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Trump vs Obama on the economy

Posted on 9/7/20 at 11:54 am
Posted by S1C EM
Athens, GA
Member since Nov 2007
11585 posts
Posted on 9/7/20 at 11:54 am
I’ve heard much about how well our economy is currently doing under Trump, but I’ve also had numerous liberal friends point out that Obama actually had a lot of success in this area as well and that Trump’s metrics in terms of gains, whether GDP, DOW averages, etc, have yet to actually match those of Obama. Anyone care to give some context to these numbers? In looking, and just being objective, it would seem that most analysts agree with this liberal argument. Any better sources I can take a look at that offer a different view?

Trump vs Obama Economy in Charts

More charts.

Forbes opinion piece.

More Forbes.



Posted by HughsWorkPhone
Member since Sep 2017
1145 posts
Posted on 9/7/20 at 11:57 am to
Without looking at the info we were in the middle of a serious depression / collapse when Obama took over. The trillions in stimulus, and the timing, it’s hard for him not to have vast economic improvement

I’d imagine looking at the mean over the decades and the growth / jobs gained there would be better
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69301 posts
Posted on 9/7/20 at 12:00 pm to
This can be tough to compare. Obama inherited an economy with a lot of slack and a lot of room to grow.

Wages grew faster under trump until covid. Labor participation also grew faster.

The fairest way to compare is to see how everyday americans view the economy.

In jan and feb of 2020, americans rated the economy as the best since the dot com boom.

MUCH higher than during obama years.
Posted by oklahogjr
Gold Membership
Member since Jan 2010
36761 posts
Posted on 9/7/20 at 12:00 pm to
Obama received an economic shitshow.

His gains from the bottoms to eventual lift off in 2018 are gonna be a pretty hard change to best timeframe wise.

Obama actually did a good job here despite what most think.

Trump continued and in theory by deregulation sped it up a little bit there for a minute.

Coronavirus world though is a whole new world though so we will see how it goes from here.
Posted by Robin Masters
Birmingham
Member since Jul 2010
29773 posts
Posted on 9/7/20 at 12:02 pm to
He spent more than all other presidents combined. Somethning like $10TT
Posted by cbtullis
Atlanta
Member since Apr 2004
6257 posts
Posted on 9/7/20 at 12:13 pm to
I think more people were doing better in the trump economic output
For the record though I think Obama did just fine during his 8 years for the economy
The economy wasn’t his problem....his problem was what we are witnessing in the streets. This divide is on him
Posted by tigereye58
Member since Jan 2007
2668 posts
Posted on 9/7/20 at 12:22 pm to
That first article is pathetic. Everything Trump is doing they give Obama the credit for. If it’s really good they highlight that it’s flattened lately “due to the trade war”. Trumps trade policies are 100% the reason wages have grown and our economy has grown. Obama inherited an economy trending down due in large part to the Dodd Frank legislation that Bush supported. It tanked the housing market. Anyone that can’t see what Trump has done economically to open doors for manufacturing and middle class jobs is just blind. These are the reasons the economy is growing and why Trump will win in a landslide. All of those middle class voters used to be 100% Dem voters. Now they’re more MAGA than anyone. That’s all he needs to win.
Posted by Athis
Member since Aug 2016
11619 posts
Posted on 9/7/20 at 12:24 pm to
Posted by oklahogjr
Gold Membership
Member since Jan 2010
36761 posts
Posted on 9/7/20 at 12:25 pm to
quote:

problem....his problem was what we are witnessing in the streets. This divide is on him

It definitely happened during his campaign. I never saw such hatred from people for a candidate before I also wasn't really as knowledgeable about politics at the time so I just kinda wrote it off.
Posted by frogtown
Member since Aug 2017
5017 posts
Posted on 9/7/20 at 12:27 pm to
What the Fed did during Obama's eight years in office was unprecedented. They kept their foot on the gas with the discount rate around zero and then three rounds of quantitative easing. Without that, Obama's average GDP of 1.8% per year would have been a lot worse IMO.

I thought it was telling as soon as Trump got in office the Fed started raising rates. In the face of the Fed raising rates during his first couple of years, I thought the Trump economy performed well without all the advantages Obama received.

fed funds rate chart

Now because of Covid, the Fed is back to supplying a lot of stimulus with low rates and QE.
This post was edited on 9/7/20 at 12:30 pm
Posted by oklahogjr
Gold Membership
Member since Jan 2010
36761 posts
Posted on 9/7/20 at 12:29 pm to
quote:

Everything Trump is doing they give Obama the credit for.


quote:

Obama inherited an economy trending down due in large part to the Dodd Frank legislation that Bush supported. It tanked the housing market.


quote:

Anyone that can’t see what Trump has done economically to open doors for manufacturing and middle class jobs is just blind.


Why did you skip all the stuff Obama did, to give trump a much stronger base to start off from? I feel like you're just skipping over all the groundwork to talk about how great trump is without realizing how Obama contributed to this latest economic run that started underneath Obama.
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
24927 posts
Posted on 9/7/20 at 12:40 pm to
To me the Obama economic recovery was built on okay at the time but ultimately unsustainable quantitative easing, years of basically zero fed interest rate, and govt spending/stimulus. These things catch up to you if you don’t change the underlying fundamentals to sustain growth when it’s time to raise interest rates and stop printing money. This is where Obama came up short and Trumps has made needed corrections.

Whereas Trump uses some of those tools as well, his economic growth is also based on long term sustainable things like deregulation, a business growth friendly tax code, and more America first trade policies. These are the kinds of things that let the American economic engine set a pace for growth for the long term.
Posted by frogtown
Member since Aug 2017
5017 posts
Posted on 9/7/20 at 12:47 pm to
Another point. If Obama and the Dems had "unchecked power" what would they do? How would they "make over" or "change" this country?

No doubt they would move us far to the left with the central planners in control of everything. In other words, socialism. Socialism which has an overall poor track record except when touted in the faculty lounge or the university classroom.

Free market capitalism with rule of law and personal property rights, on the other hand, works. This is proven to provide the most for the most people.

So your charts of the economy with Obama vs Trump, and your Forbes articles, etc really don't matter to most. The charts you should be showing is free market economies versus socialist economies and who "wins" there.
This post was edited on 9/7/20 at 12:57 pm
Posted by Walnut
College Station, TX
Member since Nov 2014
3566 posts
Posted on 9/7/20 at 12:48 pm to
It would be better to compare apples to apples and look at 2012 - 2019 for your comparisons

The first few years of Obama’s tenure and the last year for Trump had the economic recession and pandemic to deal with respectively, and each had massive consequences for the economy that are outside of the president’s control.
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
101418 posts
Posted on 9/7/20 at 12:49 pm to
quote:


It definitely happened during his campaign. I never saw such hatred from people for a candidate before I also wasn't really as knowledgeable about politics at the time so I just kinda wrote it off.



So, you had no historical perspective whatsoever for your conclusion.
Posted by oklahogjr
Gold Membership
Member since Jan 2010
36761 posts
Posted on 9/7/20 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

, you had no historical perspective whatsoever for your conclusion.

Yeah, being young and naive is nice sometimes you know
Posted by michael corleone
baton rouge
Member since Jun 2005
5809 posts
Posted on 9/7/20 at 12:52 pm to
From 2004—2016 inflation outpaced wages across the board. Despite this, the media constantly said that the economy improved under Obama. It did in the sense that the market recovered from the 2008 collapse, but neither wages, or employment increased relative to the increase in the cost of goods. From 2016 —2020, wages, employment, and increased greater than the cost of goods. This is the true sign of a growing and robust economy.
Posted by S1C EM
Athens, GA
Member since Nov 2007
11585 posts
Posted on 9/7/20 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

Without looking at the info we were in the middle of a serious depression / collapse when Obama took over. The trillions in stimulus, and the timing, it’s hard for him not to have vast economic improvement

I’d imagine looking at the mean over the decades and the growth / jobs gained there would be better


I agree with all of this. The issue is trying to find unbiased sources to back it up. Liberals can point to all sorts of mainstream sources in their arguments and the rest of us are left with blurbs from random conservatives on Twitter and (well-reasoned) message board opinions. Ducking hate the situation with our media.
Posted by dbat
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2006
18 posts
Posted on 9/7/20 at 12:59 pm to
Frogtown is absolutely correct.

quote:

What the Fed did during Obama's eight years in office was unprecedented. They kept their foot on the gas with the discount rate around zero and then three rounds of quantitative easing. Without that, Obama's average GDP of 1.8% per year would have been a lot worse IMO.

I thought it was telling as soon as Trump got in office the Fed started raising rates. In the face of the Fed raising rates during his first couple of years, I thought the Trump economy performed well without all the advantages Obama received.

fed funds rate chart

Now because of Covid, the Fed is back to supplying a lot of stimulus with low rates and QE.
Posted by bluedragon
Birmingham
Member since May 2020
6497 posts
Posted on 9/7/20 at 1:01 pm to
Myth one ....Obama saved the world economy.

Myth two ... The Us was headed toward a depression. BS

By the time Obama takes his shoes off in the White House, the results of the Real Estate Bubble were subsiding. There was no coming depression.

Obama talked his way into stimulus money to be used to "stop the blood flow" Really? Giving money to Union Bosses stopped the blood flow? If you have an economics professor spewing that crap ...it's time to change classes.

What in Obama's past leads anyone to believe that he could save the world economically? He simply does not have nor ever did have the talent or experience.

Watching his Economic Advisors over the years has been laughable at best. The best they can claim is they somehow stopped the bleed. The economy was healing itself. The real bleed came by policy. However, his Economic Staff is too gutless to admit they were handcuffed by the Administration.

Manufacturing was running to other shores. Small businesses were closing faster than they could open. Why?

Taxes and Regulation. When you do a careful analysis of the reality of Corporations having the highest tax base in the Western World ...you can't compete. When by every measure of trade publications have an environment in which over regulating cost Manufacturing and Production over 1.5 trillion a year in costs ...you cannot be competitive in the world. You move offshore, produce at a low manpower rate, then have enough savings to ship halfway around the world.

There was no magic wand. It was experience and business acumen that drastically changed the direction and boosted all aspects of production in the country. Trump simply applied the reduction in taxes and the reduction of regulations at a rate of "For every regulation created, we will cut three."

Remember, it came from the horse's arse's mouth ..."Get used to this economy the jobs are not coming back." If Obama's Economic Advisor's had been truthful they would have stood on the table tops and shouted to the heavens
They are praying for a Biden Presidency so they can get a DC job again.

We used the most practical Economic Indicator possible. We dealt with every Electric Utility Purchasing Department in North America. The story was always the same ..."No predictable Growth." Simply put ... If they aren't adding meters, there is no construction. If there is no construction, there are no jobs on the ground in the future. As a business, we knew at least six months before there was an economic uptick or downturn. Building permits means business for utility infrastructure.
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