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re: Would you choose $5 MILL in one check today, or $7.5 MILL paid over 5 years?

Posted on 8/25/15 at 12:44 pm to
Posted by jrodLSUke
Premium
Member since Jan 2011
22303 posts
Posted on 8/25/15 at 12:44 pm to
A potential 50% return on investment would be good enough all by itself. A guaranteed return like that should not even be debated.
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
25953 posts
Posted on 8/25/15 at 12:44 pm to
I'll take the 5 mil now.
No guarantees in life, so i sure as shite am not going to trust someone to continue to give me a little over a million a year for 5 years.
Posted by The Mick
Member since Oct 2010
43293 posts
Posted on 8/25/15 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

Would be able to double or triple that in 5 years
How?
Posted by The Torch
DFW The Dub
Member since Aug 2014
19493 posts
Posted on 8/25/15 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

5 now and let me build it up to more than 7.5


And just how would you do this ?

You would be more likely to turn 5 Million into 3
Posted by GoldenD
Houston
Member since Jan 2015
934 posts
Posted on 8/25/15 at 12:44 pm to
You guys should start a hedge fund with those bold statements.
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
101931 posts
Posted on 8/25/15 at 12:46 pm to
I'd take the $7.5... I could easily live comfortably off of $100K and invest the other $1.4M each year... in the end I have $7M working for me to live comfortably... could I turn that into a retirement sum? Absolutely.
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
25052 posts
Posted on 8/25/15 at 12:46 pm to
That's a close call. My rough math says that with an initial investment of 5 million to reach 7.5 million after 5 years you would need about 8.5% annual return.

Of course if you were taking 7.5 over time you would also be investing that making the return needed on the 5 million option to be even greater than 8.5 just to keep pace, making the 7.5 look more and more like the better option unless you think you could beat a pretty ambitious annual return.

On the flip side there is the assurance that you get all 5 million if you take it now. If you spread it out you could be dead and not ever get it.

I'm relatively young, I might actually take the 7.5 million over 5 years. If it was spread out much longer, I think I would take the 5 million though.
This post was edited on 8/25/15 at 12:49 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85420 posts
Posted on 8/25/15 at 12:47 pm to
Tax-free?

The present value of $7.5 million spread out over 5 years with a 8% discount rate is $6.24M. Even with a 20% discount rate, the PV is still $4.988M.

I assumed a payment of $1.25M today, then $1.25M every year for the next 5 years.
Posted by bbap
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2006
96053 posts
Posted on 8/25/15 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

I'll take the 5 mil now.
No guarantees in life, so i sure as shite am not going to trust someone to continue to give me a little over a million a year for 5 years.


That's the only logical reason for taking the 5. I'd be nervous about actually seeing that 7.5 in it's entirety as well.
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
99484 posts
Posted on 8/25/15 at 12:47 pm to
Present value of $7.5 million in 5 years is more than $5 million today.

Only uncertainty is tax policy.
Posted by jrodLSUke
Premium
Member since Jan 2011
22303 posts
Posted on 8/25/15 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

No guarantees in life

I love that in his hypothetical, the pretend $5M is guaranteed, but the pretend $7.5M is too risky.
This post was edited on 8/25/15 at 12:48 pm
Posted by tylerlsu2008
Zurich
Member since Jul 2015
1203 posts
Posted on 8/25/15 at 12:48 pm to


This post was edited on 8/25/15 at 12:51 pm
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
158822 posts
Posted on 8/25/15 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

5 now and let me build it up to more than 7.5


always love this response

Typically made by someone wanting to sound smarter than everyone else, but really has no idea how he'd actually go about doing this.


TAX FREE MUNICIPAL BONDS
This post was edited on 8/25/15 at 12:49 pm
Posted by The Mick
Member since Oct 2010
43293 posts
Posted on 8/25/15 at 12:49 pm to
nm... misunderstood you
This post was edited on 8/25/15 at 12:50 pm
Posted by bbap
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2006
96053 posts
Posted on 8/25/15 at 12:49 pm to
i'd just write it off.
Posted by saint amant steve
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
5695 posts
Posted on 8/25/15 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

$5 MILL in one check today


Nothing is guaranteed in life, including tomorrow.
Posted by lsu480
Downtown Scottsdale
Member since Oct 2007
92877 posts
Posted on 8/25/15 at 12:51 pm to
5 now
Posted by SEClint
New Orleans, LA/Portland, OR
Member since Nov 2006
48769 posts
Posted on 8/25/15 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

Do you mind investing my 401(k) for me then?



I will. Give me access to all your accounts and power of attorney.
Posted by Rounder1
Member since Feb 2013
522 posts
Posted on 8/25/15 at 12:53 pm to
normally I would say 7.5 over five years but I may consider the 5 million immediately right now. I only say that because there is a good bit of potential for some serious buying opportunities in the stock market depending on how this "correction" goes.
Posted by lsu480
Downtown Scottsdale
Member since Oct 2007
92877 posts
Posted on 8/25/15 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

A potential 50% return on investment would be good enough all by itself. A guaranteed return like that should not even be debated.



Taxes on capital gains over a certain amount are almost certainly going to skyrocket after the next election if a lib gets elected so that is the main reason I would take it now.
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