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Started By
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Need answers from all you Georgia baws
Posted on 10/13/20 at 10:26 pm
Posted on 10/13/20 at 10:26 pm
With that Kemp Abrams race being so close it has me worried about that state after Trump is done with his second term. Going forward do y’all see it becoming purple because Atlanta is growing that fast or was that governor race just a weird one?
16
Posted on 10/13/20 at 10:27 pm to olemc999
The Gap-Toothed Mammy Expiment was a bizarre outlier.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 10:28 pm to VoxDawg
quote:
bizarre outlier
What made it that way?
Posted on 10/13/20 at 10:28 pm to olemc999
Douche bags from Hollywood going door to door
Posted on 10/13/20 at 10:29 pm to Jrv2damac
quote:
Douche bags from Hollywood going door to door
This really had that much effect?
Posted on 10/13/20 at 10:31 pm to olemc999
I'm not sure
I just wanted to bitch about it
I just wanted to bitch about it
Posted on 10/13/20 at 10:34 pm to olemc999
This post was edited on 1/14/21 at 9:20 am
Posted on 10/13/20 at 10:34 pm to Jrv2damac
I’d be bitching too if ole gap tooth came that close to being my governor 
Posted on 10/13/20 at 10:36 pm to Drank
quote:
It’s going to be razor thin this time either way.
I’ll tell you what was weird as shite to me last election. When Florida was called before Georgia was. Can’t say I’ve ever seen that before and that raised my eyebrows and me go WTF.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 10:38 pm to olemc999
I recently spent a week in Atlanta and they are die hard leftist progs. Even they said outside of Atlanta, it’s all red.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 10:42 pm to olemc999
will be close but not quite as close as the gov race. 538 nailed the gov race in 2018 and they have trump/biden at 55/45
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:00 pm to Drank
quote:
It’s going to be razor thin this time either way.
No...It's not.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:03 pm to olemc999
Kemp wasn’t exactly the strongest candidate, and some of his hokey shotgun campaign ads left a few people less than enthusiastic.
And despite a full-fledged Hollywood campaign effort, Stacy still lost by over 50,000 votes. Far closer than it should be, but not exactly the five or 600 votes that Bush won Florida with in 2000.
And despite a full-fledged Hollywood campaign effort, Stacy still lost by over 50,000 votes. Far closer than it should be, but not exactly the five or 600 votes that Bush won Florida with in 2000.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:03 pm to olemc999
Live in GA. Not sure what you mean by a baw.
I think GA will continue to be close in the short term, but it will probably continue to elect Republicans in statewide contests. The Abrams vs. Kemp contest was closer because the Republican primary was very polarizing with a lot of mud-slinging between Casey Cagle and Brian Kemp. Cagle had a lot of establishment support and I think at least some of his supporters just did not vote for Kemp.
Georgia will be a majority minority state by 2033 ( source). So if Republicans can't attract non white voters, it will eventually become harder and harder for them to win statewide races.
I think generally speaking, Republicans in Georgia have done a good job of nominating non-extremists to statewide contests. Politicians like Sonny Purdue, Nathan Deal were not extreme right wing politicians and were well liked by independents. It is hard to tell how the Georgia Republican politics will look like in terms of "Trumpiness" in a post-Trump world, be it 2020 or 2024. A lot will depend on that.
Also remember, Trump won in 2016 by only 5 points. So it is not like Trump is super popular. This time I expect him to win GA by about 2.5-3.25% points.
I think GA will continue to be close in the short term, but it will probably continue to elect Republicans in statewide contests. The Abrams vs. Kemp contest was closer because the Republican primary was very polarizing with a lot of mud-slinging between Casey Cagle and Brian Kemp. Cagle had a lot of establishment support and I think at least some of his supporters just did not vote for Kemp.
Georgia will be a majority minority state by 2033 ( source). So if Republicans can't attract non white voters, it will eventually become harder and harder for them to win statewide races.
I think generally speaking, Republicans in Georgia have done a good job of nominating non-extremists to statewide contests. Politicians like Sonny Purdue, Nathan Deal were not extreme right wing politicians and were well liked by independents. It is hard to tell how the Georgia Republican politics will look like in terms of "Trumpiness" in a post-Trump world, be it 2020 or 2024. A lot will depend on that.
Also remember, Trump won in 2016 by only 5 points. So it is not like Trump is super popular. This time I expect him to win GA by about 2.5-3.25% points.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:10 pm to phutureisyic
quote:
I recently spent a week in Atlanta and they are die hard leftist progs. Even they said outside of Atlanta, it’s all red.
Chatham, Richmond and Clarke all went blue in governor's race.
I've never seen such a strong push for a candidate like Abrams, while I honestly can't remember much of what Kemp's campaign was about. So you had a hard push for the Dem candidate and a mediocre campaign for the Republican.
I think the Senate will be closer than people want it to be, but I think the GOP squeaks out both seats. I just hope Loeffler's seat doesn't fall to the Dems since it's in the special election.
Metro Atlanta's population may get to the point where it drives the rest of the state. I hope not, but things have been much closer in recent elections than I would have thought. It might be time to review the districts.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:30 pm to TerryDawg03
I lived in Atlanta for over ten years 2007-2017 and it became more and more progressive from the time I got there until we moved.
Most of it is Hollywood related and people from up north moving for work and bring their politics with them.
The other issues are young voters out of college. They all come out liberal because they either think it’s cool or they vote on emotion vs facts (not to mention their professors all being progressive).
I’d love to see some GOP candidate grow a set and work with the black communities more as I think they want to align more with republicans but need proof. That would help Atlanta stay purple while the rest of the state minus Athens and Savannah is staunch red.
Most of it is Hollywood related and people from up north moving for work and bring their politics with them.
The other issues are young voters out of college. They all come out liberal because they either think it’s cool or they vote on emotion vs facts (not to mention their professors all being progressive).
I’d love to see some GOP candidate grow a set and work with the black communities more as I think they want to align more with republicans but need proof. That would help Atlanta stay purple while the rest of the state minus Athens and Savannah is staunch red.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:31 pm to olemc999
Live in the outer suburbs and all I can say is DJT is definitely the favorite by an overwhelming amount. Granted, alot in my areas are white collar, or retired, but this is also systematic of many, many blue collar workers and farmers across Georgia.
Personal opinion....MAGA by 8%!
Personal opinion....MAGA by 8%!
Posted on 10/14/20 at 12:44 am to TigerMikeAtl
quote:
Personal opinion....MAGA by 8%!
Here’s hoping
Posted on 10/14/20 at 5:15 am to mtheob17
quote:
That would help Atlanta stay purple while the rest of the state minus Athens and Savannah is staunch red.
Unfortunately you have to add Augusta and Columbus to these two. Both are democrat run cesspools
Posted on 10/14/20 at 5:20 am to olemc999
quote:
With that Kemp Abrams race being so close it has me worried about that state after Trump is done with his second term. Going forward do y’all see it becoming purple because Atlanta is growing that fast or was that governor race just a weird one?
Kinda depends. I think anytime you trot out a black candidate, it excites that group to get out and vote. When that happens, it can get tight. I’m not convinced we won’t see the same problem with Trump now. There’s a LOT of blue crazies between Atlanta, Athens and Savannah.
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