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re: Let's Find Out How Smart You Baws Are

Posted on 3/22/24 at 7:56 am to
Posted by Epic Cajun
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
32889 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 7:56 am to
There is an advantage, because your odds went from 33% to 50%. But realistically, if you step away from the situation and re-select the same one that you initially selected your odds are still 50%.
Posted by Nutriaitch
Montegut
Member since Apr 2008
7882 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 8:03 am to
quote:

But realistically, if you step away from the situation and re-select the same one that you initially selected your odds are still 50%



someone would need to explain to me how the odds of the one I didn't select and the one I did are different from each other.

before I selected, they each had 1/3 chance of having the loot.

one of the 2 wrong choices was removed.

so instead of each having a 1/3 chance of being right, they now each have 1/2 chance of being right.

why would one of the two have better odds than the other?
the only difference between the two is that one is in my hand and one is on the table.

*note: I'm not saying those telling me to switch are wrong, I'm asking for an explanation as to how one shell suddenly has a higher percentage chance than the other does.
This post was edited on 3/22/24 at 8:08 am
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