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rocket31
Toledo Fan
Member since Jan 2008
18411 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™


adding NW -3 for 1*

Card:
2* WKU -2.5
3* WVU -4
1* NW -3






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tigerbaittrick
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Jigga City
Member since Jan 2010
6454 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™


A few line movements.

KState down to -6.5
WVU back down to -3.5
Baylor -8.5
UAB +13.5
WKU -1






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bamafan425
Mississippi St. Fan
The Golf Board Superintendent
Member since Jan 2009
19652 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™


Makes me like WVU that Rocket is on them.







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HoLeInOnEr05
North Carolina Fan
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
14616 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™


I'm nervous ... both college games I bet on are seeing RLM





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wish i was tebow
South Alabama Fan
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
39172 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™


If I could get WV at 3!! Oh man.


Really like kstate and wku also.








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SDVTiger
UConn Fan
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
3330 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™


Tread with caution with KSU
Paul Rhoads is 9-1 ats last 10 as a dog

Coming off a big win vs TCU hyped up at home with KSU in the classic look ahead to WVU following week fwiw

LINK

Fast forward to 1.15






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suncloser
LSU Fan
Proctorville, OH
Member since Sep 2009
239 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™


Bankroll is getting low, so I bet the rest on South Carolina +2.5 so either way I will be happy no matter what happens. And maybe, just maybe I can be extremely happy if LSU wins by 1-2





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WRedmondsStang
LSU Fan
Member since Sep 2012
256 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™


Hole:
I assume that WV is one of the two that you speak of when referring to RLM, but which is the other. Furthermore, where is the best plasce for me to find this information. TIA






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LSUJuice
LSU Fan
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
12179 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™


I've been in that boat before. It's like paying to see LSU win, or getting paid to lose. And like you said, tiny window for win-win.





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suncloser
LSU Fan
Proctorville, OH
Member since Sep 2009
239 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™


Exactly. Last year was the most confused and mad I have ever been as an LSU fan. I placed a $100 bet on the Tigers, 15-1 to win the national championship. My friend kept begging me to place a hedge bet on Bama. My pride for LSU couldn't pull the trigger. Wish I would have!!





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DFWAggie09
Texas A&M Fan
DFW
Member since Oct 2011
394 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™


Went ahead and put 3* on WKU down to -1. Try to jumpstart the weekend early again





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HoLeInOnEr05
North Carolina Fan
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
14616 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™


West Virginia and WKU are experiencing reverse line movement





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LSUAlum2001
LSU Fan
Tier BP
Member since Aug 2003
26908 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™


So I guy I know has been calling me the last few weeks to get picks for this winner-take-all weekly pick'em ATS.

Only 5 games.

The pool is over $3400.

Last week he calls and asks for my top 5 and says he'll toss me a $200 or so if he wins. I give him Toledo, Ohio State, West Virginia, Wyoming and Duke. All 5 cover.

I texted him yesterday: Hey.. You went 5-0 last week in the pool.

He calls back and says.. "uhh.. We went 4-1. We played Maryland instead of Wyoming."

Is he FOS? I think so. He's like the bitch on the east coast who bought the pool of powerball tickets with the rest of he McDonald's coworkers; only to lie, hand the winning ticket to a friend and split the money with them.






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HoLeInOnEr05
North Carolina Fan
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
14616 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™


Start giving him the opposite of everything you pick


Back to football this week ... Someone in here previously mentioned Navy over Central Michigan earlier in this thread ... the more I look in to that game, the more I am loving Navy. Their defense is decent, and Central Michigan has no run defense whatsoever. Navy +2 is a strong play this week, I believe.



This post was edited on 10/10 at 4:19 pm


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WRedmondsStang
LSU Fan
Member since Sep 2012
256 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™


thanks Hole!





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dcrews
UNO Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2011
7380 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™


What is RLM supposed to tell us exactly? If the team you bet on has a line that's dropping, you would assume that the line you got, isn't as valuable as it was when you bet it. However, on the other side, that would mean the public is steaming the opposite pick, which means you are on the other side of the public, which is generally viewed as a good thing.

What's the big to do about RLM and how much weight should be put into it when evaluating your plays?




This post was edited on 10/10 at 4:33 pm


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tigerbaittrick
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Jigga City
Member since Jan 2010
6454 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™


Definitely full of shite. Give him bad picks for no on IMO.





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WRedmondsStang
LSU Fan
Member since Sep 2012
256 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™


Not exactly DCrews, RLM is when a larger percentage of the bets(usually meaning the public is on one side), however the line still moves in the direction of the smaller percentage of bets. For instance if the public is hammering WV -5 against TT with say 78% of all bets coming in on WV. However, the line moves to WV-3.5 indicating that although a smaller percentage; larger dollar amounts are on TT( usually assumed to be sharp $$) ultimately moving the line in TT direction.





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dgtiger3
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
4316 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™


quote:

Back to football this week ... Someone in here previously mentioned Navy over Central Michigan earlier in this thread ... the more I look in to that game, the more I am loving Navy. Their defense is decent, and Central Michigan has no run defense whatsoever. Navy +2 is a strong play this week, I believe.



It was me, lol


Navy is going to RUN all the way to the bank on Friday Night, and I plan on putting a significant amount on it...
34-21 Final






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dcrews
UNO Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2011
7380 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™


On it with you. I sure hope you're right





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