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Fed funds futures now point to best chance of rate hike in October (was Sep)

Posted on 2/24/15 at 1:29 pm
Posted by euphemus
Member since Mar 2014
536 posts
Posted on 2/24/15 at 1:29 pm
quote:

Fed funds futures are now pointing to the best chance of the first U.S. interest rate hike being in October, as dovish comments by Fed Chair Janet Yellen lowered expectations.

Futures now assign a 48 percent probability to a rate hike in September and a 69 percent probability for October, according to CME Group data.

The odds for a September hike were 54 percent on Tuesday morning, before Yellen started delivering her semiannual prepared remarks to the U.S. Senate.

The odds of a September hike had been as high as 63 percent last week, before the release of Fed minutes that made clear the central bank's cautious approach to the so-called liftoff of rates.

LINK

What levels of stock market correction can we expect when the interest rates eventually start going up?
Posted by Teddy Ruxpin
Member since Oct 2006
39581 posts
Posted on 2/24/15 at 1:34 pm to
Wouldn't it be priced in by now? At least some degree?
Posted by euphemus
Member since Mar 2014
536 posts
Posted on 2/24/15 at 2:00 pm to
I don't know. The market seems to like it whenever she says no interest rate hike.

S&P at record, Dow briefly adds 100 points on dovish Yellen remarks
Posted by matthew25
Member since Jun 2012
9425 posts
Posted on 2/24/15 at 8:36 pm to
I don't see a hike this year.

The minimum wage jobs being created do not equal economic recovery.
Posted by ItNeverRains
37069
Member since Oct 2007
25456 posts
Posted on 2/25/15 at 6:05 am to
Rates have been on a steady decline since 1981. I don't see a world with rates out of the 5% range ever again.
Posted by Blakely Bimbo
Member since Dec 2010
1183 posts
Posted on 2/25/15 at 8:01 am to
Rates will not rise this year. Maybe not even next year.
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