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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
Posted on 9/13/20 at 11:51 pm to Clockwatcher68
Posted on 9/13/20 at 11:51 pm to Clockwatcher68
Some talk in the posts above about a west shift in the models, then you posted the track graphic. Since it was an hour and a half old, I thought they may have edited it.
Thanks for clearing that up.
Thanks for clearing that up.
0
Posted on 9/13/20 at 11:53 pm to rmnldr
quote:
and the expected downvotes
That's how you maximize downvotes.
HMON ends up pretty similar I think. It really seems to hate Mobile. Stronger this run (probably overdoing it early, translating to too strong late). Timing is pretty good I think, finally. I think it probably is too far east with the overzealous strengthening.
Watch the HWRF evolution. You'll see it build the curved band and then wrap it mostly around and that's when it starts dropping the pressures. Timing makes sense on that process too.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 12:23 am to marinebioman
I understand the desire for self preservation lol.
I’m north of I-10 and on high ground thank goodness.
I’m north of I-10 and on high ground thank goodness.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 12:34 am to lsusa
Posted on 9/14/20 at 12:41 am to Bobby OG Johnson
...SALLY FORECAST TO PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS, AND HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST STARTING LATER TODAY...
1:00 AM CDT Mon Sep 14
Location: 28.1°N 86.9°W
Moving: W at 12 mph
Min pressure: 996 mb
Max sustained: 60 mph
1:00 AM CDT Mon Sep 14
Location: 28.1°N 86.9°W
Moving: W at 12 mph
Min pressure: 996 mb
Max sustained: 60 mph
Posted on 9/14/20 at 12:41 am to rds dc
NHC track says it picked up speed now heading due west? what?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 12:42 am to DVinBR
It went form 28.2°N 86.2°W moving NW at 8 mph at 10 pm to 28.1°N 86.9°W moving W at 12 mph at 1 am. So basically it went slightly wsw (or at least the center of circulation went wsw).
This post was edited on 9/14/20 at 12:48 am
Posted on 9/14/20 at 12:44 am to DVinBR
Wtf? I was hoping for the east trend to continue. Seems like bad news for SE LA.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 12:46 am to TypoKnig
Yeah that update is making me pucker here in Nola
Posted on 9/14/20 at 12:47 am to TigahJay
Puckering here in Slidell too.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:03 am to TigahJay
Yea faster and more westerly motion would seem to indicate a western shift in its track. Admittedly, I know nothing about meteorology.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:08 am to TypoKnig
1am (#10a) track
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:15 am to Obtuse1
Big shift east on the euro.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:29 am to TypoKnig
quote:
Yea faster and more westerly motion would seem to indicate a western shift in its track. Admittedly, I know nothing about meteorology.
So far this is all normal. Storm was always going west for the next 12-24 hours. The northern turn comes eventually, so check the 7am update location to tell if it’s going faster or slower than projected. If it’s further west than 87.3W, then it’s faster than projected.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:29 am to Jim Rockford
quote:
Big shift east on the euro.
How big?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:33 am to TheFonz
quote:
How big?
Big shift from the 12z, but someone posted the 18z and it was basically the same as the 00z.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:50 am to slackster
Sally
Paulette
Paulette
Posted on 9/14/20 at 2:12 am to Bobby OG Johnson
Now we have TS Teddy
Posted on 9/14/20 at 2:19 am to Jim Rockford
That would tie the Atlantic Record with 4 active named storms at one time.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 3:01 am to TypoKnig
From Fox 8's Zack Fradella:
quote:
Looking at some of the 06Z model plots and this could make a landfall in Louisiana at the mouth of the river. The due west motion has got the storm left of the NHC track.
The new track probably won’t shift much, the new TVCN is just east of it along the MS Gulf Coast. But is more west into the mouth of the river.
A slow moving strengthening hurricane right there...ehhhh one wobble the left way and we see considerable impacts in the metro area.
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