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re: DeBoer will be the guy

Posted on 1/11/24 at 12:46 pm to
Posted by StarSaint
lafayette
Member since Nov 2006
7490 posts
Posted on 1/11/24 at 12:46 pm to
Seems like an odd fit. But..okay...
Posted by Boodis Man
Member since Sep 2020
4602 posts
Posted on 1/11/24 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

You’d think he’d wait to see if Harbaugh bolts. Seems a better fit in Ann Arbor


best fit for him would be seahawks
Posted by St Augustine
The Pauper of the Surf
Member since Mar 2006
64320 posts
Posted on 1/11/24 at 12:48 pm to
Does DeBoer have the personality to coach bama. Dude seems pretty mellow.
Posted by lsufball19
Franklin, TN
Member since Sep 2008
64895 posts
Posted on 1/11/24 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

He's had more success at Washington than Sark did when he was there.

How much success does he have without a 5th year senior transfer who was also able to play a 6th year because of COVID? Their defense was dreadful.

His recruiting class this year is ranked #37. Last year it was #26. It was in the 90s his first year but I won't hold that against him.

The years before he got there it was #30, #16, #15, #16, #22, #29, #26. So, he's actually been worse than his predecessors on that end.

Add to that, if you've watched Washington play this season, his game management leaves a lot to be desired, and they found themselves in dog fights with several program that had no business being in competitive games with him. Having an elite QB transfer covered up a lot of his warts.

And he flat out has so little experience coaching period that it seems like way too risky a hire for Alabama to make to take over for Saban.
This post was edited on 1/11/24 at 12:52 pm
Posted by abellsujr
New England
Member since Apr 2014
35291 posts
Posted on 1/11/24 at 12:54 pm to
Sounds like you should want Bama to have him
Posted by Bjorn Cyborg
Member since Sep 2016
26861 posts
Posted on 1/11/24 at 12:56 pm to
quote:

And he flat out has so little experience coaching period


You lost me here.
Posted by lsufball19
Franklin, TN
Member since Sep 2008
64895 posts
Posted on 1/11/24 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

You lost me here.

excuse me, let me clarify...at the D1 level. he has prior experience in high school and NAIA, but he's only been in D1 football since 2010
Posted by Bjorn Cyborg
Member since Sep 2016
26861 posts
Posted on 1/11/24 at 1:01 pm to
Don't get me wrong, I hope Alabama hires Deboer and he's a complete failure, but the dude is a flat out stud of a coach. He's won at every level from NAIA, to G5 to P5. The idea that he can't coach or recruit or is inexperienced is moronic.

He's probably about to interview for the Seahawks job.
Posted by lsufball19
Franklin, TN
Member since Sep 2008
64895 posts
Posted on 1/11/24 at 1:11 pm to
quote:

The idea that he can't coach or recruit or is inexperienced is moronic.

How is the idea he can't recruit moronic? No one said he can't coach, just that he has very little experience at this level, which is a fact. He's not interviewing to take over a program like Washington this time around. This is Alabama. The bar is a bit higher or should be.
Posted by Bjorn Cyborg
Member since Sep 2016
26861 posts
Posted on 1/11/24 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

just that he has very little experience at this level,


He has vastly more experience than Lanning, who was probably the top candidate. Plus has beaten him 3 times in a row.

And recruiting rankings are a means to an end. They are not the end. The only thing that matters is on-field performance.

You don't win awards for recruiting rankings. He's obviously recruited, and developed, well enough for success on the field.

And you're complaining that he's not a good recruiter, while also saying his success should be downplayed because he had a great QB - that he recruited and developed (at Indiana, where he was OC, and then at Washington when he transferred)

You can't have it both ways.
This post was edited on 1/11/24 at 1:17 pm
Posted by lsufball19
Franklin, TN
Member since Sep 2008
64895 posts
Posted on 1/11/24 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

You can't have it both ways.

Can't have what both ways? So he recruited a 3 star guy that was dropped by Tennessee after committing and that makes him a good recruiter because he turned out to be good?
quote:

You don't win awards for recruiting rankings. He's obviously recruited, and developed, well enough for success on the field.

If you think he can fail to recruit well in the SEC and sustain success at the level Alabama will expect, you are certainly entitled to that opinion.

It's a completely different world when you are coaching a program like that and in a conference like this, but you already knew that. You cannot consistently win in this conference without elite recruiting.
quote:

He has vastly more experience than Lanning, who was probably the top candidate.

And I thought Lanning was a reach too. The only thing he had going for him was experience in this conference at both Alabama and Georgia. Without that, I don't think he even gets a phone call from Alabama
This post was edited on 1/11/24 at 1:25 pm
Posted by LSUintheNW
At your mom’s house
Member since Aug 2009
35752 posts
Posted on 1/11/24 at 1:29 pm to
quote:

Why would you think DeBoer can't recruit?


Lanning has taken the top players out of WA since he’s been there and that won’t stop.

This doesn’t mean that he can’t recruit but this isn’t his first year at Udub and not much has changed for WA in terms of recruiting. Lanning went from top ten to top 5 in his two years.

Yeah yeah, WA has beaten Oregon 3 times but that run is over. Lanning is building something that will be sustainable over time so Husky fans should savor that 3-0 run.


Posted by Bjorn Cyborg
Member since Sep 2016
26861 posts
Posted on 1/11/24 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

If you think he can fail to recruit well in the SEC and sustain success at the level Alabama will expect, you are certainly entitled to that opinion.


I never said that. The point is that he is recruiting well enough to dominate the conference he is in now. Why would you assume he wouldn't raise that level to meet whatever challenge comes next?

Do you think Brian Kelly recruited the same level at Grand Valley State, Central Michigan, Cincinnati, Notre Dame and now LSU?

Good coaches adapt. There is zero reason to think that DeBoer could not do the same. It's not like he wouldn't have an entire staff, just like Saban does now.
Posted by PowerTool
The dark side of the road
Member since Dec 2009
21197 posts
Posted on 1/11/24 at 1:36 pm to
quote:

i mean the guy wins, but has no ties to the south and doesn't seem like much of a recruiter



Would you ever consider a coach from Michigan State? Or Utah?
Posted by Bjorn Cyborg
Member since Sep 2016
26861 posts
Posted on 1/11/24 at 1:36 pm to
quote:

Lanning has taken the top players out of WA since he’s been there and that won’t stop.


quote:

Lanning went from top ten to top 5 in his two years.



quote:

but that run is over


LOL

Lanning is 0-3 against DeBoer. So, congrats I guess.

Are we at the point where we are overlooking on-field success for mythical recruiting titles?
This post was edited on 1/11/24 at 1:38 pm
Posted by LSUintheNW
At your mom’s house
Member since Aug 2009
35752 posts
Posted on 1/11/24 at 1:39 pm to
I’m sorry the point went over your head.
Posted by lsufball19
Franklin, TN
Member since Sep 2008
64895 posts
Posted on 1/11/24 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

Why would you assume he wouldn't raise that level to meet whatever challenge comes next?

Because he hasn't raised his recruiting from where Washington was prior. People said the same shite about Mike Leach and he never did at State in the recruiting world. Why would you assume his recruiting will get better?
quote:

Do you think Brian Kelly recruited the same level at Grand Valley State, Central Michigan, Cincinnati, Notre Dame and now LSU?

I compared what DeBoer's programs looked like recruiting wise before he got there and compared them to what he did once he got there. His actually got worse. Did Kelly's get worse from where Cincinati/Notre Dame were prior to where they were once he was there?

Let me help you

Cincinnati:
2002 99
2003 92
2004 80
2005 94

enter Brian Kelly
2007 89
2008 67
2009 60

So it looks like Cincinnati went from towards the bottom of D1 football to the middle in short order while Kelly was there

quote:

There is zero reason to think that DeBoer could not do the same. It's not like he wouldn't have an entire staff, just like Saban does now.


Seems like you're assuming just like I am but trying to pretend you're not and without any evidence to support your conclusion except "why wouldn't he." At least I'm looking at actual data to support my opinion.
This post was edited on 1/11/24 at 1:44 pm
Posted by Bjorn Cyborg
Member since Sep 2016
26861 posts
Posted on 1/11/24 at 1:44 pm to
quote:

I’m sorry the point went over your head.


It didn't. Lanning inherited a better roster than DeBoer did. So why couldn't he beat him in the past with better players, but he will beat him in the future with better players?

I certainly don't think UW will go undefeated against Oregon forever. But there is no reason also to think "the run is over" and that the series will get lopsided.

I'm a big believer in recruiting rankings. I've been following college football and basketball recruiting for nearly 40 years. It matters.

But it's a means to an end. It's not the end. The only thing that matters is success ON the field. You cannot chalk up future success due to successful recruiting rankings TODAY. It just doesn't work like that.

And recruiting ranking are less important today than they have ever been. With the portal things can change quickly.
Posted by momentoftruth87
Member since Oct 2013
71534 posts
Posted on 1/11/24 at 1:45 pm to
Besides a really good record at Washington, in a weak conf, his experience and prior stops is meh. He wouldn’t fit in at Bama imo.
Posted by Bjorn Cyborg
Member since Sep 2016
26861 posts
Posted on 1/11/24 at 1:46 pm to
quote:

Seems like you're assuming just like I am but trying to pretend you're not and without any evidence to support your conclusion except "why wouldn't he." At least I'm looking at actual data to support my opinion.


You are assuming that he will not. I am assuming that he could, not that he will. There is no way to predict the success of any coach.
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