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Is "smart money" piling into oil once the calendar flips to January?

Posted on 12/27/15 at 8:46 pm
Posted by RidiculousHype
St. George, LA
Member since Sep 2007
10230 posts
Posted on 12/27/15 at 8:46 pm
A few of my trusted sources say yes. What say the MT?
Posted by FunroePete
The Big Cheezy
Member since Dec 2012
1531 posts
Posted on 12/27/15 at 9:21 pm to
Could you give insight into why this would happen?
TIA
Posted by C
Houston
Member since Dec 2007
27836 posts
Posted on 12/27/15 at 9:47 pm to
Sure oil will go back up but do you really want to buy it at $35 when it very well may be at $25 in 6 months?
Posted by LSU0358
Member since Jan 2005
7920 posts
Posted on 12/28/15 at 9:07 am to
I'm personally long oil for the first time since summer of 2014. Having said that, my position is not buy and hold and I'll be unloading in the 50 to 60/bbl range. On the downside, any breach of ~32ish and I'll be out.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
37196 posts
Posted on 12/28/15 at 11:21 am to
It's interesting how oil has become an investment vehicle (or that it always was).

Something so necessary for our economy, that is subject to wild price swings based more times on speculation than on underlying economics.

$100 oil is gone for a long while. If oil starts to jump, all of these new technologies for finding oil will restart long before it gets to $100 which will clamp a rapid rise.

I see nothing ahead that would indicate a change in the supply/demand in the short term. If anything, looks like supply is still too high.
Posted by ScrapPack
Member since Nov 2011
3707 posts
Posted on 12/28/15 at 11:51 pm to
What would be the best play solely based on oil price, USO?

I have been thinking about going long, and don't mind waiting a few years if I can possibly triple (or more) my money.
Posted by LSU1NSEC
Member since Sep 2007
17243 posts
Posted on 12/29/15 at 9:54 am to
Don't know if I'd call it "smart money". May be speculators making short-term plays.
Posted by cwill
Member since Jan 2005
54753 posts
Posted on 12/29/15 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

A few of my trusted sources say yes.


I don't know if I trust them, but I don't know what you mean by smart money piling into oil. Do you mean futures, equities or private equity investment? I can't speak to the former 2, but as to PE investment the answer is that they have been "piling in" since the first downturn.
Posted by thedogman
Member since Dec 2008
2244 posts
Posted on 12/30/15 at 11:10 am to
Might be a stupid question, but when you say invest in Oil are we talking investing in major production companies or are there funds that are considered Oil Funds. I am not investment savvy so sorry if this question comes off as naive
Posted by I Love Bama
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
37746 posts
Posted on 1/7/16 at 9:25 am to
Don't want to start a new thread....


When do we jump into this?
Posted by RidiculousHype
St. George, LA
Member since Sep 2007
10230 posts
Posted on 1/21/17 at 6:14 pm to
Revisiting this thread from a year ago. Oil has doubled since the Feb lows.
Posted by Jp1LSU
Fiji
Member since Oct 2005
2542 posts
Posted on 1/25/17 at 6:00 am to
So far in 2017 I put a small portion into energy, but none of it American owned companies. There's one Permian shale operator on my to buy list. In general all of my purchases have been international. A small fraction was in a domestic REIT.
In 2016 most of my investments were outside USA as well.
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