re: OFFICIAL Week 6 CFB bet thread™

I fricking LOVE that game bro.

And keep an eye out on the UNC/Va Tech game ... For some reason that game is still creeping up. If anything I figured it would swing in Va Tech's favor. I know Va Tech has burned a lot of us in here, but if it gets to 6.5, buy the hook and hammer the hokies. My Heels have only beaten ECU, Idaho, and Elon this year. I'm not understanding the love for them at the moment.

I'm telling you. My Heels have a way of shitting the bed in big games.

I'm not betting against them unless the line gets to a TD or better ...

And what's with the fading UMASS still? Hasn't that lost like 3 weeks in a row now?

I will betting on UNC in all likelihood, I admitingly don't know much about the Heels but my numbers like them and the public will get burned again on Va Tech, IMO.

I haven't been fading them all year. This is the first time I've bet against them (or on a game they've been in ).

I'm pretty sure they have been covering

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Gonna lay some $$$ on Northwestern ETA: Took NW +3 @ Penn State & NW ML

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I'm not sure about this game. PSU looked awful at the beginning of the year, but they were 3 pt underdogs vs Illinois last week and blew them away early. That and I add to it that teams that Northwestern has blown away are pretty bad (BC, Vandy, Syracuse, and Indiana). On the NW side, Illinois looks to be a team that anyone with a little talent in their pinky finger can trounce them.

Dgtiger, what is your system spitting out about Kentucky and Vandy as dogs?

Because I like both Mizzou and Mississippi State to cover those. Thinking about a tease of State -4 and Mizzou -.5.

I wanted to take UGA against Vandy, and Florida against Kentucky two weeks ago and pussed out. So maybe I'm just trying to make up for that, but Mizzou....at HOME against Vandy. Seems too easy.

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Also really interested to see what the rest of tigers system thinks about NW.

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Mixed results, which means no play for me.
Northwestern fits the role of a very live dog, 14th out of all 122 teams. But Penn State isn't vulnerable enough of a favorite and the matchup analysis strongly favors Penn State.

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Dgtiger, what is your system spitting out about Kentucky and Vandy as dogs?

Because I like both Mizzou and Mississippi State to cover those. Thinking about a tease of State -4 and Mizzou -.5.

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Well it has Kentucky (107th) and Vanderbilt (114th) but playing a team the system considers to be a strong favorite against a team that is a weak dog has had very mixed results.
I made the mistake of releasing Stanford as a pick last Thursday because of this exact situation and got burnt. The match up analysis of the game gives both dogs a "punchers" chance.

Because of that game I feel like I held back on a few games I liked last weekend, La Tech and Texas Tech were two I really liked.

For me personally I know what the system was designed for and my goal was to hover around 70% on my released picks so I will be sticking with only what it does best until it has proven success otherwise.