (10/16 games with less than 80 yards rushing, only 3 total 100 yd games)

Why not just wait 3 rounds and draft Mark Ingram who put up nearly identical numbers as Lacy did last year?
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278429 posts
Posted on 5/28/15 at 1:42 pm to
quote:

-Does not get the ball nearly as much as an elite back should (had 17 or less carries in 14/16 games last year, had 13 carries or less in 8/16, HALF of his games!)




this is just kind of how the NFL is these days. There aren't many guys that get the workload of 10 years ago.


Lacy had the 9th most carries in the NFL.

7th in Yards
t-3rd in TDs


His value comes in early in the draft because you know he is the man in Green Bay. Barring injury you know what you will get. Not to mention he plays in a good offense, and John Kuhn no longer really vultures TDs.

And as a PPR back, he is pretty respectable. He helps more than he hurts.

quote:

-He is not a big factor in PPR (caught 3 passes or less in 13/16 games last year)



of RBs with more than 200 carries, he had the 6th most catches.

Out of all RBs, he had the 6th most yards, and 3rd most receiving TDs.


He had as many catches as perceived "pass receiving RBs" like Giovanni Bernard, Jamaal Charles, Darren Sproles, Justin Forseett.
Posted by dnm3305
Member since Feb 2009
13578 posts
Posted on 5/28/15 at 1:53 pm to
I get all of that, I just dont think that equals no.1 overall fantasy back, or really even in the conversation. All the exact same things can be said about Forte, except he caught 60 more passes. Bell is clear cut no.1. Peterson will be absolutely be fed. Charles will get more touches as is the main man. I would even take Hill over Lacy. Foster still has some left in the tank, McCoy will be in a heavy run offense. There's just too many other backs to say that Lacy is clear cut no.1 or even top 3 really.

I just think alot of his value is coming from projection and that projection is him making a big jump.
This post was edited on 5/28/15 at 1:59 pm
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278429 posts
Posted on 5/28/15 at 1:58 pm to
yea i dont think he is #1, but i like him over Charles. I dont like how Andy Reid used him at all last year, and all the pressure is on him since the rest of the offense blows. .

Lacy finished ahead of him in PPR, by the way.



Forte & Demarco Murray will both be in new offenses. Bell has a 3gm suspension.

Lacy is one of the few without any questions surrounding him
Posted by papz
Austin, TX
Member since Jul 2008
9330 posts
Posted on 5/28/15 at 2:01 pm to
Obviously you don't get it because no one said Lacy is a clear cut number 1 fantasy back. The closest was the poster referencing it could happen, but unlikely. The poster then mentions Charles and Bell are his 1 and 2. You're arguing a point no one made.
This post was edited on 5/28/15 at 2:04 pm
Posted by dnm3305
Member since Feb 2009
13578 posts
Posted on 5/28/15 at 2:08 pm to
quote:

Forte & Demarco Murray will both be in new offenses. Bell has a 3gm suspension.


Im staying away from his big time this year. Dont like the Mathews acquisition either with him. Both of their value (if Mathews had any) is now gone.

quote:

Lacy finished ahead of him in PPR, by the way.


To be fair, Charles missed some games and had a high ankle injury for a good part of the season. I do agree that I dont like the way he's used either. He could be a superstar like Westbrook was with Reid.

quote:

Bell has a 3gm suspension.

He's still no.1 for me. Just way too much upside and his floor is higher than most RB's ceiling. If you can go 1-2 or even 2-1 for those first 3 games, it's smooth sailing.

quote:

Lacy is one of the few without any questions surrounding him

Could we say that Lacy has more upside than someone like Ingram? Same high powered pass first offense, mediocre defensive division, will get cheap goalline TD's, mediocre O-lines. IF Ingram gets about 15 carries (what Lacy got last year), they can be the exact same player, just like they were last year, minus some PPR value. You can get Ingram 3 rounds later.

Even in crunch time games last year, playoffs-
Lacy's line -
vs Dal - 19 for 101 and 0 TD's. 1 rec for 10 yds
vs Sea - 21 for 73 and 0 TD's. 0 rec

There were 7 games last year that Lacy rushed for less than 60 yards with 0 TD's. SEVEN. He just doesnt show up enough and isnt consistent enough to be in the elite tier to me.
Posted by dnm3305
Member since Feb 2009
13578 posts
Posted on 5/28/15 at 2:10 pm to
quote:

Obviously you don't get it because no one said Lacy is a clear cut number 1 fantasy back. The closest was the poster referencing it could happen, but unlikely. The poster then mentions Charles and Bell are his 1 and 2. You're arguing a point no one made.


Im just speaking in general because Im already hearing some chirping that Lacy can be no.1 overall, especially from some of the guys in my leagues.
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278429 posts
Posted on 5/28/15 at 2:16 pm to
Ingram is a wild card this year, if he can stay healthy and the Saints are really committed to the run, he could vault into the top 5 by seasons end.


quote:

There were 7 games last year that Lacy rushed for less than 60 yards with 0 TD's. SEVEN. He just doesnt show up enough and isnt consistent enough to be in the elite tier to me.



I think just based on volume(carries), there are a lot of guys you can look back and say the same thing. RBs just dont get the ball as much as they used to.



quote:

There were 7 games last year that Lacy rushed for less than 60 yards with 0 TD's. SEVEN


I just looked it up, and counted 4 games like this.

3 of the games you included are below:

vs NOLA, he had >60yards rushing(59), but caught 8-123.

vs CHI had 48yards but had a TD

next matchup vs Chi, had 50 yards rushing, but 3-68-1TD receiving
This post was edited on 5/28/15 at 2:21 pm
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