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taking an alternative look at Virginia
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:38 pm
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:38 pm
what happens there if Trump gets 20% of the AA vote and 40% of the Hispanic?
does that pretty much neutralize the Beltway counties?
does that pretty much neutralize the Beltway counties?
12
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:41 pm to vl100butch
If Trump loses Fla or TX or GA it is over because of he loses those States he will lose many others.
If Trump wins VA he wins in a landslide because he will 2qin all swing states.
If Trump wins VA he wins in a landslide because he will 2qin all swing states.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:42 pm to vl100butch
I think NOVA just needs to merge with DC and let them have those electoral votes, so the rest of the real Commonwealth can be red like it's intended to be.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:47 pm to vl100butch
quote:Friend, per the Swingometer, Trump would need 26% of the black vote and 40% of the Hispanic vote to win VA! Unbelievable it's that far gone!
what happens there if Trump gets 20% of the AA vote and 40% of the Hispanic?
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:55 pm to vl100butch
Virginia is going to be the this year's version of 2016 Minnesota.
Trump didn't really even go after Minnesota hard in 2016, and he barely lost despite the polls saying he was down by 10 points.
Trump has been to Virginia once in 2020, and it was really only to double dip with North Carolina voters.
I think he loses Virginia by less than 2.5 points. I would still say a win there is very unlikely, though.
Trump didn't really even go after Minnesota hard in 2016, and he barely lost despite the polls saying he was down by 10 points.
Trump has been to Virginia once in 2020, and it was really only to double dip with North Carolina voters.
I think he loses Virginia by less than 2.5 points. I would still say a win there is very unlikely, though.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:58 pm to vl100butch
I was in northern Virginia a while back, and every house had a BLM sign on it.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 7:08 pm to vl100butch
IF we can get the remaining 63% of Rep/Conservative voters to go vote, we can easily flip Virginia on the Presidential race and all the down ballot races. Last election, only 37% of the Republican/conservative voters cast a vote. That's why Virginia is blue.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 7:22 pm to vl100butch
Trump lost VA by 180K in 2016.
He would need 25% of the black vote and a huge turnout to overcome the beltway DCers.
He would need 25% of the black vote and a huge turnout to overcome the beltway DCers.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 7:32 pm to vl100butch
Virginia is blue has been for 12 years. It’s out of play
Posted on 10/29/20 at 7:39 pm to vl100butch
People underestimate the impact of the Dems 2nd ammendment assault in Virginia. It's going to be close
Posted on 10/29/20 at 7:45 pm to vl100butch
I don’t trust one poll with their percentages . I trust my lying eyes of the Trump rallies v Biden’s rallies
Posted on 10/30/20 at 11:31 am to vl100butch
Trump will win Va due to increase minority support and huge turnout in rural areas due to native Virginians fed up with their idiot governor and progressive policies in general.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 11:59 am to vl100butch
Y'all seem to missing a key component: Tim Kaine.
He was the former Gov of VA (06-11) and Senator of VA in 2016 and
Hillary's running mate.
The question is...How many percentage points did Tim Kaine bring in 2016?
Hillary won by 5.32%.
I think Trump easily gets 2% more this time, decreasing the dem advantage to 2.32%.
Without Tim on the presidential ticket...this will be very close.
I wouldn't be surprised if Trump wins it. Either way, VA won't be called until very, very late.
My guess is Trump wins it by 2.44%, but with the dems cheating, it will be closer to 1%.
He was the former Gov of VA (06-11) and Senator of VA in 2016 and
Hillary's running mate.
The question is...How many percentage points did Tim Kaine bring in 2016?
Hillary won by 5.32%.
I think Trump easily gets 2% more this time, decreasing the dem advantage to 2.32%.
Without Tim on the presidential ticket...this will be very close.
I wouldn't be surprised if Trump wins it. Either way, VA won't be called until very, very late.
My guess is Trump wins it by 2.44%, but with the dems cheating, it will be closer to 1%.
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