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re: 12 hours until December unemployment and jobs reports - guesses?

Posted on 1/10/14 at 2:07 pm to
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162278 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 2:07 pm to
Oh so now it's 45 year lows
Posted by SettleDown
Everywhere
Member since Nov 2013
1333 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 2:08 pm to
quote:



No you weren't. You got caught, and then you tried to defend it for 2 pages.
Yep. Which is why he still hasn't attempted to actually describe why he was in error. He doesn't know.
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
101776 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 2:10 pm to
quote:

Right. But I think there are two general causes. One is political and one is structural. The political cause is Obama's policies, the largest being Obamacare. It is forcing businesses to pile resources into meeting that regulation instead of reinvestment. The second is the retirement of the baby boomer generation. The baby boomer generation is a large population of employed people leaving the work force.


I tend to agree. I wasn't suggesting it was ALL Obama's "fault," just that it is pretty astounding to think about.
Posted by S.E.C. Crazy
Alabama
Member since Feb 2013
7905 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 2:11 pm to
Typo , 35 year lows.

Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162278 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 2:13 pm to
Please. I could probably take most of you to school on math.

As I've stated the simple equation would be to multiply the employment figure by the participation rate if you were looking for a 1:1 comparison

That's the clearest way to get the picture of the % of the populace employed
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57452 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 2:17 pm to
quote:

Damn, so we're basically approaching the workforce percentage level now of the time before women began entering the workforce en masse?
Yip. But you're only concerned because of racism.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162278 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

Yip. But you're only concerned because of racism.


And please ignore the fall of 2008 also.
Posted by SettleDown
Everywhere
Member since Nov 2013
1333 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 2:44 pm to
quote:

Please. I could probably take most of you to school on math.
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
51452 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 2:51 pm to
Wow CNN, good job at burying this story. You really have to look hard on the CNN homepage to find anything relating to this story.
Posted by Jarlaxle
Calimport
Member since Dec 2010
2869 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 3:40 pm to
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
119186 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 3:46 pm to
That chart is interesting. So, retirees are getting back in to the work force, but why? Probably because they need to supplement their retirement or maybe boredom. But I think there is another reason. That is, businesses cannot find qualified people to do the jobs experienced folks can do and they are being called back to the workforce and some are accepting.
Posted by NHTIGER
Central New Hampshire
Member since Nov 2003
16188 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 3:49 pm to
LINK

" Who Needs Retirement When You Can Work Instead?
By Matthew C. Klein Jan 10, 2014 3:52 PM ET "
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57452 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 3:50 pm to
quote:

The baby boomer generation is a large population of employed people leaving the work force.
Maybe. But it seems participation by older folks is one of the few on the rise. A good question would be are they delaying retirement for economic reasons? Donno.



Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57452 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 3:51 pm to
quote:

And please ignore the fall of 2008 also.
To be fair UE rate was going up in 2008. Not down.
This post was edited on 1/10/14 at 3:52 pm
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162278 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 3:53 pm to
quote:

To be fair UE rate was going up in 2008. Not down.


Right. What happened in 2008 again? I forget. All I hear about here is how awesome it was to have low gas prices at the end of the year.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57452 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 3:57 pm to
quote:

Right. What happened in 2008 again? I forget. All I hear about here is how awesome it was to have low gas prices at the end of the year.
I have no idea what your fascination with 2008 is. Or how it refutes where we are today with participation rates.
Posted by Jarlaxle
Calimport
Member since Dec 2010
2869 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 3:58 pm to
quote:

So, retirees are getting back in to the work force, but why?


I have noticed this in retail stores. Older employees who should be retirement age working part time jobs.

Is it to make up for medication costs?

Inflation that their retirement cant cover?

Dependents still living at home who should be out on their own?

The collapse of savings rates due to the artificially low interest rates the fed is supporting?




Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162278 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 3:58 pm to
If you want to look at participation rates as the only metric of the economy be my guest

But 2008 was a shite storm. Arguably the biggest shite storm since the great depression. And we're on more sound footing now than we were then. Or do you disagree with that?
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57452 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 4:03 pm to
quote:

Dependents still living at home who should be out on their own?
This may be a significant factor given the high UE rates for 18-34 (prime household formation years).

I heard a retirement advisor he other day sayings he advice he gives out the most: "Stop giving your adult children money".

Scary stuff. Dependency is the new black.
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69419 posts
Posted on 1/10/14 at 4:05 pm to
quote:

And we're on more sound footing now than we were then. Or do you disagree with that?

Disagree.

1) Most of the jobs gained now are part time, and in the service field

2) Labor rate lower than 2008

3) Fed pumping is making fat cats on WS rich, little people have fared little better since 2008.
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