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Message
re: AGW Deniers - Seems Kind of Hopeless
Posted on 5/19/14 at 3:41 pm to AUbused
Posted on 5/19/14 at 3:41 pm to AUbused
quote:
Of 11000 climate papers on a variety of topics, 32% of those papers studied climate change. Of the 32% of the papers that studied climate change 97% of the conclusion endorsed global warming.
This is incorrect. You have trouble with facts.
Posted on 5/19/14 at 3:43 pm to AUbused
quote:
Actually, it doesn't prove their hypothesis wrong, it proves that the models are inaccurate or that the input variables are inaccurate
Good god, and youre in compsci?
their models were designed based on their hypothesis. THAT"S THE BASIS FOR THE frickING MODEL, and why it was made....to test that hypothesis.
You really have no idea what you're discussing do you, spidey? It's a shame that you feel you need to lie about your education. You could actually get one instead.
Posted on 5/19/14 at 3:44 pm to TK421
quote:
This is incorrect. You have trouble with facts.
Actually its dead on. Read the fricking paper.
quote:
We find that 66.4% of abstracts expressed no position on AGW, 32.6% endorsed AGW, 0.7% rejected AGW and 0.3% were uncertain about the cause of global warming. Among abstracts expressing a position on AGW, 97.1% endorsed the consensus position that humans are causing global warming.
It couldnt be clearer than that. Of all the climate papers submitted, PERTAINING TO CLIMATE CHANGE, 97% of them supported global warming.
Posted on 5/19/14 at 3:46 pm to CptBengal
quote:
their models were designed based on their hypothesis. THAT"S THE BASIS FOR THE frickING MODEL, and why it was made....to test that hypothesis.
I read your sentence to imply that the model's failure refute the theory of global warming in general. Slow your roll bro. Don't get so mad.
*edited to correct terms
This post was edited on 5/19/14 at 3:52 pm
Posted on 5/19/14 at 3:49 pm to AUbused
CptBengal are you mad about the 97% number seeming to be pretty accurate?
Posted on 5/19/14 at 3:52 pm to AUbused
quote:
I read your sentence to imply that the model's failure refute the hypothesis of global warming in general.
the models, and subsequently the hypothesis of CO2 as a driver of increasing temperatures, ARE WRONG.
Outside a 95% CI. wrong.
You mean the global warming that the IPCC has said is "paused", despite rising CO2 concentrations? That "warming"?
quote:
Don't get so mad.
Sadly, I'm not mad, but dismayed by the fact you are not smart enough to think for yourself...despite the data being freely available. Instead, you ask someone to tell you what it means that reality is outside the 95% CI for their models....not surprisingly they lie to you and tell you to "believe"
Posted on 5/19/14 at 3:53 pm to CptBengal
Back in 2005 the British CRU ridiculed a scientist whose climate model forecasted a severe winter 5 years later. The CRU was convinced that the winter would be unseasonably warm. How did it true out? It snowed so much that when it did melt we had had a little issue down here. I remember watching the parking lot at the plant being partially flooded.
Now for those of us who actually have at least a bachelor of science under the belt, we know some one was just a bit off. Look I can't help but notice that none of the climate alarmists have predicted anything correctly so how can they be right? They remind me of the nostradamus believers who use his quatrains as proof of his ability to foresee the future but never has some one used a single quatrain to predict the future beforehand. Always after. I see no difference here.
Now for those of us who actually have at least a bachelor of science under the belt, we know some one was just a bit off. Look I can't help but notice that none of the climate alarmists have predicted anything correctly so how can they be right? They remind me of the nostradamus believers who use his quatrains as proof of his ability to foresee the future but never has some one used a single quatrain to predict the future beforehand. Always after. I see no difference here.
Posted on 5/19/14 at 3:53 pm to AUbused
quote:
97% number seeming to be pretty accurate?
of what...papers?
science never has and NEVER will run on consensus. No matter how hard you "believe" it should.
ETA: You know who determined this "consensus"?
citizen scientists...crowd science on da web. Yeah, thats legit. BONJOUR!
![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/IconLOL.gif)
This post was edited on 5/19/14 at 3:57 pm
Posted on 5/19/14 at 3:57 pm to AUbused
quote:
Of all the climate papers submitted, PERTAINING TO CLIMATE CHANGE, 97% of them supported global warming.
No, you are just wrong. Climate change is about more than AGW.
I know you are not a scientist, but you could at least try to read and understand what the numbers actually mean.
Posted on 5/19/14 at 4:01 pm to AUbused
Its sad at the level of ignorance in this nation
1) The 97% consensus is a myth
2) US temps have been cooling since before 1950, although the US has produced the most CO2 during that period. Thats almost 65 years, which is half of the timeframe in which we have recorded temps. HALF
3) EVERY computer model has been wrong about global warming since 1998. NOT ONE even close
4) The red spot (great strorm) on Jupiter has been decreasing, and temps on Mars have beeñ increasing during the same time that WE are causing our planet to warm. Yet there is no human activity to effect those other planets?
5) Archealogical finds have proven that the planet has been both warmer and cooler prior to mans industrial age
6) Warming didnt actually exist (see cooling scare of 1970) until we started tracking temps by satellite, and had to 'adjust' land based stations.
7) We heard the same garbage BS about the ozone hole. The ozone hole is currently twice the size that it was we we banned CFCs. We didnt fix that problem by our actions in 30 years
All of the above are documented facts, and you dont accept them. So what else has to be shown to you that will wake you out of your delusions?
1) The 97% consensus is a myth
2) US temps have been cooling since before 1950, although the US has produced the most CO2 during that period. Thats almost 65 years, which is half of the timeframe in which we have recorded temps. HALF
3) EVERY computer model has been wrong about global warming since 1998. NOT ONE even close
4) The red spot (great strorm) on Jupiter has been decreasing, and temps on Mars have beeñ increasing during the same time that WE are causing our planet to warm. Yet there is no human activity to effect those other planets?
5) Archealogical finds have proven that the planet has been both warmer and cooler prior to mans industrial age
6) Warming didnt actually exist (see cooling scare of 1970) until we started tracking temps by satellite, and had to 'adjust' land based stations.
7) We heard the same garbage BS about the ozone hole. The ozone hole is currently twice the size that it was we we banned CFCs. We didnt fix that problem by our actions in 30 years
All of the above are documented facts, and you dont accept them. So what else has to be shown to you that will wake you out of your delusions?
Posted on 5/19/14 at 4:01 pm to CptBengal
quote:
the models, and subsequently the hypothesis of CO2 as a driver of increasing temperatures, ARE WRONG.
Outside a 95% CI. wrong.
This is a bullshite post for someone claiming to be a scientific authority. Given the ENORMOUS number of forcing variables to must go into a mother fricking climate model its an absolutely ridiculous assertion to claim that because current modeling is not accurate you can reasonably conclude that CO2 as A driver(not necessarily primary) of increasing temperature is wrong.
Shame shame.
![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/Iconspank.gif)
Posted on 5/19/14 at 4:03 pm to AUbused
quote:
iven the ENORMOUS number of forcing variables to must go into a mother fricking climate model its an absolutely ridiculous assertion to claim that because current modeling is not accurate you can reasonably conclude that CO2 as A driver(not necessarily primary) of increasing temperature is wrong.
do you know what a 95% CI is, or how it gets calculated? do you know that as you increase the variability with all of these forcing variables your 95% CI gets BIGGER?
Jesus man, you call someone else out, yet are literally too stupid to understand your argument is false. But you're progressive, and smart, with lots of fake degrees spidey!
This post was edited on 5/19/14 at 4:05 pm
Posted on 5/19/14 at 4:06 pm to AUbused
quote:
This is a bull shite post for someone claiming to be a scientific authority. Given the ENORMOUS number of forcing variables to must go into a mother fricking climate model its an absolutely ridiculous assertion to claim that because current modeling is not accurate you can reasonably conclude that CO2 as A driver(not necessarily primary) of increasing temperature is wrong.
Shame shame
Are you serious? The fact that none of their models correlate with their hypothesis says they are as wrong as one can get.
Posted on 5/19/14 at 4:08 pm to Rex
quote:
I'd say at the temperature that prompted hundreds of millions of people to settle along the Earth's sea coasts.
hundreds of millions of people live along the coast out of convenience and necessity rather than climate.
Posted on 5/19/14 at 4:09 pm to CptBengal
quote:
do you know what a 95% CI is, or how it gets calculated? do you know that as you increase the variability with all of these forcing variables your 95% CI gets BIGGER?
Sorry brothah but you just wrong on this one. Whether more forcing variables introduced increases CI or not (it does) has no fricking bearing on my point. My point is that because a model is wrong absolutely does NOT preclude carbon from being a driver. Thats a simple fact that runs contrary to your statement. Models, like science are wrong wrong wrong until they are right. Inaccurate models are just part of improving science. Deal with it bitch.
![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/IconLOL.gif)
Im going to have to look at Spidey's post history now because you are cracking me up with this alter shite. I find it oddly flattering.
![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/IconLOL.gif)
This post was edited on 5/19/14 at 4:11 pm
Posted on 5/19/14 at 4:14 pm to AUbused
I haven't read the thread yet, does the OP really not know why people call GW bullshite? OP can't be that stupid.
Posted on 5/19/14 at 4:15 pm to AUbused
quote:
Whether more forcing variables introduced increases CI or not (it does) has no fricking bearing on my point.
you're changing your point then, spidey. I'm sorry you dont understand statistics and math.
quote:
My point is that because a model is wrong absolutely does NOT preclude carbon from being a driver.
It precludes their current hypothesis on anthropogenic sourced CO2 affecting the climate as a direct driver. You know how we know this? BECAUSE THATS WHAT THE MODELS WERE TESTING.
quote:
Models, like science are wrong wrong wrong until they are right. Inaccurate models are just part of improving science. Deal with it bitch.
![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/IconLOL.gif)
YET....you, like a 5 year old in mid-december "believe".
Pathetic, you just stated why you shouldnt "believe", yet you turn around and argue for a "belief" IN SPITE OF THE EVIDENCE.
It's literally as stupid as the young-earthers decrying evolution.
Posted on 5/19/14 at 4:32 pm to AUbused
At this point does it really matter whether the planet is warming or not? Anybody who buys into the bullshite is not only fricking themselves over but their kids and their kids and so on and so forth. All of this shite is about money and a way to make people pay for their carbon footprint. So for all of you dumbasses that are buying the BS I hope you are ready to start paying. Do you know what you are going to get for your money? Not a fricking thing. So mr. Auabuse or whatever your name is you better start rethinking your position because if you don't you are a damn fool.
Posted on 5/19/14 at 4:34 pm to AUbused
quote:
I find it oddly flattering.
And theres your proof
Who else would be flattered to be compared to someone, until they had checked their post history?
Posted on 5/19/14 at 4:42 pm to AUbused
quote:
You know what another neat way to phrase that would be? Of 11000 climate papers on a variety of topics, 32% of those papers studied climate change. Of the 32% of the papers that studied climate change 97% of the conclusion endorsed global warming.
Yeah, but that's not what you said. This is what you said:
quote:
if 97% of climate scientists agree that humans are, in fact, at least partially responsible for climate change
Are those other 68% of papers being done by sociologists or what? The fact that 2/3rds of the analyses take no position is notable but something that is commonly omitted. It's disingenuous.
This post was edited on 5/19/14 at 4:42 pm
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