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re: New senate polls just released (heitkamp is fricked)

Posted on 10/3/18 at 6:06 pm to
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
26039 posts
Posted on 10/3/18 at 6:06 pm to
I think Donnelly is going to lose to Braun.
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
26039 posts
Posted on 10/3/18 at 6:07 pm to
I’m interested in the Tester race because that is really close.
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 10/3/18 at 6:10 pm to
WTF is going on with AZ?
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
39258 posts
Posted on 10/3/18 at 6:16 pm to
quote:

Plus Scott wins Florida for the GoP


Nelson is ahead in every poll. He leads by 1-7%, depending on the poll. Quinipiac is 7, for whatever that is worth.

I have wondered why Trump is not doing a rally or two for Scott.

If Scott can stay close in the early numbers he will win. Once the west side of the state begins coming in, Scott will pick up a lot. West is all baws and military, on Central time..
Posted by TuneInnTiger
Member since Apr 2017
53 posts
Posted on 10/3/18 at 6:23 pm to
House numbers are really tightening. Dems are starting to pull out of races that were either listed as toss-ups or lean dems.

The enthusiasm bump is finally showing in polls.

I head Morrisey in WV is down to two points. Basically Manchin has to decide whether to save himself and vote Yes or go down by voting No.

Texas is still close, but Cruz will pull away once they start being more aggressive on TV ads.
Posted by Magician2
Member since Oct 2015
14553 posts
Posted on 10/3/18 at 6:24 pm to
AZ had a very late primary. There were 3 GOP contenders all polling the 20%s

McSally is lucky she won handidly and didn’t have to do a runoff otherwise she’d be fricked.

McSally is having to consolidate support from the other 2 candidates bases.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
68429 posts
Posted on 10/3/18 at 6:26 pm to
Why isn't McSally leading?
Posted by hogwildinhouston
Member since Oct 2011
471 posts
Posted on 10/3/18 at 6:26 pm to
I'm surprised Scott isn't fairing better. He had a pretty solid approval rating as Governor. That was a flip I felt pretty good about.

Of course, polls in Florida are saying the left wing Democrat for Governor is ahead, which I find very hard to believe.

So, I still say Scott pulls this out.
This post was edited on 10/3/18 at 6:27 pm
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
68429 posts
Posted on 10/3/18 at 6:28 pm to
quote:

Dems are starting to pull out of races that were either listed as toss-ups or lean dems.
Meaning they are pulling their money out? A thread earlier suggested that 8 races had moved towards the Dems, though some only went from likely R to leans R.
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
39258 posts
Posted on 10/3/18 at 6:43 pm to
quote:

I'm surprised Scott isn't fairing better. He had a pretty solid approval rating as Governor. That was a flip I felt pretty good about.


Scott has been a pretty good governor. He also made a lot of trips to the islands after the hurricanes. He has made sure all the Puerto Rican refugees have gotten a weekly check. I believe they just extended the time that refugees can get a check and housing.

Nelson has no dead girl or live boy. He is vanilla. He is an incumbent that has been seated for about 200 years. That alone carries votes.

If the islanders help Scott, as he helped them, he will win.
Posted by PUB
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
18317 posts
Posted on 10/3/18 at 6:46 pm to
Trump can tour all 5 states in one day and turn the polls
He has weeks to pull it off too
Posted by DevilDogTiger
RTWFY!
Member since Nov 2007
6365 posts
Posted on 10/3/18 at 6:48 pm to
quote:

TN: Blackburn 48, Bredesen 43

Tri Cities Trump bump
Posted by RoyalAir
Detroit
Member since Dec 2012
5896 posts
Posted on 10/3/18 at 6:49 pm to
quote:

Yep...folks boo’d Bredesen in Chattanooga yesterday when he didn’t support Kavebaw.




I live here, and utterly forgot he was coming through.

I'd have gone just to boo him.
Posted by TuneInnTiger
Member since Apr 2017
53 posts
Posted on 10/3/18 at 6:51 pm to
Yes, meaning they pulled money out of a few races and are cancelling ad buys.

Cook moves races back and forth. But the better indicator is follow the money and where dems are spending. That’s a far better indicator of the situation on the ground.

Posted by da prophet
hammond, la
Member since Sep 2013
2325 posts
Posted on 10/3/18 at 6:56 pm to
Good to see the Tennessee folks finally waking up.
Posted by da prophet
hammond, la
Member since Sep 2013
2325 posts
Posted on 10/3/18 at 7:07 pm to
Incumbents polling in the low 40’s, not good.
Posted by NDonahue
Member since Apr 2016
1053 posts
Posted on 10/3/18 at 7:19 pm to
I grew up in TN while Bredesen was governor. Bredesen ran as a personal favour to Schumer. Guy is a left wing political hack. People in Nashville like him because he had a big hand in wooing the Oilers to TN, as mayor, but policy wise as governor of TN he was a typical liberal and had only gotten moreso since. My granny absolutely hated him. He does have name recognition though. That's about the biggest thing he has going for him.
This post was edited on 10/3/18 at 7:24 pm
Posted by RoyalAir
Detroit
Member since Dec 2012
5896 posts
Posted on 10/3/18 at 8:57 pm to
quote:

I grew up in TN while Bredesen was governor. Bredesen ran as a personal favour to Schumer. Guy is a left wing political hack. People in Nashville like him because he had a big hand in wooing the Oilers to TN, as mayor, but policy wise as governor of TN he was a typical liberal and had only gotten moreso since. My granny absolutely hated him. He does have name recognition though. That's about the biggest thing he has going for him.


He was out of office before I moved here, but my uncle (a near lifelong resident of Nashville) had a lot of respect for him, and my FiL has continuously said he was one of the best governors TN ever had. My uncle may vote for him, but my FiL said not a chance. May as well vote for Schumer.
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 10/3/18 at 9:00 pm to
quote:

 race was dead even three days ago. The Trump bump from the TN rally and this Kavanaugh clown show will


outlier?
What if he's not confirmed?
Posted by TigerBait1971
PTC GA
Member since Oct 2014
14865 posts
Posted on 10/3/18 at 9:01 pm to
Sweet melt, comrade
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