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538: Biden has a 90% chance of winning

Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:01 am
Posted by OMLandshark
Member since Apr 2009
109125 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:01 am
538

I have to say, these clowns expect me not to believe my own eyes and ears. I’m supposed to believe this is losing?



Seriously, this chick makes a more convincing argument that Biden is going to win more than CNN and 538 does. I’m just going to be sitting looking at my monitors like Ozymandias at the end of Watchmen marveling everything save for the 1st and 2nd debate going to plan.

Posted by Eli Goldfinger
Member since Sep 2016
32785 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:02 am to
Do they still have Biden winning FL, TX, GA, and NC?
Posted by Bunyan
He/Him
Member since Oct 2016
20828 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:03 am to
quote:

Biden has a 90% chance of winning

Posted by OchoDedos
Republic of Texas
Member since Oct 2014
34241 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:04 am to
Nate's going down with the Titanic
Posted by Teddy Ruxpin
Member since Oct 2006
39608 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:04 am to
It would be weird to watch someone pulling Obama crowds lose but that's what they are selling.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
141299 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:06 am to
quote:

Nate's going down with the Titanic

gotta respect a man who's riding the ship down even though he knows he's in a shite sandwich
Posted by KCT
Psalm 23:5
Member since Feb 2010
38911 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:07 am to
The little bitch is lying, but what does he have to lose? Nate Kleenex hates Trump as much as I hate Queen Hillary.

Of course, he's supposed to be a professional and objective prognosticator. That's what makes him an even bigger POS than the typical left-wing loon like a Rob Reiner or an Alyssa Milano.


PS - IOWA +7
Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
32018 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:08 am to
quote:

gotta respect a man who's riding the ship down even though he knows he's in a shite sandwich




He doesnt know it. Thats what makes it fun. I think he had a very small degree of awareness last time. This time he is all in.
Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
32018 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:10 am to
quote:

PS - IOWA +7




I just searched from the link provided. I cant see where he included the des moines register poll.
Posted by CheEngineer
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2019
4234 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:13 am to
Posted by Jax Teller
Member since Aug 2018
3934 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:14 am to
So 538 is basically just an algorithmic orgy of the already incorrect and bullshite polls. So it’s like extra layers of detail on the dumb.

Just because it’s fancy and looks cool doesn’t mean it’s any more valuable than your neighborhood waste dump. Invalid data is invalid data. And valid data is the key.
This post was edited on 11/1/20 at 9:15 am
Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
40228 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:14 am to
This is literally groundhog day.

I am starting to believe.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72193 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:15 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/10/21 at 11:51 pm
Posted by jmarto1
Houma, LA/ Las Vegas, NV
Member since Mar 2008
34069 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:17 am to
That site seems way off
Posted by scott8811
Ratchet City, LA
Member since Oct 2014
11397 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:17 am to
Its because they have Biden winning Florida.... once Trump wins Florida, per theier own model Biden starts to fall apart. Trumps chances instantly jump to 30%.once he wins Tx, OH, and AZ its up to over 50 with an over 50% chance to win PA....once you click PA for him the race is statistically over
Posted by DavidTheGnome
Monroe
Member since Apr 2015
29231 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:17 am to
That’s what NYT said about hilldog too
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
141299 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:18 am to
quote:

This is literally groundhog day.

I am starting to believe.

Posted by Catahoula20LSU
Louisiana
Member since Oct 2011
2121 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:18 am to
The polling is going to be used to justify rioting when Hiden loses and try to force Trump out. This will not end well for them. People have been holding on to civility but all bets are off if they try and steal this election
Posted by AURaptor
South
Member since Aug 2018
11958 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:19 am to
The media have never changed their thinking or view on Trump, and how they got it wrong.

Why should we believe the polls are any different?


Neither of them are about collecting data and presenting it to the public in any honest, sincere and informative way.

These are industries, built on shaping opinions, not reporting.

Same people, same mindset, same motivation and process. So they'll yield the same results.

Trump wins another 4 years.
This post was edited on 11/1/20 at 4:01 pm
Posted by MFn GIMP
Member since Feb 2011
19390 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:22 am to
Polls are never wrong. Except for those ones showing Trump winning, or well within the margin of error, in PA, WI, MI, NC, and FL.
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