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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine

Posted on 8/23/16 at 8:46 pm to
Posted by moffettduck
Mobile, Alabama
Member since Feb 2016
857 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 8:46 pm to
meh...A: itll get ripped apart, B: it will go north
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 8:47 pm
Posted by Riseupfromtherubble
You'll Never Walk Alone
Member since Jun 2011
38397 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 8:46 pm to
What does this mean? I know these are past hurricane treks, but is the "anaomaly correlation" basically saying that at this stage in 99L the conditions driving it are similar to these past storms? Basically a "we've seen these conditions before and this is what happened"?

Pardon my ignorance on all these weatherisms

Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
167014 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 8:49 pm to
quote:

Maybe he'll just die soon. IDK
time will tell
Posted by LSU1NSEC
Member since Sep 2007
17243 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 8:52 pm to
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
51261 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 8:55 pm to
Posted by GeauxxxTigers23
TeamBunt General Manager
Member since Apr 2013
62514 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 8:56 pm to
Man, frick that thing.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 8:56 pm to
quote:

What does this mean? I know these are past hurricane treks, but is the "anaomaly correlation" basically saying that at this stage in 99L the conditions driving it are similar to these past storms? Basically a "we've seen these conditions before and this is what happened"?



Based on where the storm is and what the GFS does in the say 3-10 range, those are the most similar storms. As you can see, there aren't any "good" analogs.
Posted by Riseupfromtherubble
You'll Never Walk Alone
Member since Jun 2011
38397 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 8:56 pm to
Looks like she's hellbent on getting into the gulf. Hopefully it'll just fall apart
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19839 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 8:59 pm to
Pretty massive envelope with this right now, could be a large system. The convection stretching from Florida off to the NE is being caused by an upper level trough and the remnants of Fiona.

Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
167014 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:00 pm to
Damn that bitch requires massive postage
Posted by BRgetthenet
Member since Oct 2011
117764 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:00 pm to
That thing coming off the panhandle is coming to LA, isn't it?
Posted by Capt ST
Hotel California
Member since Aug 2011
12915 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:01 pm to
That would just be the icing on the cake for this year. I'm afraid we are due one. I was hoping that no named sum bitch was the one.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
167014 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:02 pm to
I'm getting more water and fuel tomorrow
Posted by Capt ST
Hotel California
Member since Aug 2011
12915 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:03 pm to
She's starting to tighten up and circulation looks good. Any wind shear around?
Posted by BRgetthenet
Member since Oct 2011
117764 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:04 pm to
Jesus
Is that coming this way? That's what the last one did, right?

Not good. Not even taking about the hurricane/ts whatever is coming.
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
75340 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:04 pm to
quote:

tomorrow


A little preemptive, eh?
Posted by Pettifogger
Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone
Member since Feb 2012
79457 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:04 pm to
In truth, NW FL is definitely more due than LA aren't they? Seems like they've skated by forever
Posted by BigDawg0420
Hamsterdam
Member since Apr 2010
7399 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:05 pm to
Carmen would be a bad bitch
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
75340 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:05 pm to
Ivan
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
167014 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:05 pm to
No, ammo is on Thursdays agenda
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