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Interesting look at what Rasmussen considers SWING states. Polling begins next week

Posted on 8/21/20 at 9:19 am
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53472 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 9:19 am
Posted by VoxDawg
Glory, Glory
Member since Sep 2012
59962 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 9:20 am to
Georgia is a swing state the same way Stacey Abrams is a runway model.
Posted by AmishSamurai
Member since Feb 2020
2663 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 9:21 am to
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
21250 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 9:26 am to
Why not, TX and FL are key for the Rs. CA and NY are key for the Ds

TX and FL will not be in doubt, so think of it as a baseline for the other actual battleground states.
Posted by LafTiger
Member since Dec 2008
1251 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 9:26 am to
quote:

Georgia is a swing state the same way Stacey Abrams is a runway model.


and TX is a swing state the way Beto is actually Hispanic.
Posted by saints5021
Louisiana
Member since Jul 2010
17480 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 9:30 am to
If you take Texas, Iowa, Georgia and Colorado out, the Map is correct. I would almost argue at this point that Nevada is firm Democrat, while Ohio is firm Republican.
Posted by BobBoucher
Member since Jan 2008
16740 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 9:33 am to
quote:

TX and FL will not be in doubt,


Florida was decided by like 150k votes in 2016. Way too close to say it’s in the bag.

That’s just a trunk full of lost ballots you know will mysteriously appear after polls close.

Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
16397 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 9:37 am to
Don't have the link to the article this came from, but your post does not support your title.

The content of the graph clearly states they are targeting at least 14 key Senate races. This has nothing to do with whether or not these are SWING states, just that they are looking at Senate races that happen to be in these 14 states.
Posted by GatorReb
Dallas GA
Member since Feb 2009
9280 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 9:38 am to
Doesn’t bode well for Biden that most of the Midwest is seen as a “swing state”
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
95633 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 9:39 am to
One of these things is not like the others
One of these things just doesn’t belong
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
95633 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 9:40 am to
What Texas race is a swing race?

If you tell me Cornyn is in danger of losing to a Dem I will laugh my balls off.
Posted by Magician2
Member since Oct 2015
14553 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 9:42 am to
I firmly believe CO, NV, ME are going blue again.

Trump was actually very close in Nevada in 2016 but I think it's blue.

OH, IA, TX, GA, NC are red.

The only swing states are: FL, AZ, MI, MN, PA, WI

Sucks they didn't put NH because trump only lost it by 2k votes in 2016.
Posted by baseballcatch77
Dallas
Member since Oct 2013
748 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 9:56 am to
quote:

If you take Texas, Iowa, Georgia and Colorado out, the Map is correct. I would almost argue at this point that Nevada is firm Democrat, while Ohio is firm Republican.


Agree with this. I would put Florida as a solid R without any vote harvesting as well.
Posted by AUFANATL
Member since Dec 2007
3889 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 9:57 am to
quote:

The content of the graph clearly states they are targeting at least 14 key Senate races


That's what I thought, but there is no Senate race in Wisconsin, which they have highlighted as a swing state.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
90625 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:25 am to
I think Trump flips MN due to the riots, and also gets NV, ME, and NH. Nevada due to increased Hispanic support.

Colorado and Virginia are blue states. I think Trump loses Michigan this time though but holds WI and PA
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
95633 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:27 am to
I think NV will be out of reach due to mail-in balloting.

You know the Culinary Union and other big Dem arms out there will be pushing hard for their members to vote Biden.
Posted by ibldprplgld
Member since Feb 2008
25004 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:29 am to
Whoda thunk allll those blue rust belt states would be considered swing states.

Posted by Godfather1
What WAS St George, Louisiana
Member since Oct 2006
79692 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:31 am to
quote:

I think Trump loses Michigan


I disagree. Half-Whit is trying her best to hand DJT the state gift-wrapped.
Posted by PhDoogan
Member since Sep 2018
14947 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:35 am to
quote:

Georgia is a swing state the same way Stacey Abrams is a governor.


Posted by coonasswhodat
Gonzales, Louisiana
Member since Dec 2013
4112 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:38 am to
I think it bodes very well for Biden that five of the six midwest swing states were “trump” states in 2016. Biden stands to have more to gain than he has to lose.
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