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Trafalgar Poll Question

Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:33 am
Posted by GAFF
Georgia
Member since Aug 2010
2451 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:33 am
So is this poll legit or not? I’m still confused on what the poster earlier was trying to say about them using false data.
Posted by ksayetiger
Centenary Gents
Member since Jul 2007
68417 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:34 am to
if trump is leading it is legit
Posted by sweetwaterbilly
Member since Mar 2017
19351 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:34 am to
I think their official ones are legit. If I read correctly, someone posited a fraudulent Trafalgar poll and Nate Silver ran with the data.

Now he's bitching because he was duped.

I think that's why Cahaley came out and said that people can take things NOT posted by them but attributed to Trafalgar at their own risk.

Someone correct me if I'm wrong.
Posted by Jp1LSU
Fiji
Member since Oct 2005
2542 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:36 am to
On this day in 2016 Trump was +300 in the gambling market. Today he is +188. 67% of the bets coming in we’re on Trump but the action has moved.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
119136 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:41 am to
quote:

So is this poll legit or not? I’m still confused on what the poster earlier was trying to say about them using false data.




They were one of the most accurate pollsters in the 2016 presidential election and the 2018 midterm elections.

They poll by automated phone calls and the poll questions are short and sweet. This method tends to keep people from hanging up on them. Trump voters are usually busy and just don't want to put up with long polling questions so they get filtered out of MSM polls that are long, drawn out and have leading questions. Trafalgar attempts to avoid those issues that leads to poor polling numbers.
Posted by ibldprplgld
Member since Feb 2008
25103 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:43 am to
Given how wrong the "legit" ones were in 2016, I'd say it doesn't really matter.

You'd have to be headless to look around at all the relevant variables and think Biden is actually up by 4-6 points in all the battleground and "battleground" states.

Just my $.02
Posted by KingOrange
Mayfair
Member since Aug 2018
8686 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:44 am to
quote:

So is this poll legit or not?


What do you Mean? It was one of the only Pollsters that got the 2016 election correct.
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