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re: Georgia - Biden +1 over Trump, DeSantis +3 over Biden

Posted on 5/19/23 at 11:39 am to
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
116173 posts
Posted on 5/19/23 at 11:39 am to
damn arizona too? Interesting...
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
38239 posts
Posted on 5/19/23 at 11:39 am to
I’d make a thread but I’ll probably get another warning about spamming the board
This post was edited on 5/19/23 at 11:40 am
Posted by TigerAttorney
Member since Nov 2017
3818 posts
Posted on 5/19/23 at 11:46 am to
quote:

Just about every poll posted on this board has a 4-5% MOE. What's your point?

GA went 49.47% to 49.24% in 2020.

If it is a true toss up, polls showing a 3-4% gap are irrelevant when inside the MOE. As a pollster, I can cover my arse and flip the results by 2-4%.

General election state polls are irrelevant right now. Primary state polls show gaps of 15-20% that’s relevant.

Hypo: Desantis 49 Biden 45. Biden 47 Trump 45. MOE 4.5

= an irrelevant survey of 500 ppl that means it’s a toss up.

When a candidate is up 15-20%. That’s pretty indicative they are going to win. Not within MOE
This post was edited on 5/19/23 at 11:48 am
Posted by RobbBobb
Matt Flynn, BCS MVP
Member since Feb 2007
27955 posts
Posted on 5/19/23 at 2:53 pm to
And POS polling strikes again, in the AZ poll

Its obvious the campaign tag line is now "DeSantis can win in swing states". So they buy and publish polls that are within the MOE. So if they are proven wrong on election day, they can claim innocence

lulz
Posted by jlnoles79
Member since Jan 2014
12884 posts
Posted on 5/19/23 at 3:05 pm to
quote:

And POS polling strikes again, in the AZ poll

Its obvious the campaign tag line is now "DeSantis can win in swing states". So they buy and publish polls that are within the MOE. So if they are proven wrong on election day, they can claim innocence

lulz



Crazy to think Trump would trail in a state he lost in 2020 and his candidates all lost in 2022
Posted by frogtown
Member since Aug 2017
5049 posts
Posted on 5/20/23 at 6:01 pm to
quote:

Georgia - Biden +1 over Trump, DeSantis +3 over Biden


@threadbumperjbdawgs03
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