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re: Cameron Johnson, is there a chance that he falls and comes to BR?

Posted on 7/10/23 at 7:46 am to
Posted by subidc
CharlestonSC
Member since Nov 2019
2945 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 7:46 am to
Zero to no chance.
Posted by Double Down
Mayor of St. George
Member since Dec 2007
6613 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 8:07 am to
Or you go the way of Dylan Crewes and bet on yourself. Offered 6 million out of high school, went to college and will now get 9 million plus his nil deal. It all depends on his belief in himself.
Posted by TBoy
Kalamazoo
Member since Dec 2007
23964 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 8:31 am to
quote:

Or you go the way of Dylan Crewes and bet on yourself. Offered 6 million out of high school, went to college and will now get 9 million plus his nil deal. It all depends on his belief in himself.

Listening to MLB Network Radio on the way to the office, they expect Crews to sign above his slot.
Posted by BMTiger
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2021
769 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 8:47 am to
Dylan also comes from wealth, so that helps. Sure he made himself money, but his situation is not like everyone elses.
Posted by RayDaniel
Member since Jun 2023
155 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 8:51 am to
Hope that the Pirates draft him after round 10 and Skenes demands that extra $1.5m they were going to throw Johnson’s way! Just kidding. Sort of.
Posted by GeauxtigersMs36
The coast
Member since Jan 2018
8684 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 9:52 am to
Or does he think “ if I got to college, I can improve my draft selection”. Betting on yourself plus college verse A ball. Heard a guy say if a college kid is taken in the first round, the club thinks MLB ready by year 2.
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
28718 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 10:08 am to
quote:

Betting on yourself plus college verse A ball. Heard a guy say if a college kid is taken in the first round, the club thinks MLB ready by year 2.


Particularly if you play in the SEC. 7 of the 36 players taken in Rd. 1 were from the SEC. Considering there are sophomores would would have been taken high had they been eligible and freshmen that turned down A ball to go to college, I think it is reasonable to believe that playing in the SEC is probably akin to facing A to high A level competition. If a guy has already proven himself against that level, it is reasonable a team could draft an SEC player high and get him into Double A ball pretty quickly.
Posted by DatNolaClap
New Orleans
Member since Mar 2015
1842 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 2:28 pm to
He comin
Posted by Daringer
Member since Jan 2018
145 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 2:45 pm to
He’s coming to LSU with his talent and to not be drafted by the 6th round teams know he’s not signing and going to school. If he doesn’t play college ball I would be shocked
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
31141 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

the fact that about 99% selected in the first 10 rounds sign, I’m gonna guess “no”.



3 out of 316 declined last year, all three were college players trying to better their draft stock. Brandon Sproat (3rd round #90 in 2022 to 2nd round # 56th in 2023) paid off and Nolan McLean (3rd round #81 in 2022 to 3rd round #91 in 2023) was a wash. Brock Rodden 10th round #304 in 2022 to 5th round #160 in 2023) made the biggest move.
Posted by Genestealer55
ARLINGTON
Member since May 2017
7382 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 3:15 pm to
quote:

He’s coming to LSU with his talent and to not be drafted by the 6th round teams know he’s not signing and going to school. If he doesn’t play college ball I would be shocked


I think it was like late 1st or early 2nd round on MLB channel and they were talking about who the best remaining players were…and when Harold Reynolds, sitting in middle and next to Jay, said it’s easily Cam Johnson…i wanted CJJ to backhand him off the stage
Posted by Double Down
Mayor of St. George
Member since Dec 2007
6613 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 3:29 pm to
We are deep in the sixth round and he is still on the board. I don’t see him getting his value this low. Stranger things have happened.
Posted by Flanders
Bham
Member since May 2008
9847 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 3:32 pm to
quote:

We are deep in the sixth round and he is still on the board. I don’t see him getting his value this low. Stranger things have happened.

At this point it does not matter the round he gets drafted. If a team has the draft capital to pay him his number he will go.
Posted by Wee Ice Mon
Member since May 2014
1412 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 3:33 pm to
He can still get his value. Here’s an example of what the Astros did in 2022 to get their 11th rounder $1.25 million.

1 (28): Drew Gilbert, OF, Tennessee -- $2.5 million (Pick value: $2,621,700)
Gilbert agreed to a bonus slightly below slot value. He’s an aggressive hitter with excellent hand-eye coordination, solid to plus speed and very good instincts in center field. On the mound, his fastball has touched 93 mph when he relieved in the past.

2 (64): Jacob Melton, OF, Oregon State -- $1 million (Pick value: $1,104,100)
Melton agreed to a bonus just below the slot value. The Pac-12 player of the year, Melton had a slash line of .360/.424/.671 with 17 home runs and 21 stolen bases. Scouts say he has plus raw power and speed, center-field range on defense and a right-field arm.

2C (80): Andrew Taylor, RHP, Central Michigan -- $807,200 (Pick value: $807,200)
Taylor signed for the full slot value of $807,2000. At Central Michigan, he set the school record for strikeouts two consecutive seasons with an invisible low-90s fastball and a solid changeup with fade and depth.

3 (103): Michael Knorr, RHP, Coastal Carolina -- $487,500 (Pick value: $594,600)
Knorr signed on July 22, and MLB.com's Jim Callis reports he signed for $487,500.

4 (133): Trey Dombroski, LHP, Monmouth -- $443,900 (Pick value: $443,900)
Dombroski signed for the full slot value of $443,900. The left-hander from Monmouth had the best control in the MLB Draft with the ability to locate four pitches, with the best being a slider. He struck out a school-record 120 batters and walked 14 in 95 innings this spring.

5 (163): Nolan DeVos, RHP, Davidson -- $197,500 (Pick value: $331,600)
The right-hander from Davidson led the Atlantic 10 with 106 strikeouts in 78 2/3 innings with a fastball that plays up and a sweeping slider.

6 (193): Collin Price, C, Mercer -- $122,500 (Pick value: $257,500)
Price signed on July 22, and MLB.com's Jim Callis reports he signed for $122,500.

7 (223): A.J. Blubaugh, RHP, Milwaukee -- $172,500 (Pick value: $202,900)
Blubaugh signed on July 22, and MLB.com's Jim Callis reports he signed for $172,500.

8 (253): Tyler Guilfoil, RHP, Kentucky -- $122,500 (Pick value: $170,300)
Guilfoil signed on July 22, and MLB.com's Jim Callis reports he signed for $122,500.

9 (283): Brett Gillis, RHP, University of Portland -- $97,500 (Pick value: $157,200)
Gillis signed on July 26, and MLB.com's Jonathan Mayo reports he signed for $97,500.

10 (313): Zach Cole Jr., OF, Ball State (Pick value: $149,600)
Cole signed on July 22, but terms of the signing have not been revealed by the club.

11 (343): Ryan Clifford, OF, Crossroads FLEX HS (NC) -- $1,256,530
The Astros signed Clifford away from his Vanderbilt commitment by signing him for $1,256,530, according to MLB.com's Jim Callis, using some of the money they saved on their bonus pool from the first 10 rounds. It's the second-highest bonus given to an 11th-round pick ever (Angels gave Caden Dana $1,497,500 this year).
Posted by LSUnatick
South of Lafourche
Member since Jul 2008
1085 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 3:37 pm to
Great point. Lets just hope Cam asked for $3m and sticks to it. Lot harder to get to that number saving $50-100k per slot in the early rounds.
Posted by RayDaniel
Member since Jun 2023
155 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 3:40 pm to
No doubt someone can get him $1m to $1.5m saving on the bonus pool. Look at all the college kids going in rounds 3-6. Saving the $$$ having them sign for $100k+ under slot is what that's all about. It's just a matter if Johnson has a number north of $1.5m that he will tell a team I won't take less than that and the teams hording their bonus pool money goes after a different high school kid.
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
279393 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 5:58 pm to
quote:

No doubt someone can get him $1m to $1.5m saving on the bonus pool.



3 players out of the 299 picks(.003%) in Rds 11-20 last year received a signing bonus over $1.0mil


so it could happen, but saying "no doubt" is just a bit forceful
Posted by TigersJump
In a land far far away
Member since Feb 2018
2191 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 5:58 pm to
Well he did just make it past the 10th round and into day three…….
Posted by HighRoller
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2011
4298 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 6:47 pm to
quote:

No doubt someone can get him $1m to $1.5m


I’m sure he’s already been offered at least that. His number must be pretty high. Time to see if he lowers it
Posted by SoloTiger
Member since Aug 2016
9632 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 7:57 pm to
It's getting interesting now for sure. Still not out of the woods yet though.
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