Started By
Message
locked post

Melt watch: Kansas special election today.

Posted on 4/11/17 at 7:10 am
Posted by LSUTigersVCURams
Member since Jul 2014
21940 posts
Posted on 4/11/17 at 7:10 am
Kansas is having a special election today to fill Mike Pompeo's House seat. The Democrats have convinced themselves they are going to win. Should be hilarious tonight
Posted by ChineseBandit58
Pearland, TX
Member since Aug 2005
42596 posts
Posted on 4/11/17 at 7:14 am to
DEMs are dumping tons on money into that race. Running against Gov Brownback. Unless the DEM wins outright he won't have a chance in the runoff - but there are like 18 candidates, or so I heard this am on MJ.
Posted by LSUTigersVCURams
Member since Jul 2014
21940 posts
Posted on 4/11/17 at 7:17 am to
Are you sure you're not thinking about the Georgia 6th? I didn't think Kansas was a jungle election but I could be wrong.
Posted by Gusoline
Jacksonville, NC
Member since Dec 2013
7630 posts
Posted on 4/11/17 at 7:17 am to
Are there lots of polls showing a dem landslide? What does nate silver say?
This post was edited on 4/11/17 at 7:18 am
Posted by beaverfever
Little Rock
Member since Jan 2008
32683 posts
Posted on 4/11/17 at 7:18 am to
The Democrats think they are going to win fricking Kansas? Have these people actually been to Kansas?
Posted by Navytiger74
Member since Oct 2009
50458 posts
Posted on 4/11/17 at 7:18 am to
Did't Trump win that district by 28 points? Are the Dems just trying to get it close or do they really think they can win?
Posted by jamboybarry
Member since Feb 2011
32649 posts
Posted on 4/11/17 at 7:20 am to
quote:

Did't Trump win that district by 28 points? Are the Dems just trying to get it close


Yes and Yes
Posted by Quidam65
Q Continuum
Member since Jun 2010
19307 posts
Posted on 4/11/17 at 7:25 am to
What do they define as "close"?

If they lose by 27 points (instead of the 28 that Trump won by), will the MSM claim that the Dems are "making inroads"?
Posted by beaverfever
Little Rock
Member since Jan 2008
32683 posts
Posted on 4/11/17 at 7:38 am to
I don't think the Left fully realizes how much hostility the average flyover state American harbors towards progressivism.
Posted by LSUTigersVCURams
Member since Jul 2014
21940 posts
Posted on 4/11/17 at 8:14 am to
The true believers have gotten themselves worked up into a lather thinking everyone in the country hates Trump and Republicans as much as they do and every election between now and 2020 is a Dem lock. They are setting themselves up for disappointment bigly. It's going to be great.
Posted by Chili Davis
Wichita, KS
Member since Nov 2010
816 posts
Posted on 4/11/17 at 8:24 am to
I honestly think that the race is much closer than a lot of Republicans want to believe. Cruz was in town stumping for Estes yesterday. Do you think he would have come up here if this were a blowout? I am a Registered Republican and voted for Estes, but I cannot deny the momentum that Thompson seems to have at the moment.

Estes has not run a very solid campaign and it makes it worse that he seems to be attached to Sam Brownback.
Posted by chity
Chicago, Il
Member since Dec 2008
6081 posts
Posted on 4/11/17 at 8:32 am to
Democrats have convinced themselves that people cannot live a full life unless they are coddled and nurtured their entire life by a NE liberal.
Posted by Wally Sparks
Atlanta
Member since Feb 2013
29168 posts
Posted on 4/11/17 at 8:33 am to
quote:

Georgia 6th


We have another week of this shite.
Posted by montanagator
Member since Jun 2015
16957 posts
Posted on 4/11/17 at 10:41 am to
um..... this race wasn't on anyone's radar until the RCCC started panicing and dumping money into it.

GA 6th and the MT AL are elections that should be close (the MT race looks to have the Dem with a decent lead since the R, bought the nomination after already being labeled as a carpet bagger out to privatize and otherwise restrict access to public lands in his failed attempt to win the Governor's Mansion).
This post was edited on 4/11/17 at 10:45 am
Posted by 5thTiger
Member since Nov 2014
7996 posts
Posted on 4/11/17 at 11:02 am to
quote:

Are you sure you're not thinking about the Georgia 6th? I didn't think Kansas was a jungle election but I could be wrong


I think so. the kansas race hasn't seen 1mil for either side. But polls do show the race as a dead heat, but they are all super small sample size. Thompson (D) apparently has run a good campaign against Brownback. Good strategy for anyone with a brain. Apparently Estes (R) has attempted to just coast and hasn't distanced himself from Brownback.

Honestly, I think this seat is a better shot for the Dems than Georgia. Now, we will see if the last minute million for the R makes a big difference

It is funny because it is the capitol for the Kochs.
This post was edited on 4/11/17 at 11:08 am
Posted by LSUTigersVCURams
Member since Jul 2014
21940 posts
Posted on 4/11/17 at 11:17 am to
I think Thompson is running a John Bel Edwards style campaign. Has an ad where he's shooting an AR and stuff like that. Could be a winning strategy for the Democrats in the heartland. We'll see.
Posted by Hawkeye95
Member since Dec 2013
20293 posts
Posted on 4/11/17 at 11:24 am to
quote:

Kansas is having a special election today to fill Mike Pompeo's House seat. The Democrats have convinced themselves they are going to win. Should be hilarious tonight


Well its going to be closer than pompeo's election last fall, pompeo won by 30 pts.

while all elections are about turnout, special elections are odd in that turnout is often 1/3 to 1/4 of regular turntout. enthusiasm wins. Its probably a really bad sign for trump if the democrat is within 5-10pts in Kansas.
Posted by skinny domino
sebr
Member since Feb 2007
14339 posts
Posted on 4/11/17 at 11:58 am to
quote:

The Democrats have convinced themselves they are going to win. Should be hilarious tonight
link?
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
146790 posts
Posted on 4/11/17 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

Chad Pergram? Verified account @ChadPergram 4h4 hours ago
Pompeo's fmr seat favors R's by 15 pts. But special elex are always "special" w/low turnout. Sometimes outcomes mean a lot. Sometimes not
3 replies 24 retweets 44 likes
Reply 3 Retweet 24
Like 44

Chad Pergram ?Verified account @ChadPergram 4h4 hours ago
Dems will attempt to portray even a close loss as a "win" in KS special elex. Trump carried district by 27 pts. Romney by 26 pts.
0 replies 3 retweets 7 likes
Reply Retweet 3
Like 7

Chad Pergram ?Verified account @ChadPergram 5h5 hours ago
Special elex in KS today to fill seat of DCIA Pompeo. Should be GOP seat. But Dem Jim Thompson looking to upset GOPer Ron Estes
2 replies 7 retweets 2 likes
Reply 2 Retweet 7
Like 2

Chad Pergram ?Verified account @ChadPergram 6h6 hours ago
Trump recorded robo calls as GOP tries to hold onto vacant KS Hse seat once held by DCIA Mike Pompeo
1 reply 3 retweets 2 likes
Reply 1 Retweet 3
Like 2

Chad Pergram ?Verified account @ChadPergram 6h6 hours ago
Dems looking to see if they can claim KS seat in special elex & make that a bellwether of dissatisfaction w/GOp & Trump
Posted by MizzouBS
Missouri
Member since Dec 2014
5839 posts
Posted on 4/11/17 at 12:55 pm to
Making it close would be a win for the Dems. If it is around 10 points or less win for the GOP is a bad sign.

With Trump and Cruz campaigning in a extremely red district is a bad sign. Dems have a history of not having good turnout in midterms and special elections.
This post was edited on 4/11/17 at 12:57 pm
first pageprev pagePage 1 of 4Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitterInstagram