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LSU (18-8, 7-6) vs Florida (13-13, 6-7) - Sat noon - PMAC - CBS

Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:18 am
Posted by SouthOfSouth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
43456 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:18 am


Who: LSU Tigers (18-8, 7-6) vs Florida Gators (13-13, 6-7)
When: Saturday, February 21 - Noon (central time)
Where: Maravich Center (13,215 - 45th NCAA)
How:
***TV: CBS
***Radio: 98.1FM
***Stream: CBSSports.com/stream

It was a month ago that LSU went into the O-Dome and left Gainesville with an 18 point victory over the Florida Gators. LSU's Martin and Mickey totaled 36 points and 22 rebounds in a contest where LSU was a 10 point underdog. The last month has not been pleasant to the Gators.

Florida has lost 7 of their last 10 games and are almost certainly looking at Billy Donovan's first sub 20 win season as head man of Florida. Things won't get easier for the Gators who will be without their top two scorers Dorian Finney-Smith (suspended) and Michael Frazier (injury). The duo scored 18 of Florida's 61 points against the Tigers a month ago and leaves Florida with no player averaging over 9 points per game.



After a disappointing loss at Texas A&M, LSU knows they need a win this weekend against Florida. Squarely on the NCAA Tournament bubble, the Tigers are still projected to be in the field, however LSU cannot lose anymore home games. With five regular season games and the SEC Tournament remaining, 5 wins should be enough to get the Tigers into the tournament, depending on autobids and other bubble teams finishes.

Without Florida's top two sharp shooters, Florida has no one shooting over 33% from deep, so Florida has to go inside. The Gators used Devin Robinson (12 pts) and Alex Murphy (11 pts) as primary scorers in their 47-50 win against Vanderbilt this week, but Florida will have to find a way to score more points against LSU if they expect to win. The Tigers have not scored less than 60 points in a game this season.

Most Interesting Matchup:
Devin Robinson and Jordan Mickey will both be asked to be interior presences in this matchup. The freshman, Robinson, will need to be an offensive presence in order for Florida to have a chance in this one. Jordan Mickey needs to defend the paint and protect the ball more than he has lately.

Keys to the Game:
1. LSU cannot allow easy baskets. In a game where Florida features no true scorers, the easiest way for Florida to score will be in transition and on offensive rebounds. LSU cannot allow either to be a factor in this game.

2. Don't fall in love with the three pointer. LSU did it again versus Texas A&M. They hit a couple three's and fell in love with the deep ball. They ended the night shooting 33% (42.9% in first half and 20% in second half) and missed key shots toward the end of the game. LSU needs to attack the basket and make sure they put pressure on the Florida Defense.

3. Stay focused. LSU has gotten leads this year and lost focus. LSU cannot allow a Florida team, who plays good defense, to make a run on offense due to a lack of intensity on the defensive end. Protect the ball on offense, and defend the entire shot clock on the defensive side.

Prediction:
LSU 72, Florida 55
This post was edited on 2/20/15 at 9:20 am
Posted by TigerCub
Team Boxtard
Member since May 2006
20217 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:25 am to
Good job SOS. To say this is a must win is an understatement.
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
28372 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:32 am to
KenPom still loves UF (they're ranked one spot ahead of LSU) because of their great defense. I'm shocked that they're still ranked so high despite being a .500 team. In the first game LSU was able to play more at their pace as opposed to UF's, and also did a very good job on the defensive end. Hopefully they can do the same.

You hate to speak in absolutes with this team, but shame on LSU is they lose this game.

Possibly the worst UF team in the Donovan era
They are without their two leading scorers
LSU is at home, with postseason hopes on the line.
Posted by Shadowlink
The Shadows
Member since Apr 2014
1434 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:32 am to
I have faith that LSU gets this one. Hopefully, LSU gets a nice sized crowd to cheer them on.
Posted by The Truth 34
Chavez Ravine
Member since May 2010
41170 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:45 am to
quote:

LSU is at home, with postseason hopes on the line.


This alone should be enough to get our mind right. No excuses. Tournament teams win home games when they are trying to get in the tournament. Period.
Posted by GeismarGeauxer
Geismar
Member since Dec 2009
5173 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:52 am to
How many in a row have you predicted wrong?

Really wish you would go with Florida on this one!
Posted by Minnesota Tigah
Somehow, Wisconsin
Member since Jul 2014
883 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:55 am to
There are ZERO excuses for losing this game. Would love to see a Tennessee-esque blowout, and on paper that's what should happen, but I don't have a clue as to where this team's head is right now. They may see Florida's two leading scorers out and play like the football team did against Ole Miss a couple years ago when Ole Miss was depleted as F.
Posted by ALT F4
Member since Jan 2015
2292 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:57 am to
With those 2 guys out I think we win this one and get back to our winning road ways at Auburn getting us to 9 wins. We should beat Tennessee in the PMAC but I'm worried about Ole Miss.
Posted by TigerCub
Team Boxtard
Member since May 2006
20217 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:59 am to
quote:

How many in a row have you predicted wrong?


Pretty sure he predicted us to lose to UK
This post was edited on 2/20/15 at 10:00 am
Posted by CheerWhine
A little bit of Mardi Gras
Member since Apr 2014
73267 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 10:03 am to
quote:

Pretty sure he predicted us to lose to UK


And he had us beating Vandy. South gets it right sometimes.
Posted by massiveattack
CharLIT/Chapel Chill
Member since Oct 2010
11555 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 10:06 am to
You realky can't play the "we should beat them" game with this team
Posted by ALT F4
Member since Jan 2015
2292 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 10:10 am to
that's true... we're a better team that UF, Tennessee, and Auburn however we BETTER beat those 3 and steal one out of Ole Miss and Arkansas
Posted by RANDY44
Member since Aug 2005
9572 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 10:26 am to
Thanks SOS. If LSU loses focus at any time in this game then it's time to start thinking about next year. I don't think they will do that. I agree with your score prediction. If both teams play their best LSU should win by 15-20. Get it done Tigers!
Posted by PiscesTiger
Concrete, WA
Member since Feb 2004
53696 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 11:07 am to
Time for J Martin to show back up off of a 2 game hiatus. He's needing the double-double numbers.
Posted by More beer please
Member since Feb 2010
45051 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 11:09 am to
quote:

This alone should be enough to get our mind right. No excuses.


Feel like we have said this before and not gotten the outcome we hoped for.
Posted by mmcgrath
Indianapolis
Member since Feb 2010
35406 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 11:13 am to
With their top two scorers out, this game should resemble the Alabama game.
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
28372 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 11:16 am to
quote:

If LSU loses focus at any time in this game then it's time to start thinking about next year.


If LSU is not focused for this game then it's time to start thinking about a new coaching staff. This isn't game 2 against some directional school. It's game 27 against a (although down) perennial conference power at a time where LSU cannot afford to lose anymore games if they want to make the NCAAT. Sometimes the shots aren't going to fall, a ref may make a bad call, but a lack of focus at this point is INEXCUSABLE.

I will give CJJ a bit of credit though. He ripped into Martin and Mickey in the first half against A&M for letting them get like 4 offensive rebounds on one possession and not getting in position on defense. I was glad to see it. A coach doesn't have to get on his players all the time like Frank Martin, but there are times where a coach needs to light a fire under some asses. Until that point I didn't think Jones would be willing to do so.
Posted by Thurber
NWLA
Member since Aug 2013
15402 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 11:22 am to
Posted by UserName69
Member since Sep 2014
1613 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 11:32 am to
quote:

With five regular season games and the SEC Tournament remaining, 5 wins should be enough to get the Tigers into the tournament


With the loss to A&M, it is looking like we most likely will not be in the top 4 in SEC for the tournament. Could this benefit us if we win the first two games in the tournament more than getting the BYEs and being rested going into the next game?
Posted by thunderbird1100
GSU Eagles fan
Member since Oct 2007
68333 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 11:32 am to
Considering UF is missing its best players I expect this one to be a knuckle down drag out to the bitter end, these are the games we completely lose focus.
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