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re: AGW Deniers - Seems Kind of Hopeless

Posted on 5/20/14 at 12:20 am to
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57150 posts
Posted on 5/20/14 at 12:20 am to
quote:

Ohh, I get it, you're one of those dudes that tries to trot out impressive sounding phases and terms as if to boost your authoritative presence and intimidate people into not pushing you.
Not at all. I've repeatedly asked for your science-based argument. Remember this?

quote:

Feel free to show us your regression analysis isolating CO2 leading you to that conclusion. Pick any IPCC model of your own choice. I'd love to see it.



quote:

Are you the guy that I fricked up so bad on the "appeal to authority" argument???
It's cute you believe that


quote:

This does not hold up to scrutiny because a system of equations involving the climate would involve a large body of variables which are dependent upon each others state. An invalid X input might invalidate the result of this particular model, but does not mean that C doesn't belong in the system or that its value was even incorrect.
This post was edited on 5/20/14 at 12:24 am
Posted by olgoi khorkhoi
priapism survivor
Member since May 2011
14846 posts
Posted on 5/20/14 at 1:15 am to
quote:

So I was thinking this weekend that the chances for someone who currently denies the existence of AGW being convinced that they are wrong is pretty hopeless. I say this because what could possibly change their mind given this: NASA - Consensus Think about it seriously for a moment.....if 97% of climate scientists agree that humans are, in fact, at least partially responsible for climate change......what could possibly change their mind? 99% of scientists? 100%? I think thats doubtful. It seems that what we have is a situation where literally no scientific evidence can be presented to them which can affect change on their opinion. WTF



It's pretty simple for me. Alarmists have to do 3 things:

Be scientists. This means being objective and skeptical. Science is a method. A process that welcoms skepticism. Lying, conspiring and blackballing scientists for findings that are harmful to the "cause" (can't have causes in science). Right now climate science isn't very sciency. The phrase "the debate is settled" should never be uttered.

Stop being wrong. When all the models predict calamity and they are all wrong (on the side of alarmism, coincindentally) repeatedly... they lose credibility. To make it worse, each time they are wrong they get more certain that they are right. Failure humbles most people outside of climate science.

Stop moving the goal post. First it was global cooling that was going to lead to famine and pestilence, then global warming, then climate change (as opposed to climate contance?), now climate disruption or climate chaos. In short, everything is proof of global warming. If it's warm, cold, rainy, dry, stormy or sunny it's all because of global warming. Tsunamis, earthquakes, floods, hurricanes, tornadoes, thick Arctic ice, thin Artic ice, wars, terrorism, poverty, allergies...it's all at least as old as mankind, but now it's because of global warming. It is really a cause for pseudo-intellectual retards.

But you seem to be enjoying yourself, so carry on.
Posted by Volvagia
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2006
51899 posts
Posted on 5/20/14 at 1:23 am to
quote:

Think about it seriously for a moment.....if 97% of climate scientists agree that humans are, in fact, at least partially responsible for climate change......what could possibly change their mind? 99% of scientists? 100%? I think thats doubtful.


I'd think a lot of people could agree that humans effect climate.

It's not really debatable.


There is a big arse difference between having a minute effect on it though and humans being a driving force of it, and that we need to consider radical changes to avert disaster.

For someone who wishes to come across as an enlightened individual, you really should learn more about the significance of semantics. Especially regarding their role in polls, and why it means that literally every poll is suspect.
Posted by olgoi khorkhoi
priapism survivor
Member since May 2011
14846 posts
Posted on 5/20/14 at 1:38 am to
You can keep parroting the 97% lie, but It's been disproven here multiple times here by me and others.

Would you like to read some quotes from the "deniers" that are part of the 97% and are pissed that their research is being lied about?
Posted by Mid Iowa Tiger
Undisclosed Secure Location
Member since Feb 2008
18613 posts
Posted on 5/20/14 at 6:20 am to
quote:

I'd say at the temperature that prompted hundreds of millions of people to settle along the Earth's sea coasts.



Do you realize it was not a temperature they settled there for but the commerce that happens in ports and on the seas? That same life can be had further inland.

Why shouldn't the temp be the one that made the woolly mammoths so prevalent or the dinosaurs? Both much more extreme than what we are talking about now. Both swings happened before evil man invented a climate machine to control things.

Posted by The Calvin
Member since Jun 2013
5240 posts
Posted on 5/20/14 at 7:54 am to
I trust southerners more than I do scientists for my information



Posted by todospm
Member since Sep 2013
526 posts
Posted on 5/20/14 at 7:59 am to
I find it odd that people discount the whole notion due to fears about a government-backed coalition of leftist climate scientists out to muddy the issue... but have literally zero problems with corporate-backed scientists who lie about every issue under the sun.

Why would you follow the word of think tanks and publications directly funded by the energy industry, but distrust scientists from the world's top institutes of higher education? Blows me away.


Remember, kids, asbestos isn't so bad and cigarettes are only sort of addictive.
This post was edited on 5/20/14 at 8:00 am
Posted by LSUnKaty
Katy, TX
Member since Dec 2008
4342 posts
Posted on 5/20/14 at 8:11 am to
quote:

The following assertion was made:

Assertion : Because climate models are inaccurate and include carbon as a force variable, we must therefore declare that carbon cannot be a valid force variable.
Link?
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
123854 posts
Posted on 5/20/14 at 8:35 am to
quote:

I find it odd that people discount the whole notion due to fears about a government-backed coalition
Do you find it odd that people discount the whole notion due to the fact the science is flawed?

Do you find it odder still that people accept the whole notion on basis of science, even though the science is flawed?
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57150 posts
Posted on 5/20/14 at 9:53 am to
quote:

I find it odd that people discount the whole notion due to fears about a government-backed coalition of leftist climate scientists out to muddy the issue...
You do? Maybe you believe that government funding somehow implies purity. As if government funding takes away any ability to lie, distort, or act in self interest. Let's test this..

The government wouldn't lie would they? LINK

Nah, surely not... LINK

Nope. LINK

Nah, totally trustworthy LINK

Purity! LINK

As the driven snow...

LINK /

quote:

Recently, I was the lead author on a paper demonstrating that about 40 years and many millions of dollars of US nutritional surveillance data were fatally flawed. In most research domains, such a finding might be monumental; yet in nutrition epidemiology—the study of the impact of diet on health, hereafter referred to simply as “nutrition”—these results are commonplace. In fact, there is a large body of evidence demonstrating that the systematic misreporting of energy and macronutrient intake renders the results and conclusions of the vast majority of federally funded nutrition studies invalid.


quote:

We may be witnessing the confluence of two inherent components of the human condition: incompetence and self-interest. .... And while the self-correcting nature of science necessitates failure, the vast majority of nutrition’s failures were engendered by a complete lack of familiarity with the scientific method.


quote:

The responsibility for this unfortunate state of affairs rests squarely on the leaders of nutrition research. Rather than training graduate students in the scientific method, and allowing their research to serve the needs of society, the field’s leaders choose to train their mentees to serve only their own professional needs—namely, to obtain grant funding and publish their research.


quote:

The apparent self-interest that is driving research in this field is not limited to raising students to merely follow the herd. The subjective data yielded by poorly formulated nutrition studies are also the perfect vehicle to perpetuate a never-ending cycle of ambiguous findings leading to ever-more federal funding. The National Institutes of Health spent an estimated $2.2 billion on nutrition and obesity research in the 2012 fiscal year, a significant proportion of which was spent on research that used the pseudoscientific methods described above. The fact that nutrition researchers have known for decades that these techniques are invalid implies that the field has been perpetrating fraud against the US taxpayers for more than 40 years—far greater than any fraud perpetrated in the private sector (e.g., the Enron and Madoff scandals).


We can argue the person all day. But reality is, the science isn't that good.

Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
35997 posts
Posted on 5/20/14 at 9:59 am to
Anyone who denies the climate doesn't change is wrong.

Anyone that denies man doesn't impact the environment is wrong.

Is man impacting the climate? I believe that can be argued, but let's say that man is.

Who is going to tell us what the climate would be without man? Who is going to tell us all what we need to do to impact a positive change? And how can anyone "make" everyone conform to the supreme climate commander's orders?

So what do we do?

We try and protect our environment and do reasonable things to limit our impact. Reasonable things do not include carbon tax credits, subsidizing ethanol, and stopping oil drilling while everyone is is drilling for oil.
Posted by Revelator
Member since Nov 2008
57871 posts
Posted on 5/20/14 at 10:04 am to
quote:

Anyone who denies the climate doesn't change is wrong.



Sure it changes. One day it's hot, another cold. One day it rains, another sunny. It's called weather.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
35997 posts
Posted on 5/20/14 at 10:06 am to
Weather is not the same as the climate.

The fact is the climate always changes, it never stays the same over time.

The problem is some people want to tell you that the climate changing is bad and we need to stop it when we can't.
Posted by sportjunkie69
Member since Nov 2012
2145 posts
Posted on 5/20/14 at 10:07 am to
quote:

I find it odd that people discount the whole notion due to fears about a government-backed coalition of leftist climate scientists out to muddy the issue... but have literally zero problems with corporate-backed scientists who lie about every issue under the sun.

Why would you follow the word of think tanks and publications directly funded by the energy industry, but distrust scientists from the world's top institutes of higher education? Blows me away.


Remember, kids, asbestos isn't so bad and cigarettes are only sort of addictive.


And when can we get back the awesome aerosol based hair sprays! Hair care has never been the same since they panicked over those chloroflorocarbons thingies scientists screamed about.

Just a bunch of nervous nellies with test tubes.
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