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Started By
Message
re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update
Posted on 8/24/20 at 11:55 pm to LSURussian
Posted on 8/24/20 at 11:55 pm to LSURussian
quote:
How do you know when a horse gives you consent??
Horses always say Neigh..oooooo
Which translates to NO
0
Posted on 8/24/20 at 11:55 pm to TigerstuckinMS
quote:
I said it earlier in this thread, but I just want to say it again: she knows her shite and goddamn, she has nice tits.
Her and Jim were at ripples boat launch on Miller ave in Westlake earlier and one of my friends said they were both eating at mazens earlier too.
If both are in town....SWLA is fricked.
Posted on 8/24/20 at 11:56 pm to lsu777
They probably just made a day trip for the food
Posted on 8/24/20 at 11:57 pm to stout
To circle back to what Levi was talking about tonight concerning the strength of the ridge and why there is still concern for Houston.
This is how the GFS had the 500 mb height at 00z for the model starting point.
Compared to this chart of the 500 mb heights recorded by the upper air soundings from the NWS WFOs around the country. I *very* roughly drew in the 591 dm and 594 dm lines but you can see the extent of the 591 line is farther west than even the GFS had at the initial value.
It did a little better vs earlier runs though, and it went farther SW early vs previous runs.
The north turn is from a disturbance over Texas acting to break the ridge down on the western end and this provides southerly flow to push Laura north and inland. This is the eventual turning mechanism to get Laura off the WNW/NW path and inland.
The concern is if the ridge is stronger than most of the models are showing, Laura gets farther west and the ridge is slower to breakdown which ends up with a major hurricane dangerously close to the Houston metro.
Interested to see if the Euro sticks with a solution more like this vs the GFS/rest of model consensus and especially what the Euro Ensembles show.
This is how the GFS had the 500 mb height at 00z for the model starting point.
Compared to this chart of the 500 mb heights recorded by the upper air soundings from the NWS WFOs around the country. I *very* roughly drew in the 591 dm and 594 dm lines but you can see the extent of the 591 line is farther west than even the GFS had at the initial value.
It did a little better vs earlier runs though, and it went farther SW early vs previous runs.
The north turn is from a disturbance over Texas acting to break the ridge down on the western end and this provides southerly flow to push Laura north and inland. This is the eventual turning mechanism to get Laura off the WNW/NW path and inland.
The concern is if the ridge is stronger than most of the models are showing, Laura gets farther west and the ridge is slower to breakdown which ends up with a major hurricane dangerously close to the Houston metro.
Interested to see if the Euro sticks with a solution more like this vs the GFS/rest of model consensus and especially what the Euro Ensembles show.
Posted on 8/24/20 at 11:58 pm to lsu777
quote:
Her and Jim were at ripples boat launch on Miller ave in Westlake earlier and one of my friends said they were both eating at mazens earlier too.
If both are in town....SWLA is fricked.
TWC promoted both Cantore & Abrams in LC
Posted on 8/24/20 at 11:59 pm to Duke
Is that ridge likely to be stronger or weaker?
Posted on 8/25/20 at 12:01 am to Duke
Houston's mayor said that Houstonians should try to stay off the roads to let people who are evacuating from Galveston and westward from counties east of the city to get through.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 12:03 am to OldSouth
My local weather people.
I long for the days of Stu Ostro and Dr. Steve Lyons on the weather channel. What happened to those guys??
I long for the days of Stu Ostro and Dr. Steve Lyons on the weather channel. What happened to those guys??
This post was edited on 8/25/20 at 12:04 am
Posted on 8/25/20 at 12:06 am to Duke
quote:
Compared to this chart of the 500 mb heights recorded by the upper air soundings from the NWS WFOs around the country. I *very* roughly drew in the 591 dm and 594 dm lines but you can see the extent of the 591 line is farther west than even the GFS had at the initial value.
How often are these soundings run? I know multiple soundings are done across the country, but do they step up the number or frequency to help zero in on features with more questions?
Posted on 8/25/20 at 12:07 am to Magic Helmet
quote:
long for the days of Stu Ostro and Dr. Steve Lyons on the weather channel. What happened to those guys??
They were sacrificed at the alter of Nielsen.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 12:09 am to LegendInMyMind
quote:
They were sacrificed at the alter of Nielsen
What does that mean??
Posted on 8/25/20 at 12:10 am to fightin tigers
quote:
Is that ridge likely to be stronger or weaker?
Duke essentially said it is stronger. Being that it is already further west than some models predicted, it is already in a position to, somewhat, force Laura on a more western course.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 12:10 am to LegendInMyMind
quote:
How often are these soundings run? I know multiple soundings are done across the country, but do they step up the number or frequency to help zero in on features with more questions?
It's typically every 12 hours (00z and 12z) but it looks like the whole southeast was running them every 6 hours (00,06,12,18 z) and I would imagine that will be the same tomorrow and Wednesday.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 12:11 am to Magic Helmet
quote:
What does that mean??
smart people with bland personalities don't push ratings
need to get the ratings up
Posted on 8/25/20 at 12:11 am to Magic Helmet
quote:
What does that mean??
Just that the old school guys aren't as good for ratings as what we have now. Nielsen is a tv ratings service. Just a joke.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 12:12 am to Magic Helmet
quote:
What does that mean??
Tits sell ads
Posted on 8/25/20 at 12:12 am to fightin tigers
quote:
Tits sell ads
This.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 12:13 am to fightin tigers
quote:
Tits sell ads
Posted on 8/25/20 at 12:21 am to LSURussian
quote:
How do you know when a horse gives you consent??
It backs up to the stump.
Posted on 8/25/20 at 12:22 am to Duke
Does anyone from LC remember how high the lake got by Lakeshore during Rita? I can't find any good images on search and I was trying to give my wife some context.
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