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Favorite team:Georgia 
Location:Athens
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Number of Posts:3564
Registered on:1/3/2012
Online Status:Not Online

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re: Trump Supporters - Dawg in Beaumont
[quote]Silver said he wouldn't make it out of November. Silver said he wouldn't get the nomination. Silver is a shill.[/quote] Silver was very wrong about the GOP race, but he called 99/100 states correctly the last two elections and nailed his projections on the last two midterms. His...
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re: Newt: polls are wrong - Dawg in Beaumont
The polling averages at the end have been quite accurate lately. You'll notice that each time the person leading actually won by slightly more than they led by at the end. Polling isn't perfect, but it's quite good. 2012 Final RCP Avg: Obama +0.7 Final Result: Obama +3.9 2008 Final RCP ...
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re: David Axelrod BTFOs WaPo over claim Trump donated only $10k since 2008 - Dawg in Beaumont
[quote]The WaPo story is about Trump giving HIS OWN PERSONAL money, not the foundation's. May want to do some more research before you spike the Football from now on.[/quote] That doesn't fit the Trump as victim narrative. Trump's supporters are victims before they are conservatives, Trump su...
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re: National Polls mean nothing in a Presidential race - Dawg in Beaumont
[quote]National Polls mean nothing in a Presidential race by FairhopeTider 2012 Final RCP Avg: Obama +0.7 Final Result: Obama +3.9 2008 Final RCP Average: Obama +7.3 Final Result: Obama +7.6 2004 Final RCP Average: Bush +1.4 Final Result: Bush +2.4 I'd say the polls do give ...
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re: Is it weird that I'm not really worried about Florida? - Dawg in Beaumont
You said "Ami saying we'll win? Hell no!" That's basically guaranteeing a UGA victory. Accept the fact that we lost last year because of you....
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re: Morning Consult National Poll: Clinton +3 - Dawg in Beaumont
Nearly every poll is followed up with its most recent edition. You don't have a problem with that practice when it shows movement in Trump's direction. The Trump crowd has more in common with hysterical Obama fanboys in 08 than they'll ever realize....
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re: Morning Consult National Poll: Clinton +3 - Dawg in Beaumont
Obviously both major candidates are polling far lower than typical, and I think a decent amount of the Johnson supporters will end up voting Trump or Clinton, but it's wild how consistently Trump is polling in the mid to high 30s....
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re: CBS News FL/CO/WI/NC Polls: Clinton +3/+1/+5/+2 - Dawg in Beaumont
[quote] she's been ahead in NC, Toddy. That's the one Romney state that Trump could lose - the changing demographics and Baptist/Cruz republicans make this the only swing state where Trump will be on the defensive. Still, Trump will (if he behaves) run stronger than Romney in PA, OH, MI, ...
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re: PPP North Carolina Poll: TIED - Dawg in Beaumont
I still think Trump wins NC, but I see no way he can win Florida if NC is as close as it's looking. Obviously without Florida his chances are near zero. Long way still to go obviously, but I think the betting markets have it about right at 75% Hillary is next president....
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re: Libertarian Town Hall CNN 9 pm EDT - Dawg in Beaumont
[quote]Will they run a few lines and pass the doobie before the 350 lbs guy strips down to his thong again? [/quote] Why do the private decisions of adults bother you so much? Not everyone believes in daddy government as much as Trump supporters....
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re: Scott Adams: trump speech is best persuasion I have ever seen - Dawg in Beaumont
Will yall all admit that you've been lapping up pop psychology once Trump loses? This board was more fun when it looked less like a reading group discussion of "The Secret"...
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re: Tinfoil alert - do misleading polls pave the way for voter fraud? - Dawg in Beaumont
Fox News and Rasmussen are liberal progressive polls that are out to victimize you. It's not fair, you're a victim, the polls are mean with their numbers being all numbery and stuff. Never forget you're a victim....
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re: Scott Adams on Gun Control - Dawg in Beaumont
I'm glad he understands the foolishness of democrats on guns, but he's going to look so dumb in November for his "Trump in a landslide" prediction. Pop-psychology, even when written by smart people, is still bull shite....
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re: What's your favorite US city? - Dawg in Beaumont
Lots of different ways to take this, but here are some of my favorites: Savannah Chattanooga Athens Asheville Charleston Larger cities: San Diego Minneapolis New Orleans San Francisco ...
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re: Tinfoil alert - do misleading polls pave the way for voter fraud? - Dawg in Beaumont
[quote]I'm sure the liberal progressive controlled polls do account for some swing votes of voters who want to be on the winning team; it's a human psychology thing. Again this is a function of what amounts to a state run media with: ABC, NBC, CBS, MSNBC, CNN, most of the major newspapers, Hollywood...
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re: What are your current, REALISTIC odds for Prez? - Dawg in Beaumont
Gambling markets have it around 75/20 for Hillary and Trump respectively, with a host of others combining for the last 5% I think that's pretty accurate....
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re: Trump just launched lyingcrookedhillary.com - Dawg in Beaumont
I can't wait for the pop psychology lesson on how this clinches Trump winning in a landslide....
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re: Britain votes to leave the EU! MEGA! - Dawg in Beaumont
They'll vote to stay...
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re: Elizabeth Warren Tweet: Is this OK? - Dawg in Beaumont
It's bull shite. I said the same thing about Trump insinuating Obama was sympathetic to ISIS. Trump and Warren, for all their bickering, have a lot in common. They both dislike free trade, they are both full of shite....
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re: How odd was the 1992 Presidential Election? - Dawg in Beaumont
Yea I get that part of it. It still looks odd as hell to see the republican win Florida but lose Montana. Why were Bush's problems vulnerable to Perot in some places but didn't hurt him in other states that should be less GOP friendly?...
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